First Round
Saturday, May 8 at 1:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
Texas Tennis Center
Austin, Texas

Northern Ariz. vs #4 Texas

#4 Northern Ariz.

  Record: 8-9
  ITA: 60 (2.43)
  Slam: 57 (82.40)
  TRN: 59 (77.79)
  Massey: 58 (5.53)
  UTR: 58 (70.85)

#1 Texas

  Record: 21-5
✔ ITA: 4 (74.24)
✔ Slam: 8 (97.59)
✔ TRN: 7 (97.63)
✔ Massey: 11 (8.54)
✔ UTR: 14 (79.01)
✔ USTA Poll: 8 (263.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 4


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Match Information

Texas def. Northern Arizona 4-0
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Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: TEX - Texas (99%) def. Northern Ariz. (1%)
  • Slam: TEX - #8 Texas (99%) def. #57 Northern Ariz. (1%)
  • TRN: TEX - #7 Texas (99%) def. #59 Northern Ariz. (1%)
  • Massey: TEX - #11 Texas (99%) def. #58 Northern Ariz. (1%)
  • Lineup: TEX - Texas (99%) def. Northern Ariz. (1%)
  • UTR: TEX - #14 Texas (+8.16) def. #58 Northern Ariz. (-8.16)
  • ITA: TEX - #4 Texas def. #60 Northern Ariz.
  • USTA Poll: TEX - #8 Texas def. Northern Ariz.
  • Coaches Poll: TEX - #4 Texas def. Northern Ariz.
  • Seeding: TEX - #1 Texas def. #4 Northern Ariz.

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Eban Straker-Meads (NAU) - 5-4 at #1, 6-6 in duals, 6-6 overall
    Eliot Spizzirri (TEX) - 9-6 at #1, 15-8 in duals, 22-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TEX - Spizzirri (96%) def. Straker-Meads (4%)
    • Slam: TEX - Spizzirri (95%) def. Straker-Meads (5%)
    • TRN: TEX - Spizzirri (98%) def. Straker-Meads (2%)
    • Massey: TEX - Spizzirri (94%) def. Straker-Meads (6%)
    • UTR: TEX - Spizzirri (95%) def. Straker-Meads (5%)
    • ITA: TEX - Spizzirri (28.17) def. Straker-Meads (1.70)
     
  2. Facundo Tumosa (NAU) - 3-3 at #2, 5-6 in duals, 5-6 overall
    Micah Braswell (TEX) - 9-4 at #2, 17-5 in duals, 32-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TEX - Braswell (96%) def. Tumosa (4%)
    • Slam: TEX - Braswell (95%) def. Tumosa (5%)
    • TRN: TEX - Braswell (98%) def. Tumosa (2%)
    • Massey: TEX - Braswell (96%) def. Tumosa (4%)
    • UTR: TEX - Braswell (96%) def. Tumosa (4%)
    • ITA: TEX - Braswell (20.88) def. Tumosa (1.38)
     
  3. Dominik Buzonics (NAU) - 4-3 at #3, 6-8 in duals, 6-8 overall
    Siem Woldeab (TEX) - 5-1 at #3, 9-7 in duals, 14-12 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TEX - Woldeab (99%) def. Buzonics (1%)
    • Slam: TEX - Woldeab (99%) def. Buzonics (1%)
    • TRN: TEX - Woldeab (99%) def. Buzonics (1%)
    • Massey: TEX - Woldeab (99%) def. Buzonics (1%)
    • UTR: TEX - Woldeab (97%) def. Buzonics (3%)
    • ITA: TEX - Woldeab (9.31) def. Buzonics (1.51)
     
  4. Christopher Steele (NAU) - 3-0 at #4, 7-7 in duals, 7-7 overall
    Cleeve Harper (TEX) - 14-3 at #4, 17-5 in duals, 22-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TEX - Harper (98%) def. Steele (2%)
    • Slam: TEX - Harper (98%) def. Steele (2%)
    • TRN: TEX - Harper (99%) def. Steele (1%)
    • Massey: TEX - Harper (98%) def. Steele (2%)
    • UTR: TEX - Harper (98%) def. Steele (2%)
    • ITA: TEX - Harper (5.83) def. Steele (2.01)
     
  5. Maciej Ziomber (NAU) - 5-2 at #5, 11-4 in duals, 11-4 overall
    Chih Chi Huang (TEX) - 9-7 at #5, 11-8 in duals, 15-17 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TEX - Huang (91%) def. Ziomber (9%)
    • Slam: TEX - Huang (95%) def. Ziomber (5%)
    • TRN: TEX - Huang (95%) def. Ziomber (5%)
    • Massey: TEX - Huang (82%) def. Ziomber (18%)
    • UTR: TEX - Huang (92%) def. Ziomber (8%)
    • ITA: TEX - # Huang def. Ziomber (2.68)
     
  6. Alexander Groves (NAU) - 3-0 at #6, 6-8 in duals, 6-8 overall
    Evin McDonald (TEX) - 6-9 at #6, 11-10 in duals, 15-16 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TEX - McDonald (94%) def. Groves (6%)
    • Slam: TEX - McDonald (96%) def. Groves (4%)
    • TRN: TEX - McDonald (98%) def. Groves (2%)
    • Massey: TEX - McDonald (85%) def. Groves (15%)
    • UTR: TEX - McDonald (96%) def. Groves (4%)
     

Doubles:

  1. Groves/Buzonics (NAU) - 3-2 at #1, 3-2 in duals, 3-2 overall
    Spizzirri/Woldeab (TEX) - 12-9 at #1, 12-9 in duals, 19-9 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Tumosa/Straker-Meads (NAU) - 1-0 at #2, 1-0 in duals, 1-0 overall
    Harper/Huang (TEX) - 5-4 at #2, 6-4 in duals, 10-7 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Steele/Ziomber (NAU) - 3-0 at #3, 3-0 in duals, 3-0 overall
    Braswell/Holden (TEX) - 4-1 at #3, 4-1 in duals, 7-2 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Texas should win 4 or more singles matches 99% of the time.
  • Northern Ariz. should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 1% of the time.
  • If Texas wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If Northern Ariz. wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 1%.

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