First Round
Saturday, May 8 at 11:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
USTA National Campus
Orlando, Florida

Miami (FL) vs Mississippi St.

#3 Miami (FL)

  Record: 8-11
  ITA: 39 (19.49)
  Slam: 37 (92.19)
  TRN: 43 (89.49)
  Massey: 38 (7.31)
  UTR: 40 (75.68)
  Coaches Poll: 43

#2 Mississippi St.

  Record: 17-9
✔ ITA: 16 (41.29)
✔ Slam: 20 (94.39)
✔ TRN: 19 (92.98)
✔ Massey: 27 (7.63)
✔ UTR: 24 (77.84)
✔ USTA Poll: 25 (44.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 18


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Match Information

Mississippi State def. Miami (FL) 4-1
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Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: MSST - Mississippi St. (82%) def. Miami (FL) (18%)
  • Slam: MSST - #20 Mississippi St. (78%) def. #37 Miami (FL) (22%)
  • TRN: MSST - #19 Mississippi St. (88%) def. #43 Miami (FL) (12%)
  • Massey: MSST - #27 Mississippi St. (69%) def. #38 Miami (FL) (31%)
  • Lineup: MSST - Mississippi St. (92%) def. Miami (FL) (8%)
  • UTR: MSST - #24 Mississippi St. (+2.16) def. #40 Miami (FL) (-2.16)
  • ITA: MSST - #16 Mississippi St. def. #39 Miami (FL)
  • USTA Poll: MSST - #25 Mississippi St. def. Miami (FL)
  • Coaches Poll: MSST - #18 Mississippi St. def. #43 Miami (FL)
  • Seeding: MSST - #2 Mississippi St. def. #3 Miami (FL)

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Adria Soriano Barrera (MIA) - 9-6 at #1, 9-6 in duals, 9-6 overall
    Giovanni Oradini (MSST) - 11-7 at #1, 11-10 in duals, 17-14 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: MIA - Barrera (51%) def. Oradini (49%)
    • Slam: MIA - Barrera (52%) def. Oradini (48%)
    • TRN: MIA - Barrera (55%) def. Oradini (45%)
    • Massey: MIA - Barrera (65%) def. Oradini (35%)
    • UTR: MSST - Oradini (68%) def. Barrera (32%)
    • ITA: MSST - Oradini (31.20) def. Barrera (18.59)
     
  2. Bojan Jankulovski (MIA) - 5-4 at #2, 9-5 in duals, 9-5 overall
    Florian Broska (MSST) - 10-5 at #2, 14-8 in duals, 20-12 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: MSST - Broska (67%) def. Jankulovski (33%)
    • Slam: MSST - Broska (68%) def. Jankulovski (32%)
    • TRN: MSST - Broska (64%) def. Jankulovski (36%)
    • Massey: MSST - Broska (58%) def. Jankulovski (42%)
    • UTR: MSST - Broska (78%) def. Jankulovski (22%)
    • ITA: MSST - Broska (16.73) def. Jankulovski (3.33)
     
  3. Benjamin Hannestad (MIA) - 5-5 at #3, 6-10 in duals, 6-10 overall
    Nemanja Malesevic (MSST) - 9-5 at #3, 15-7 in duals, 20-11 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: MSST - Malesevic (72%) def. Hannestad (28%)
    • Slam: MSST - Malesevic (72%) def. Hannestad (28%)
    • TRN: MSST - Malesevic (75%) def. Hannestad (25%)
    • Massey: MSST - Malesevic (66%) def. Hannestad (34%)
    • UTR: MSST - Malesevic (74%) def. Hannestad (26%)
    • ITA: MSST - Malesevic (15.40) def. Hannestad (1.40)
     
  4. Stefan Milicevic (MIA) - 4-7 at #4, 5-10 in duals, 5-10 overall
    Alberto Colas (MSST) - 6-7 at #4, 14-8 in duals, 4-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: MSST - Colas (85%) def. Milicevic (15%)
    • Slam: MSST - Colas (82%) def. Milicevic (18%)
    • TRN: MSST - Colas (87%) def. Milicevic (13%)
    • Massey: MSST - Colas (80%) def. Milicevic (20%)
    • UTR: MSST - Colas (91%) def. Milicevic (9%)
    • ITA: MIA - # Milicevic def. Colas (5.15)
     
  5. Oren Vasser (MIA) - 3-1 at #5, 9-6 in duals, 9-6 overall
    Carles Hernandez (MSST) - 9-8 at #5, 14-8 in duals, 14-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: MSST - Hernandez (74%) def. Vasser (26%)
    • Slam: MSST - Hernandez (78%) def. Vasser (22%)
    • TRN: MSST - Hernandez (79%) def. Vasser (21%)
    • Massey: MSST - Hernandez (56%) def. Vasser (44%)
    • UTR: MSST - Hernandez (85%) def. Vasser (15%)
    • ITA: MIA - Vasser (1.93) def. Hernandez (1.85)
     
  6. Franco Aubone (MIA) - 1-4 at #6, 7-10 in duals, 7-10 overall
    Davide Tortora (MSST) - 7-3 at #6, 7-3 in duals, 13-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: MSST - Tortora (73%) def. Aubone (27%)
    • Slam: MSST - Tortora (77%) def. Aubone (23%)
    • TRN: MSST - Tortora (89%) def. Aubone (11%)
    • Massey: MSST - Tortora (65%) def. Aubone (35%)
    • UTR: MSST - Tortora (59%) def. Aubone (41%)
    • ITA: MSST - Tortora (9.41) def. Aubone (1.40)
     

Doubles:

  1. Hannestad/Aubone (MIA) - 7-8 at #1, 7-8 in duals, 7-8 overall
    Broska/Ramskogler (MSST) - 7-5 at #1, 11-6 in duals, 11-6 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Barrera/Vasser (MIA) - 2-2 at #2, 2-2 in duals, 2-2 overall
    Malesevic/Tortora (MSST) - 3-3 at #2, 6-4 in duals, 9-7 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Jankulovski/Milicevic (MIA) - 4-3 at #3, 4-3 in duals, 4-3 overall
    Ocana/Oradini (MSST) - 2-2 at #3, 2-2 in duals, 2-2 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Mississippi St. should win 4 or more singles matches 76% of the time.
  • Miami (FL) should win 4 or more singles matches 6% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 18% of the time.
  • If Mississippi St. wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 94%.
  • If Miami (FL) wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 24%.

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