First Round
Friday, May 7 at 1:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
Boone Tennis Complex
Lexington, Kentucky

Cleveland St. vs #14 Kentucky

#4 Cleveland St.

  Record: 18-5
  ITA: 55 (4.93)
  Slam: 55 (84.36)
  TRN: 55 (81.28)
  Massey: 54 (5.83)
  UTR: 53 (71.52)

#1 Kentucky

  Record: 19-7
✔ ITA: 15 (44.81)
✔ Slam: 17 (95.87)
✔ TRN: 17 (93.83)
✔ Massey: 17 (8.12)
✔ UTR: 16 (78.88)
✔ USTA Poll: 19 (111.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 15


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Match Information

Kentucky def. Cleveland State 4-1

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: UK - Kentucky (99%) def. Cleveland St. (1%)
  • Slam: UK - #17 Kentucky (99%) def. #55 Cleveland St. (1%)
  • TRN: UK - #17 Kentucky (99%) def. #55 Cleveland St. (1%)
  • Massey: UK - #17 Kentucky (99%) def. #54 Cleveland St. (1%)
  • Lineup: UK - Kentucky (99%) def. Cleveland St. (1%)
  • UTR: UK - #16 Kentucky (+7.36) def. #53 Cleveland St. (-7.36)
  • ITA: UK - #15 Kentucky def. #55 Cleveland St.
  • USTA Poll: UK - #19 Kentucky def. Cleveland St.
  • Coaches Poll: UK - #15 Kentucky def. Cleveland St.
  • Seeding: UK - #1 Kentucky def. #4 Cleveland St.

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Nico Mostardi (CLEV) - 6-3 at #1, 6-3 in duals, 6-3 overall
    Liam Draxl (UK) - 19-2 at #1, 19-2 in duals, 19-2 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UK - Draxl (97%) def. Mostardi (3%)
    • Slam: UK - Draxl (98%) def. Mostardi (2%)
    • TRN: UK - Draxl (99%) def. Mostardi (1%)
    • Massey: UK - Draxl (95%) def. Mostardi (5%)
    • UTR: UK - Draxl (96%) def. Mostardi (4%)
    • ITA: UK - Draxl (64.58) def. Mostardi (2.33)
     
  2. Matt Terry (CLEV) - 6-2 at #2, 15-4 in duals, 15-4 overall
    Gabriel Diallo (UK) - 12-5 at #2, 14-6 in duals, 19-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UK - Diallo (94%) def. Terry (6%)
    • Slam: UK - Diallo (94%) def. Terry (6%)
    • TRN: UK - Diallo (97%) def. Terry (3%)
    • Massey: UK - Diallo (90%) def. Terry (10%)
    • UTR: UK - Diallo (95%) def. Terry (5%)
    • ITA: UK - Diallo (37.70) def. Terry (2.92)
     
  3. Luke Phillips (CLEV) - 4-2 at #3, 17-3 in duals, 17-3 overall
    Millen Hurrion (UK) - 10-3 at #3, 14-4 in duals, 17-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UK - Hurrion (94%) def. Phillips (6%)
    • Slam: UK - Hurrion (96%) def. Phillips (4%)
    • TRN: UK - Hurrion (96%) def. Phillips (4%)
    • Massey: UK - Hurrion (92%) def. Phillips (8%)
    • UTR: UK - Hurrion (94%) def. Phillips (6%)
    • ITA: UK - Hurrion (22.80) def. Phillips (2.83)
     
  4. Maxime Mareschal-Hay (CLEV) - 3-2 at #4, 17-4 in duals, 17-4 overall
    Cesar Bourgois (UK) - 9-6 at #4, 14-6 in duals, 14-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UK - Bourgois (94%) def. Mareschal-Hay (6%)
    • Slam: UK - Bourgois (95%) def. Mareschal-Hay (5%)
    • TRN: UK - Bourgois (96%) def. Mareschal-Hay (4%)
    • Massey: UK - Bourgois (93%) def. Mareschal-Hay (7%)
    • UTR: UK - Bourgois (93%) def. Mareschal-Hay (7%)
    • ITA: UK - Bourgois (7.98) def. Mareschal-Hay (2.45)
     
  5. Clark Bilinovich (CLEV) - 2-2 at #5, 9-6 in duals, 9-6 overall
    Joshua Lapadat (UK) - 3-3 at #5, 6-9 in duals, 11-10 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UK - Lapadat (97%) def. Bilinovich (3%)
    • Slam: UK - Lapadat (99%) def. Bilinovich (1%)
    • TRN: UK - Lapadat (99%) def. Bilinovich (1%)
    • Massey: UK - Lapadat (94%) def. Bilinovich (6%)
    • UTR: UK - Lapadat (97%) def. Bilinovich (3%)
    • ITA: UK - Lapadat (6.21) def. Bilinovich (1.91)
     
  6. Raul Teichmann (CLEV) - 0-2 at #6, 3-4 in duals, 3-4 overall
    Alexandre LeBlanc (UK) - 2-4 at #6, 4-4 in duals, 5-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UK - LeBlanc (95%) def. Teichmann (5%)
    • Slam: UK - LeBlanc (97%) def. Teichmann (3%)
    • TRN: UK - LeBlanc (97%) def. Teichmann (3%)
    • Massey: UK - LeBlanc (91%) def. Teichmann (9%)
    • UTR: UK - LeBlanc (96%) def. Teichmann (4%)
     

Doubles:

  1. Mostardi/Phillips (CLEV) - 11-4 at #1, 11-4 in duals, 11-4 overall
    Diallo/Bourgois (UK) - 14-7 at #1, 14-7 in duals, 14-7 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Terry/Mareschal-Hay (CLEV) - 0-0 at #2, 11-4 in duals, 11-4 overall
    Draxl/Hurrion (UK) - 6-2 at #2, 6-2 in duals, 6-2 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Bilinovich/Mindry (CLEV) - 6-0 at #3, 6-0 in duals, 6-0 overall
    Lapadat/LeBlanc (UK) - 4-2 at #3, 4-2 in duals, 4-4 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Kentucky should win 4 or more singles matches 99% of the time.
  • Cleveland St. should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 1% of the time.
  • If Kentucky wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If Cleveland St. wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 1%.

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