First Round
Friday, May 7 at 1:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
David X. Marks Tennis Stadium
Los Angeles, California

UC Santa Barbara vs Pepperdine

#3 UC Santa Barbara

  Record: 10-6
  ITA: 51 (7.76)
  Slam: 50 (87.56)
  TRN: 50 (84.30)
  Massey: 51 (6.48)
  UTR: 46 (74.20)

#2 Pepperdine

  Record: 16-6
✔ ITA: 28 (28.91)
✔ Slam: 34 (92.69)
✔ TRN: 30 (91.07)
✔ Massey: 22 (7.73)
✔ UTR: 26 (77.59)
✔ USTA Poll: 26 (27.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 30


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Match Information

Pepperdine def. UC Santa Barbara 4-1

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: PEPP - Pepperdine (96%) def. UC Santa Barbara (4%)
  • Slam: PEPP - #34 Pepperdine (95%) def. #50 UC Santa Barbara (5%)
  • TRN: PEPP - #30 Pepperdine (98%) def. #50 UC Santa Barbara (2%)
  • Massey: PEPP - #22 Pepperdine (94%) def. #51 UC Santa Barbara (6%)
  • Lineup: PEPP - Pepperdine (97%) def. UC Santa Barbara (3%)
  • UTR: PEPP - #26 Pepperdine (+3.39) def. #46 UC Santa Barbara (-3.39)
  • ITA: PEPP - #28 Pepperdine def. #51 UC Santa Barbara
  • USTA Poll: PEPP - #26 Pepperdine def. UC Santa Barbara
  • Coaches Poll: PEPP - #30 Pepperdine def. UC Santa Barbara
  • Seeding: PEPP - #2 Pepperdine def. #3 UC Santa Barbara

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Joseph Guillin (UCSB) - 8-2 at #1, 8-2 in duals, 8-2 overall
    Adrian Oetzbach (PEPP) - 7-7 at #1, 7-8 in duals, 8-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UCSB - Guillin (78%) def. Oetzbach (22%)
    • Slam: UCSB - Guillin (79%) def. Oetzbach (21%)
    • TRN: UCSB - Guillin (82%) def. Oetzbach (18%)
    • Massey: UCSB - Guillin (77%) def. Oetzbach (23%)
    • UTR: UCSB - Guillin (74%) def. Oetzbach (26%)
    • ITA: PEPP - Oetzbach (5.20) def. Guillin (3.96)
     
  2. Stefano Tsorotiotis (UCSB) - 4-5 at #2, 4-5 in duals, 4-5 overall
    Guy Den Ouden (PEPP) - 10-4 at #2, 15-5 in duals, 15-5 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Ouden (95%) def. Tsorotiotis (5%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Ouden (91%) def. Tsorotiotis (9%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Ouden (97%) def. Tsorotiotis (3%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Ouden (97%) def. Tsorotiotis (3%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Ouden (96%) def. Tsorotiotis (4%)
    • ITA: PEPP - Ouden (2.60) def. Tsorotiotis (1.60)
     
  3. Victor Krustev (UCSB) - 7-1 at #3, 10-3 in duals, 10-3 overall
    Daniel De Jonge (PEPP) - 5-4 at #3, 10-4 in duals, 11-5 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Jonge (71%) def. Krustev (29%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Jonge (75%) def. Krustev (25%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Jonge (76%) def. Krustev (24%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Jonge (53%) def. Krustev (47%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Jonge (81%) def. Krustev (19%)
    • ITA: PEPP - Jonge (3.53) def. Krustev (2.71)
     
  4. Pablo Masjuan (UCSB) - 4-0 at #4, 9-4 in duals, 9-4 overall
    Tim Zeitvogel (PEPP) - 4-0 at #4, 7-0 in duals, 7-0 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Zeitvogel (89%) def. Masjuan (11%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Zeitvogel (89%) def. Masjuan (11%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Zeitvogel (93%) def. Masjuan (7%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Zeitvogel (90%) def. Masjuan (10%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Zeitvogel (85%) def. Masjuan (15%)
    • ITA: PEPP - Zeitvogel (4.17) def. Masjuan (2.35)
     
  5. Joey Rotheram (UCSB) - 3-2 at #5, 6-4 in duals, 6-4 overall
    Corrado Summaria (PEPP) - 3-0 at #5, 8-5 in duals, 8-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Summaria (79%) def. Rotheram (21%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Summaria (82%) def. Rotheram (18%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Summaria (81%) def. Rotheram (19%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Summaria (76%) def. Rotheram (24%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Summaria (76%) def. Rotheram (24%)
    • ITA: UCSB - Rotheram (1.83) def. Summaria (1.59)
     
  6. Kai Brady (UCSB) - 4-1 at #6, 7-2 in duals, 7-2 overall
    Pietro Fellin (PEPP) - 8-0 at #6, 8-3 in duals, 8-5 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Fellin (85%) def. Brady (15%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Fellin (85%) def. Brady (15%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Fellin (87%) def. Brady (13%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Fellin (79%) def. Brady (21%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Fellin (91%) def. Brady (9%)
    • ITA: UCSB - Brady (2.64) def. Fellin (2.12)
     

Doubles:

  1. Tsorotiotis/Vedri (UCSB) - 4-3 at #1, 4-3 in duals, 4-3 overall
    Oetzbach/Ouden (PEPP) - 10-4 at #1, 10-4 in duals, 10-4 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Krustev/Rotheram (UCSB) - 4-5 at #2, 4-6 in duals, 4-6 overall
    Summaria/Zeitvogel (PEPP) - 5-2 at #2, 5-2 in duals, 5-2 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Guillin/Brady (UCSB) - 6-1 at #3, 6-1 in duals, 6-1 overall
    De Jonge/Fellin (PEPP) - 3-3 at #3, 3-3 in duals, 3-3 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Pepperdine should win 4 or more singles matches 86% of the time.
  • UC Santa Barbara should win 4 or more singles matches 2% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 12% of the time.
  • If Pepperdine wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 98%.
  • If UC Santa Barbara wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 14%.

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