First Round
Saturday, May 8 at 10:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
Texas Tennis Center
Austin, Texas

Northwestern vs UCLA

#3 Northwestern

  Record: 14-7
  ITA: 50 (7.82)
  Slam: 33 (92.89)
  TRN: 32 (90.90)
  Massey: 31 (7.50)
  UTR: 27 (77.56)
  Coaches Poll: 46

#2 UCLA

  Record: 13-7
✔ ITA: 23 (32.53)
✔ Slam: 23 (93.84)
✔ TRN: 24 (91.84)
✔ Massey: 19 (8.03)
✔ UTR: 13 (79.06)
✔ USTA Poll: 24 (52.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 29


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Match Information

Northwestern def. UCLA 4-1
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Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: UCLA - UCLA (58%) def. Northwestern (42%)
  • Slam: UCLA - #23 UCLA (63%) def. #33 Northwestern (37%)
  • TRN: UCLA - #24 UCLA (63%) def. #32 Northwestern (37%)
  • Massey: UCLA - #19 UCLA (71%) def. #31 Northwestern (29%)
  • Lineup: NW - Northwestern (65%) def. UCLA (35%)
  • UTR: UCLA - #13 UCLA (+1.50) def. #27 Northwestern (-1.50)
  • ITA: UCLA - #23 UCLA def. #50 Northwestern
  • USTA Poll: UCLA - #24 UCLA def. Northwestern
  • Coaches Poll: UCLA - #29 UCLA def. #46 Northwestern
  • Seeding: UCLA - #2 UCLA def. #3 Northwestern

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Steven Forman (NW) - 5-2 at #1, 5-2 in duals, 5-2 overall
    Govind Nanda (UCLA) - 2-2 at #1, 8-3 in duals, 8-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UCLA - Nanda (59%) def. Forman (41%)
    • Slam: UCLA - Nanda (50%) def. Forman (50%)
    • TRN: NW - Forman (57%) def. Nanda (43%)
    • Massey: UCLA - Nanda (60%) def. Forman (40%)
    • UTR: UCLA - Nanda (85%) def. Forman (15%)
    • ITA: UCLA - Nanda (4.24) def. Forman (2.23)
     
  2. Dominik Starý (NW) - 4-0 at #2, 8-4 in duals, 9-6 overall
    Drew Baird (UCLA) - 5-2 at #2, 9-6 in duals, 9-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NW - Starý (63%) def. Baird (37%)
    • Slam: NW - Starý (75%) def. Baird (25%)
    • TRN: NW - Starý (76%) def. Baird (24%)
    • Massey: NW - Starý (67%) def. Baird (33%)
    • UTR: UCLA - Baird (66%) def. Starý (34%)
    • ITA: UCLA - Baird (3.85) def. Starý (2.05)
     
  3. Nick Brookes (NW) - 1-5 at #3, 9-7 in duals, 11-9 overall
    Ben Goldberg (UCLA) - 5-2 at #3, 8-8 in duals, 9-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NW - Brookes (65%) def. Goldberg (35%)
    • Slam: NW - Brookes (68%) def. Goldberg (32%)
    • TRN: NW - Brookes (55%) def. Goldberg (45%)
    • Massey: NW - Brookes (62%) def. Goldberg (38%)
    • UTR: NW - Brookes (76%) def. Goldberg (24%)
    • ITA: UCLA - Goldberg (1.97) def. Brookes (1.58)
     
  4. Chris Ephron (NW) - 5-1 at #4, 9-5 in duals, 12-6 overall
    Sam Feit (UCLA) - 6-1 at #4, 11-5 in duals, 11-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NW - Ephron (53%) def. Feit (47%)
    • Slam: NW - Ephron (66%) def. Feit (34%)
    • TRN: NW - Ephron (52%) def. Feit (48%)
    • Massey: NW - Ephron (51%) def. Feit (49%)
    • UTR: UCLA - Feit (56%) def. Ephron (44%)
    • ITA: NW - Ephron (2.01) def. Feit (1.91)
     
  5. Trice Pickens (NW) - 3-3 at #5, 8-10 in duals, 13-10 overall
    Roscoe Bellamy (UCLA) - 2-1 at #5, 8-2 in duals, 8-2 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NW - Pickens (51%) def. Bellamy (49%)
    • Slam: NW - Pickens (72%) def. Bellamy (28%)
    • TRN: NW - Pickens (64%) def. Bellamy (36%)
    • Massey: UCLA - Bellamy (55%) def. Pickens (45%)
    • UTR: UCLA - Bellamy (81%) def. Pickens (19%)
    • ITA: UCLA - Bellamy (2.89) def. Pickens (1.58)
     
  6. Simen Bratholm (NW) - 0-0 at #6, 5-4 in duals, 8-5 overall
    Mathew Tsolakyan (UCLA) - 4-2 at #6, 10-3 in duals, 11-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NW - Bratholm (59%) def. Tsolakyan (41%)
    • Slam: NW - Bratholm (68%) def. Tsolakyan (32%)
    • TRN: NW - Bratholm (70%) def. Tsolakyan (30%)
    • Massey: NW - Bratholm (63%) def. Tsolakyan (37%)
    • UTR: UCLA - Tsolakyan (62%) def. Bratholm (38%)
    • ITA: UCLA - Tsolakyan (2.57) def. Bratholm (2.06)
     

Doubles:

  1. Brookes/Bratholm (NW) - 9-4 at #1, 9-4 in duals, 12-7 overall
    Nanda/Baird (UCLA) - 2-2 at #1, 4-5 in duals, 4-5 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Ephron/Stary (NW) - 12-4 at #2, 12-4 in duals, 12-4 overall
    Pereira/Zahraj (UCLA) - 2-2 at #2, 2-2 in duals, 2-2 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Forman/Spear (NW) - 5-1 at #3, 5-1 in duals, 5-1 overall
    Tsolakyan/Bellamy (UCLA) - 5-3 at #3, 5-3 in duals, 5-3 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • UCLA should win 4 or more singles matches 24% of the time.
  • Northwestern should win 4 or more singles matches 45% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 31% of the time.
  • If UCLA wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 55%.
  • If Northwestern wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 76%.

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