First Round
Saturday, May 8 at 1:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
Dan Magill Tennis Complex
Athens, Georgia

ETSU vs #11 Georgia

#4 ETSU

  Record: 13-8
  ITA: 49 (7.90)
  Slam: 51 (87.30)
  TRN: 52 (84.02)
  Massey: 50 (6.56)
  UTR: 49 (73.91)

#1 Georgia

  Record: 15-6
✔ ITA: 11 (54.91)
✔ Slam: 16 (96.08)
✔ TRN: 14 (94.91)
✔ Massey: 15 (8.18)
✔ UTR: 19 (78.43)
✔ USTA Poll: 18 (131.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 11


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Match Information

Georgia def. ETSU 4-0
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Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: UGA - Georgia (99%) def. ETSU (1%)
  • Slam: UGA - #16 Georgia (99%) def. #51 ETSU (1%)
  • TRN: UGA - #14 Georgia (99%) def. #52 ETSU (1%)
  • Massey: UGA - #15 Georgia (99%) def. #50 ETSU (1%)
  • Lineup: UGA - Georgia (99%) def. ETSU (1%)
  • UTR: UGA - #19 Georgia (+4.52) def. #49 ETSU (-4.52)
  • ITA: UGA - #11 Georgia def. #49 ETSU
  • USTA Poll: UGA - #18 Georgia def. ETSU
  • Coaches Poll: UGA - #11 Georgia def. ETSU
  • Seeding: UGA - #1 Georgia def. #4 ETSU

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Dimitri Badra (ETSU) - 11-3 at #1, 14-5 in duals, 14-5 overall
    Trent Bryde (UGA) - 9-10 at #1, 9-10 in duals, 14-13 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UGA - Bryde (81%) def. Badra (19%)
    • Slam: UGA - Bryde (85%) def. Badra (15%)
    • TRN: UGA - Bryde (80%) def. Badra (20%)
    • Massey: UGA - Bryde (70%) def. Badra (30%)
    • UTR: UGA - Bryde (88%) def. Badra (12%)
    • ITA: UGA - Bryde (36.71) def. Badra (10.52)
     
  2. Frazier Rengifo (ETSU) - 10-4 at #2, 11-7 in duals, 11-7 overall
    Tyler Zink (UGA) - 6-5 at #2, 9-5 in duals, 11-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UGA - Zink (88%) def. Rengifo (12%)
    • Slam: UGA - Zink (90%) def. Rengifo (10%)
    • TRN: UGA - Zink (93%) def. Rengifo (7%)
    • Massey: UGA - Zink (78%) def. Rengifo (22%)
    • UTR: UGA - Zink (91%) def. Rengifo (9%)
    • ITA: UGA - Zink (25.30) def. Rengifo (2.55)
     
  3. Juan Lugo (ETSU) - 5-1 at #3, 9-5 in duals, 9-5 overall
    Philip Henning (UGA) - 11-4 at #3, 13-6 in duals, 18-10 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UGA - Henning (96%) def. Lugo (4%)
    • Slam: UGA - Henning (97%) def. Lugo (3%)
    • TRN: UGA - Henning (97%) def. Lugo (3%)
    • Massey: UGA - Henning (94%) def. Lugo (6%)
    • UTR: UGA - Henning (94%) def. Lugo (6%)
    • ITA: UGA - Henning (31.73) def. Lugo (2.15)
     
  4. Thiago Pernas (ETSU) - 7-2 at #4, 10-8 in duals, 10-8 overall
    Blake Croyder (UGA) - 10-2 at #4, 11-5 in duals, 15-12 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UGA - Croyder (92%) def. Pernas (8%)
    • Slam: UGA - Croyder (93%) def. Pernas (7%)
    • TRN: UGA - Croyder (96%) def. Pernas (4%)
    • Massey: UGA - Croyder (88%) def. Pernas (12%)
    • UTR: UGA - Croyder (91%) def. Pernas (9%)
    • ITA: UGA - Croyder (4.08) def. Pernas (1.71)
     
  5. MIguel Este (ETSU) - 1-1 at #5, 8-5 in duals, 8-5 overall
    Billy Rowe (UGA) - 8-4 at #5, 12-7 in duals, 16-10 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UGA - Rowe (96%) def. Este (4%)
    • Slam: UGA - Rowe (98%) def. Este (2%)
    • TRN: UGA - Rowe (99%) def. Este (1%)
    • Massey: UGA - Rowe (94%) def. Este (6%)
    • UTR: UGA - Rowe (96%) def. Este (4%)
    • ITA: ETSU - Este (2.15) def. Rowe (1.84)
     
  6. Juan Zabala (ETSU) - 2-1 at #6, 6-4 in duals, 6-4 overall
    Erik Grevelius (UGA) - 7-3 at #6, 9-4 in duals, 15-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UGA - Grevelius (95%) def. Zabala (5%)
    • Slam: UGA - Grevelius (97%) def. Zabala (3%)
    • TRN: UGA - Grevelius (97%) def. Zabala (3%)
    • Massey: UGA - Grevelius (95%) def. Zabala (5%)
    • UTR: UGA - Grevelius (92%) def. Zabala (8%)
    • ITA: UGA - Grevelius (2.48) def. Zabala (1.96)
     

Doubles:

  1. Lugo/Rengifo (ETSU) - 8-5 at #1, 8-5 in duals, 8-5 overall
    Bryde/Zink (UGA) - 8-4 at #1, 8-4 in duals, 13-6 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Este/Badra (ETSU) - 4-0 at #2, 12-1 in duals, 12-1 overall
    Croyder/Rowe (UGA) - 7-5 at #2, 8-5 in duals, 10-5 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Zabala/Pernas (ETSU) - 4-2 at #3, 8-4 in duals, 8-4 overall
    Henning/Grevelius (UGA) - 9-5 at #3, 10-5 in duals, 10-7 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Georgia should win 4 or more singles matches 99% of the time.
  • ETSU should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 1% of the time.
  • If Georgia wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If ETSU wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 1%.

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