First Round
Friday, May 7 at 1:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
Carolina Tennis Center
Columbia, South Carolina
UNCW vs #13 South Carolina
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#4 UNCWRecord: 15-6ITA: 46 (9.80) Slam: 47 (88.87) TRN: 48 (86.19) Massey: 48 (6.70) UTR: 47 (74.00) |
#1 South CarolinaRecord: 16-9✔ ITA: 13 (51.06) ✔ Slam: 15 (96.20) ✔ TRN: 15 (94.49) ✔ Massey: 16 (8.13) ✔ UTR: 17 (78.69) ✔ USTA Poll: 17 (133.00) ✔ Coaches Poll: 13 |
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Match Information
South Carolina def. UNC Wilmington 4-0
Predictions
Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:
- Composite: SCAR - South Carolina (99%) def. UNCW (1%)
- Slam: SCAR - #15 South Carolina (98%) def. #47 UNCW (2%)
- TRN: SCAR - #15 South Carolina (99%) def. #48 UNCW (1%)
- Massey: SCAR - #16 South Carolina (98%) def. #48 UNCW (2%)
- Lineup: SCAR - South Carolina (99%) def. UNCW (1%)
- UTR: SCAR - #17 South Carolina (+4.69) def. #47 UNCW (-4.69)
- ITA: SCAR - #13 South Carolina def. #46 UNCW
- USTA Poll: SCAR - #17 South Carolina def. UNCW
- Coaches Poll: SCAR - #13 South Carolina def. UNCW
- Seeding: SCAR - #1 South Carolina def. #4 UNCW
Individual Matchups
This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.
Singles:
Bruno Caula (UNCW) - 11-6 at #1, 11-6 in duals, 11-6 overall
Daniel Rodrigues (SCAR) - 16-4 at #1, 16-4 in duals, 24-6 overallPredictions
- Composite: SCAR - Rodrigues (96%) def. Caula (4%)
- Slam: SCAR - Rodrigues (95%) def. Caula (5%)
- TRN: SCAR - Rodrigues (98%) def. Caula (2%)
- Massey: SCAR - Rodrigues (96%) def. Caula (4%)
- UTR: SCAR - Rodrigues (95%) def. Caula (5%)
- ITA: SCAR - Rodrigues (58.79) def. Caula (2.92)
Davide Innocenti (UNCW) - 8-3 at #2, 8-4 in duals, 8-4 overall
Connor Thomson (SCAR) - 6-5 at #2, 11-8 in duals, 18-12 overallPredictions
- Composite: SCAR - Thomson (92%) def. Innocenti (8%)
- Slam: SCAR - Thomson (91%) def. Innocenti (9%)
- TRN: SCAR - Thomson (96%) def. Innocenti (4%)
- Massey: SCAR - Thomson (92%) def. Innocenti (8%)
- UTR: SCAR - Thomson (91%) def. Innocenti (9%)
- ITA: SCAR - Thomson (28.97) def. Innocenti (2.85)
Daniel Groom (UNCW) - 7-3 at #3, 10-4 in duals, 10-4 overall
Toby Samuel (SCAR) - 4-2 at #3, 16-4 in duals, 24-7 overallPredictions
- Composite: SCAR - Samuel (92%) def. Groom (8%)
- Slam: SCAR - Samuel (90%) def. Groom (10%)
- TRN: SCAR - Samuel (95%) def. Groom (5%)
- Massey: SCAR - Samuel (92%) def. Groom (8%)
- UTR: SCAR - Samuel (90%) def. Groom (10%)
- ITA: SCAR - Samuel (10.78) def. Groom (2.67)
Bekhzod Rasamatov (UNCW) - 3-2 at #4, 11-4 in duals, 11-4 overall
Raphael Lambling (SCAR) - 0-2 at #4, 6-12 in duals, 11-18 overallPredictions
- Composite: SCAR - Lambling (91%) def. Rasamatov (9%)
- Slam: SCAR - Lambling (95%) def. Rasamatov (5%)
- TRN: SCAR - Lambling (93%) def. Rasamatov (7%)
- Massey: SCAR - Lambling (83%) def. Rasamatov (17%)
- UTR: SCAR - Lambling (92%) def. Rasamatov (8%)
- ITA: SCAR - Lambling (15.34) def. Rasamatov (2.15)
Gabriel Hurtado (UNCW) - 4-3 at #5, 8-6 in duals, 8-6 overall
Jake Beasley (SCAR) - 7-7 at #5, 12-8 in duals, 18-10 overallPredictions
- Composite: SCAR - Beasley (91%) def. Hurtado (9%)
- Slam: SCAR - Beasley (91%) def. Hurtado (9%)
- TRN: SCAR - Beasley (96%) def. Hurtado (4%)
- Massey: SCAR - Beasley (90%) def. Hurtado (10%)
- UTR: SCAR - Beasley (87%) def. Hurtado (13%)
- ITA: UNCW - Hurtado (1.80) def. Beasley (1.73)
Michael Copeland (UNCW) - 5-2 at #6, 13-6 in duals, 13-6 overall
Thomas Brown (SCAR) - 2-2 at #6, 3-2 in duals, 11-6 overallPredictions
- Composite: SCAR - Brown (88%) def. Copeland (12%)
- Slam: SCAR - Brown (90%) def. Copeland (10%)
- TRN: SCAR - Brown (94%) def. Copeland (6%)
- Massey: SCAR - Brown (79%) def. Copeland (21%)
- UTR: SCAR - Brown (90%) def. Copeland (10%)
- ITA: SCAR - Brown (2.19) def. Copeland (1.97)
Doubles:
Groom/Caula (UNCW) - 11-4 at #1, 11-4 in duals, 11-4 overall
Rodrigues/Thomson (SCAR) - 13-7 at #1, 13-7 in duals, 20-11 overall
Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this matchGooch/Rasamatov (UNCW) - 3-2 at #2, 7-2 in duals, 7-2 overall
Beasley/Samuel (SCAR) - 9-3 at #2, 15-7 in duals, 23-11 overall
Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this matchSprovieri/Hurtado (UNCW) - 6-1 at #3, 7-2 in duals, 7-2 overall
Lambling/Jordan (SCAR) - 4-3 at #3, 6-7 in duals, 14-10 overall
Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics
Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:
- South Carolina should win 4 or more singles matches 99% of the time.
- UNCW should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
- The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 1% of the time.
- If South Carolina wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
- If UNCW wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 1%.
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