First Round
Friday, May 7 at 1:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
Carolina Tennis Center
Columbia, South Carolina

UNCW vs #13 South Carolina

#4 UNCW

  Record: 15-6
  ITA: 46 (9.80)
  Slam: 47 (88.87)
  TRN: 48 (86.19)
  Massey: 48 (6.70)
  UTR: 47 (74.00)

#1 South Carolina

  Record: 16-9
✔ ITA: 13 (51.06)
✔ Slam: 15 (96.20)
✔ TRN: 15 (94.49)
✔ Massey: 16 (8.13)
✔ UTR: 17 (78.69)
✔ USTA Poll: 17 (133.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 13


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Match Information

South Carolina def. UNC Wilmington 4-0

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: SCAR - South Carolina (99%) def. UNCW (1%)
  • Slam: SCAR - #15 South Carolina (98%) def. #47 UNCW (2%)
  • TRN: SCAR - #15 South Carolina (99%) def. #48 UNCW (1%)
  • Massey: SCAR - #16 South Carolina (98%) def. #48 UNCW (2%)
  • Lineup: SCAR - South Carolina (99%) def. UNCW (1%)
  • UTR: SCAR - #17 South Carolina (+4.69) def. #47 UNCW (-4.69)
  • ITA: SCAR - #13 South Carolina def. #46 UNCW
  • USTA Poll: SCAR - #17 South Carolina def. UNCW
  • Coaches Poll: SCAR - #13 South Carolina def. UNCW
  • Seeding: SCAR - #1 South Carolina def. #4 UNCW

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Bruno Caula (UNCW) - 11-6 at #1, 11-6 in duals, 11-6 overall
    Daniel Rodrigues (SCAR) - 16-4 at #1, 16-4 in duals, 24-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: SCAR - Rodrigues (96%) def. Caula (4%)
    • Slam: SCAR - Rodrigues (95%) def. Caula (5%)
    • TRN: SCAR - Rodrigues (98%) def. Caula (2%)
    • Massey: SCAR - Rodrigues (96%) def. Caula (4%)
    • UTR: SCAR - Rodrigues (95%) def. Caula (5%)
    • ITA: SCAR - Rodrigues (58.79) def. Caula (2.92)
     
  2. Davide Innocenti (UNCW) - 8-3 at #2, 8-4 in duals, 8-4 overall
    Connor Thomson (SCAR) - 6-5 at #2, 11-8 in duals, 18-12 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: SCAR - Thomson (92%) def. Innocenti (8%)
    • Slam: SCAR - Thomson (91%) def. Innocenti (9%)
    • TRN: SCAR - Thomson (96%) def. Innocenti (4%)
    • Massey: SCAR - Thomson (92%) def. Innocenti (8%)
    • UTR: SCAR - Thomson (91%) def. Innocenti (9%)
    • ITA: SCAR - Thomson (28.97) def. Innocenti (2.85)
     
  3. Daniel Groom (UNCW) - 7-3 at #3, 10-4 in duals, 10-4 overall
    Toby Samuel (SCAR) - 4-2 at #3, 16-4 in duals, 24-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: SCAR - Samuel (92%) def. Groom (8%)
    • Slam: SCAR - Samuel (90%) def. Groom (10%)
    • TRN: SCAR - Samuel (95%) def. Groom (5%)
    • Massey: SCAR - Samuel (92%) def. Groom (8%)
    • UTR: SCAR - Samuel (90%) def. Groom (10%)
    • ITA: SCAR - Samuel (10.78) def. Groom (2.67)
     
  4. Bekhzod Rasamatov (UNCW) - 3-2 at #4, 11-4 in duals, 11-4 overall
    Raphael Lambling (SCAR) - 0-2 at #4, 6-12 in duals, 11-18 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: SCAR - Lambling (91%) def. Rasamatov (9%)
    • Slam: SCAR - Lambling (95%) def. Rasamatov (5%)
    • TRN: SCAR - Lambling (93%) def. Rasamatov (7%)
    • Massey: SCAR - Lambling (83%) def. Rasamatov (17%)
    • UTR: SCAR - Lambling (92%) def. Rasamatov (8%)
    • ITA: SCAR - Lambling (15.34) def. Rasamatov (2.15)
     
  5. Gabriel Hurtado (UNCW) - 4-3 at #5, 8-6 in duals, 8-6 overall
    Jake Beasley (SCAR) - 7-7 at #5, 12-8 in duals, 18-10 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: SCAR - Beasley (91%) def. Hurtado (9%)
    • Slam: SCAR - Beasley (91%) def. Hurtado (9%)
    • TRN: SCAR - Beasley (96%) def. Hurtado (4%)
    • Massey: SCAR - Beasley (90%) def. Hurtado (10%)
    • UTR: SCAR - Beasley (87%) def. Hurtado (13%)
    • ITA: UNCW - Hurtado (1.80) def. Beasley (1.73)
     
  6. Michael Copeland (UNCW) - 5-2 at #6, 13-6 in duals, 13-6 overall
    Thomas Brown (SCAR) - 2-2 at #6, 3-2 in duals, 11-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: SCAR - Brown (88%) def. Copeland (12%)
    • Slam: SCAR - Brown (90%) def. Copeland (10%)
    • TRN: SCAR - Brown (94%) def. Copeland (6%)
    • Massey: SCAR - Brown (79%) def. Copeland (21%)
    • UTR: SCAR - Brown (90%) def. Copeland (10%)
    • ITA: SCAR - Brown (2.19) def. Copeland (1.97)
     

Doubles:

  1. Groom/Caula (UNCW) - 11-4 at #1, 11-4 in duals, 11-4 overall
    Rodrigues/Thomson (SCAR) - 13-7 at #1, 13-7 in duals, 20-11 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Gooch/Rasamatov (UNCW) - 3-2 at #2, 7-2 in duals, 7-2 overall
    Beasley/Samuel (SCAR) - 9-3 at #2, 15-7 in duals, 23-11 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Sprovieri/Hurtado (UNCW) - 6-1 at #3, 7-2 in duals, 7-2 overall
    Lambling/Jordan (SCAR) - 4-3 at #3, 6-7 in duals, 14-10 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • South Carolina should win 4 or more singles matches 99% of the time.
  • UNCW should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 1% of the time.
  • If South Carolina wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If UNCW wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 1%.

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