First Round
Friday, May 7 at 10:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
Carolina Tennis Center
Columbia, South Carolina

FGCU vs NC State

#3 FGCU

  Record: 8-6
  ITA: 47 (8.38)
  Slam: 48 (87.66)
  TRN: 49 (85.24)
  Massey: 52 (6.42)
  UTR: 51 (73.58)

#2 NC State

  Record: 11-8
✔ ITA: 24 (32.38)
✔ Slam: 19 (94.44)
✔ TRN: 22 (92.30)
✔ Massey: 23 (7.70)
✔ UTR: 22 (78.11)
✔ USTA Poll: 27 (14.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 28


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Match Information

N.C. State def. Florida Gulf Coast 0-0

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: NCST - NC State (97%) def. FGCU (3%)
  • Slam: NCST - #19 NC State (98%) def. #48 FGCU (2%)
  • TRN: NCST - #22 NC State (98%) def. #49 FGCU (2%)
  • Massey: NCST - #23 NC State (93%) def. #52 FGCU (7%)
  • Lineup: NCST - NC State (98%) def. FGCU (2%)
  • UTR: NCST - #22 NC State (+4.53) def. #51 FGCU (-4.53)
  • ITA: NCST - #24 NC State def. #47 FGCU
  • USTA Poll: NCST - #27 NC State def. FGCU
  • Coaches Poll: NCST - #28 NC State def. FGCU
  • Seeding: NCST - #2 NC State def. #3 FGCU

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Magnus Johnson (FGCU) - 9-3 at #1, 9-3 in duals, 9-3 overall
    Alexis Galarneau (NCST) - 10-2 at #1, 10-2 in duals, 10-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NCST - Galarneau (85%) def. Johnson (15%)
    • Slam: NCST - Galarneau (85%) def. Johnson (15%)
    • TRN: NCST - Galarneau (83%) def. Johnson (17%)
    • Massey: NCST - Galarneau (78%) def. Johnson (22%)
    • UTR: NCST - Galarneau (93%) def. Johnson (7%)
    • ITA: NCST - Galarneau (25.90) def. Johnson (7.86)
     
  2. Juan Montes (FGCU) - 7-4 at #2, 7-4 in duals, 7-4 overall
    Rafael Izquierdo Luque (NCST) - 2-5 at #2, 7-8 in duals, 8-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NCST - Luque (77%) def. Montes (23%)
    • Slam: NCST - Luque (75%) def. Montes (25%)
    • TRN: NCST - Luque (75%) def. Montes (25%)
    • Massey: NCST - Luque (72%) def. Montes (28%)
    • UTR: NCST - Luque (86%) def. Montes (14%)
    • ITA: NCST - Luque (6.91) def. Montes (2.32)
     
  3. Randy Wilson (FGCU) - 5-5 at #3, 6-7 in duals, 6-7 overall
    Tadas Babelis (NCST) - 3-4 at #3, 5-9 in duals, 6-10 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NCST - Babelis (83%) def. Wilson (17%)
    • Slam: NCST - Babelis (84%) def. Wilson (16%)
    • TRN: NCST - Babelis (82%) def. Wilson (18%)
    • Massey: NCST - Babelis (75%) def. Wilson (25%)
    • UTR: NCST - Babelis (89%) def. Wilson (11%)
    • ITA: NCST - Babelis (2.63) def. Wilson (1.63)
     
  4. Felipe Ramirez (FGCU) - 1-1 at #4, 2-4 in duals, 2-4 overall
    Yannai Barkai (NCST) - 3-4 at #4, 5-8 in duals, 7-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NCST - Barkai (80%) def. Ramirez (20%)
    • Slam: NCST - Barkai (78%) def. Ramirez (22%)
    • TRN: NCST - Barkai (77%) def. Ramirez (23%)
    • Massey: NCST - Barkai (80%) def. Ramirez (20%)
    • UTR: NCST - Barkai (85%) def. Ramirez (15%)
    • ITA: FGCU - # Ramirez def. Barkai (2.33)
     
  5. Guglielmo Stefanacci (FGCU) - 3-3 at #5, 8-5 in duals, 8-5 overall
    Robin Catry (NCST) - 4-0 at #5, 10-5 in duals, 10-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NCST - Catry (89%) def. Stefanacci (11%)
    • Slam: NCST - Catry (94%) def. Stefanacci (6%)
    • TRN: NCST - Catry (95%) def. Stefanacci (5%)
    • Massey: NCST - Catry (77%) def. Stefanacci (23%)
    • UTR: NCST - Catry (90%) def. Stefanacci (10%)
    • ITA: NCST - Catry (3.10) def. Stefanacci (2.15)
     
  6. Alessandro Conca (FGCU) - 0-2 at #6, 3-9 in duals, 3-9 overall
    Robert Turzak (NCST) - 0-0 at #6, 6-4 in duals, 7-5 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NCST - Turzak (88%) def. Conca (12%)
    • Slam: NCST - Turzak (82%) def. Conca (18%)
    • TRN: NCST - Turzak (87%) def. Conca (13%)
    • Massey: NCST - Turzak (87%) def. Conca (13%)
    • UTR: NCST - Turzak (95%) def. Conca (5%)
    • ITA: FGCU - # Conca def. Turzak (1.56)
     

Doubles:

  1. Johnson/Damm (FGCU) - 4-3 at #1, 7-4 in duals, 7-4 overall
    Babelis/Barkai (NCST) - 4-3 at #1, 5-3 in duals, 6-3 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Ramirez/Montes (FGCU) - 2-1 at #2, 2-1 in duals, 2-1 overall
    Catry/Galarneau (NCST) - 2-1 at #2, 2-1 in duals, 2-1 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Wilson/Sakalauskas (FGCU) - 0-0 at #3, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Shick/Turzak (NCST) - 0-1 at #3, 0-1 in duals, 0-1 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • NC State should win 4 or more singles matches 94% of the time.
  • FGCU should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 5% of the time.
  • If NC State wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If FGCU wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 6%.

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