First Round
Saturday, May 8 at 10:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
Alfred A. Ring Tennis Complex
Gainesville, Florida

Duke vs South Fla.

#3 Duke

  Record: 12-11
  ITA: 32 (25.72)
✔ Slam: 31 (93.00)
  TRN: 36 (90.55)
  Massey: 34 (7.39)
✔ UTR: 32 (76.86)
  Coaches Poll: 36

#2 South Fla.

  Record: 17-9
✔ ITA: 31 (26.04)
  Slam: 32 (92.98)
✔ TRN: 34 (90.69)
✔ Massey: 32 (7.49)
  UTR: 37 (76.51)
✔ Coaches Poll: 33


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Match Information

South Florida def. Duke 4-2
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Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: USF - South Fla. (53%) def. Duke (47%)
  • Slam: DUKE - #31 Duke (51%) def. #32 South Fla. (49%)
  • TRN: USF - #34 South Fla. (52%) def. #36 Duke (48%)
  • Massey: USF - #32 South Fla. (60%) def. #34 Duke (40%)
  • Lineup: USF - South Fla. (51%) def. Duke (49%)
  • UTR: DUKE - #32 Duke (+0.35) def. #37 South Fla. (-0.35)
  • ITA: USF - #31 South Fla. def. #32 Duke
  • Coaches Poll: USF - #33 South Fla. def. #36 Duke
  • Seeding: USF - #2 South Fla. def. #3 Duke

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Garrett Johns (DUKE) - 8-8 at #1, 8-8 in duals, 9-9 overall
    Jakub Wojcik (USF) - 4-1 at #1, 17-6 in duals, 17-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: DUKE - Johns (51%) def. Wojcik (49%)
    • Slam: DUKE - Johns (54%) def. Wojcik (46%)
    • TRN: USF - Wojcik (68%) def. Johns (32%)
    • Massey: USF - Wojcik (57%) def. Johns (43%)
    • UTR: DUKE - Johns (75%) def. Wojcik (25%)
    • ITA: USF - Wojcik (16.76) def. Johns (9.19)
     
  2. Sean Sculley (DUKE) - 2-3 at #2, 5-4 in duals, 6-4 overall
    Chase Ferguson (USF) - 5-0 at #2, 13-9 in duals, 13-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: USF - Ferguson (63%) def. Sculley (37%)
    • Slam: USF - Ferguson (74%) def. Sculley (26%)
    • TRN: USF - Ferguson (57%) def. Sculley (43%)
    • Massey: USF - Ferguson (67%) def. Sculley (33%)
    • UTR: USF - Ferguson (53%) def. Sculley (47%)
    • ITA: USF - Ferguson (11.90) def. Sculley (3.41)
     
  3. Andrew Zhang (DUKE) - 5-1 at #3, 10-5 in duals, 12-5 overall
    Ivan Yatsuk (USF) - 12-6 at #3, 15-7 in duals, 15-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: DUKE - Zhang (53%) def. Yatsuk (47%)
    • Slam: USF - Yatsuk (51%) def. Zhang (49%)
    • TRN: USF - Yatsuk (57%) def. Zhang (43%)
    • Massey: DUKE - Zhang (54%) def. Yatsuk (46%)
    • UTR: DUKE - Zhang (67%) def. Yatsuk (33%)
    • ITA: DUKE - Zhang (3.87) def. Yatsuk (2.48)
     
  4. Edu Guell (DUKE) - 0-1 at #4, 7-10 in duals, 8-11 overall
    Antonio Muniz-Hidalgo (USF) - 1-1 at #4, 5-4 in duals, 5-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: DUKE - Guell (52%) def. Muniz-Hidalgo (48%)
    • Slam: DUKE - Guell (74%) def. Muniz-Hidalgo (26%)
    • TRN: DUKE - Guell (57%) def. Muniz-Hidalgo (43%)
    • Massey: USF - Muniz-Hidalgo (56%) def. Guell (44%)
    • UTR: USF - Muniz-Hidalgo (66%) def. Guell (34%)
    • ITA: DUKE - Guell (4.04) def. Muniz-Hidalgo (1.67)
     
  5. Luca Keist (DUKE) - 3-2 at #5, 7-3 in duals, 8-3 overall
    Pierre Luquet (USF) - 0-2 at #5, 8-10 in duals, 8-10 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: DUKE - Keist (56%) def. Luquet (44%)
    • Slam: DUKE - Keist (61%) def. Luquet (39%)
    • TRN: DUKE - Keist (71%) def. Luquet (29%)
    • Massey: DUKE - Keist (61%) def. Luquet (39%)
    • UTR: USF - Luquet (68%) def. Keist (32%)
    • ITA: DUKE - Keist (3.16) def. Luquet (1.56)
     
  6. Andrew Dale (DUKE) - 0-2 at #6, 8-4 in duals, 10-4 overall
    Sergio Gomez-Montesa (USF) - 2-1 at #6, 13-10 in duals, 13-10 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: USF - Gomez-Montesa (52%) def. Dale (48%)
    • Slam: DUKE - Dale (52%) def. Gomez-Montesa (48%)
    • TRN: USF - Gomez-Montesa (58%) def. Dale (42%)
    • Massey: USF - Gomez-Montesa (58%) def. Dale (42%)
    • UTR: DUKE - Dale (53%) def. Gomez-Montesa (47%)
    • ITA: DUKE - Dale (2.29) def. Gomez-Montesa (1.78)
     

Doubles:

  1. Sculley/Johns (DUKE) - 8-7 at #1, 8-7 in duals, 9-8 overall
    Bollipalli/Wojcik (USF) - 9-7 at #1, 9-7 in duals, 9-7 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Heller/Zhang (DUKE) - 4-1 at #2, 5-2 in duals, 5-2 overall
    Ferguson/Yatsuk (USF) - 1-0 at #2, 2-1 in duals, 2-1 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Keist/Dale (DUKE) - 1-1 at #3, 1-1 in duals, 1-1 overall
    Goncalves/Tudorica (USF) - 0-0 at #3, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • South Fla. should win 4 or more singles matches 35% of the time.
  • Duke should win 4 or more singles matches 33% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 32% of the time.
  • If South Fla. wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 67%.
  • If Duke wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 65%.

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