First Round
Saturday, May 8 at 1:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
Alfred A. Ring Tennis Complex
Gainesville, Florida

South Alabama vs #1 Florida

#4 South Alabama

  Record: 12-8
  ITA: 53 (6.68)
  Slam: 49 (87.64)
  TRN: 51 (84.26)
  Massey: 45 (6.79)
  UTR: 48 (73.92)

#1 Florida

  Record: 21-2
✔ ITA: 2 (81.08)
✔ Slam: 2 (99.77)
✔ TRN: 3 (99.10)
✔ Massey: 1 (9.40)
✔ UTR: 1 (80.76)
✔ USTA Poll: 2 (302.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 2


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Match Information

Florida def. South Alabama 4-0
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Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: FLA - Florida (99%) def. South Alabama (1%)
  • Slam: FLA - #2 Florida (99%) def. #49 South Alabama (1%)
  • TRN: FLA - #3 Florida (99%) def. #51 South Alabama (1%)
  • Massey: FLA - #1 Florida (99%) def. #45 South Alabama (1%)
  • Lineup: FLA - Florida (99%) def. South Alabama (1%)
  • UTR: FLA - #1 Florida (+6.84) def. #48 South Alabama (-6.84)
  • ITA: FLA - #2 Florida def. #53 South Alabama
  • USTA Poll: FLA - #2 Florida def. South Alabama
  • Coaches Poll: FLA - #2 Florida def. South Alabama
  • Seeding: FLA - #1 Florida def. #4 South Alabama

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Julien Evrard (SALA) - 10-4 at #1, 13-4 in duals, 19-7 overall
    Duarte Vale (FLA) - 15-6 at #1, 15-6 in duals, 23-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FLA - Vale (91%) def. Evrard (9%)
    • Slam: FLA - Vale (92%) def. Evrard (8%)
    • TRN: FLA - Vale (93%) def. Evrard (7%)
    • Massey: FLA - Vale (90%) def. Evrard (10%)
    • UTR: FLA - Vale (90%) def. Evrard (10%)
    • ITA: FLA - Vale (54.01) def. Evrard (8.29)
     
  2. Clement Marzol (SALA) - 8-1 at #2, 12-2 in duals, 18-4 overall
    Sam Riffice (FLA) - 16-4 at #2, 18-4 in duals, 23-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FLA - Riffice (90%) def. Marzol (10%)
    • Slam: FLA - Riffice (90%) def. Marzol (10%)
    • TRN: FLA - Riffice (92%) def. Marzol (8%)
    • Massey: FLA - Riffice (87%) def. Marzol (13%)
    • UTR: FLA - Riffice (92%) def. Marzol (8%)
    • ITA: FLA - Riffice (49.68) def. Marzol (8.12)
     
  3. Loic Cloes (SALA) - 5-3 at #3, 9-4 in duals, 9-4 overall
    Andy Andrade (FLA) - 12-7 at #3, 14-7 in duals, 22-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FLA - Andrade (94%) def. Cloes (6%)
    • Slam: FLA - Andrade (93%) def. Cloes (7%)
    • TRN: FLA - Andrade (96%) def. Cloes (4%)
    • Massey: FLA - Andrade (91%) def. Cloes (9%)
    • UTR: FLA - Andrade (94%) def. Cloes (6%)
    • ITA: FLA - Andrade (32.71) def. Cloes (2.46)
     
  4. Sebastien Collard (SALA) - 7-4 at #4, 11-6 in duals, 20-6 overall
    Blaise Bicknell (FLA) - 15-0 at #4, 20-0 in duals, 29-0 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FLA - Bicknell (94%) def. Collard (6%)
    • Slam: FLA - Bicknell (94%) def. Collard (6%)
    • TRN: FLA - Bicknell (98%) def. Collard (2%)
    • Massey: FLA - Bicknell (89%) def. Collard (11%)
    • UTR: FLA - Bicknell (94%) def. Collard (6%)
    • ITA: FLA - Bicknell (15.89) def. Collard (2.43)
     
  5. Louis Delcour (SALA) - 5-2 at #5, 9-5 in duals, 9-5 overall
    Ben Shelton (FLA) - 15-4 at #5, 17-4 in duals, 24-5 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FLA - Shelton (95%) def. Delcour (5%)
    • Slam: FLA - Shelton (96%) def. Delcour (4%)
    • TRN: FLA - Shelton (98%) def. Delcour (2%)
    • Massey: FLA - Shelton (92%) def. Delcour (8%)
    • UTR: FLA - Shelton (96%) def. Delcour (4%)
    • ITA: FLA - Shelton (3.20) def. Delcour (2.17)
     
  6. Martin Bugaj (SALA) - 1-4 at #6, 4-8 in duals, 7-13 overall
    Josh Goodger (FLA) - 12-0 at #6, 13-0 in duals, 19-0 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FLA - Goodger (99%) def. Bugaj (1%)
    • Slam: FLA - Goodger (99%) def. Bugaj (1%)
    • TRN: FLA - Goodger (99%) def. Bugaj (1%)
    • Massey: FLA - Goodger (99%) def. Bugaj (1%)
    • UTR: FLA - Goodger (98%) def. Bugaj (2%)
    • ITA: SALA - # Bugaj def. Goodger (8.31)
     

Doubles:

  1. Cloes/Marzol (SALA) - 10-2 at #1, 10-2 in duals, 10-2 overall
    Ingildsen/Vale (FLA) - 0-0 at #1, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Evrard/Collard (SALA) - 4-6 at #2, 4-6 in duals, 10-9 overall
    Riffice/Shelton (FLA) - 0-0 at #2, 4-0 in duals, 6-1 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Delcour/Petko (SALA) - 2-2 at #3, 2-2 in duals, 2-2 overall
    Berdusco/Grant (FLA) - 0-0 at #3, 0-0 in duals, 1-0 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Florida should win 4 or more singles matches 99% of the time.
  • South Alabama should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 1% of the time.
  • If Florida wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If South Alabama wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 1%.

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