First Round
Saturday, May 8 at 10:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
Cone-Kenfield Center
Chapel Hill, North Carolina

#3 Navy

  Record: 9-1
  ITA: 48 (8.28)
  Slam: 53 (86.71)
  TRN: 47 (87.45)
  Massey: 55 (5.80)
  UTR: 57 (70.91)

#2 Oklahoma St.

  Record: 10-11
✔ ITA: 19 (35.31)
✔ Slam: 24 (93.68)
✔ TRN: 23 (91.93)
✔ Massey: 29 (7.54)
✔ UTR: 19 (78.43)
✔ USTA Poll: RV (2.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 21


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Match Information

Oklahoma State def. Navy 4-0
Go to Live Stats

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: OKST - Oklahoma St. (97%) def. Navy (3%)
  • Slam: OKST - #24 Oklahoma St. (98%) def. #53 Navy (2%)
  • TRN: OKST - #23 Oklahoma St. (92%) def. #47 Navy (8%)
  • Massey: OKST - #29 Oklahoma St. (99%) def. #55 Navy (1%)
  • Lineup: OKST - Oklahoma St. (99%) def. Navy (1%)
  • UTR: OKST - #19 Oklahoma St. (+7.52) def. #57 Navy (-7.52)
  • ITA: OKST - #19 Oklahoma St. def. #48 Navy
  • USTA Poll: OKST - RV Oklahoma St. def. Navy
  • Coaches Poll: OKST - #21 Oklahoma St. def. Navy
  • Seeding: OKST - #2 Oklahoma St. def. #3 Navy

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Andrew Ton (NAVY) - 8-0 at #1, 8-0 in duals, 8-0 overall
    Matej Vocel (OKST) - 11-5 at #1, 11-5 in duals, 11-5 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: OKST - Vocel (92%) def. Ton (8%)
    • Slam: OKST - Vocel (92%) def. Ton (8%)
    • TRN: OKST - Vocel (93%) def. Ton (7%)
    • Massey: OKST - Vocel (88%) def. Ton (12%)
    • UTR: OKST - Vocel (95%) def. Ton (5%)
    • ITA: OKST - Vocel (20.98) def. Ton (4.17)
     
  2. Derrick Thompson (NAVY) - 9-0 at #2, 9-0 in duals, 9-0 overall
    Henrik Korsgaard (OKST) - 3-2 at #2, 9-9 in duals, 9-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: OKST - Korsgaard (81%) def. Thompson (19%)
    • Slam: OKST - Korsgaard (81%) def. Thompson (19%)
    • TRN: OKST - Korsgaard (84%) def. Thompson (16%)
    • Massey: OKST - Korsgaard (73%) def. Thompson (27%)
    • UTR: OKST - Korsgaard (85%) def. Thompson (15%)
    • ITA: NAVY - Thompson (4.17) def. Korsgaard (2.00)
     
  3. Jake Fishkin (NAVY) - 2-4 at #3, 2-4 in duals, 2-4 overall
    Emile Hudd (OKST) - 5-2 at #3, 7-7 in duals, 9-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: OKST - Hudd (99%) def. Fishkin (1%)
    • Slam: OKST - Hudd (99%) def. Fishkin (1%)
    • TRN: OKST - Hudd (99%) def. Fishkin (1%)
    • Massey: OKST - Hudd (98%) def. Fishkin (2%)
    • UTR: OKST - Hudd (98%) def. Fishkin (2%)
    • ITA: NAVY - # Fishkin def. Hudd (4.25)
     
  4. Finn Garner (NAVY) - 4-2 at #4, 4-2 in duals, 4-2 overall
    Mathieu Scaglia (OKST) - 4-5 at #4, 9-7 in duals, 9-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: OKST - Scaglia (95%) def. Garner (5%)
    • Slam: OKST - Scaglia (96%) def. Garner (4%)
    • TRN: OKST - Scaglia (97%) def. Garner (3%)
    • Massey: OKST - Scaglia (90%) def. Garner (10%)
    • UTR: OKST - Scaglia (96%) def. Garner (4%)
    • ITA: OKST - Scaglia (2.10) def. Garner (1.69)
     
  5. Gavin Segraves (NAVY) - 7-0 at #5, 8-0 in duals, 8-0 overall
    Etienne Donnet (OKST) - 3-4 at #5, 8-9 in duals, 9-14 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: OKST - Donnet (85%) def. Segraves (15%)
    • Slam: OKST - Donnet (87%) def. Segraves (13%)
    • TRN: OKST - Donnet (89%) def. Segraves (11%)
    • Massey: OKST - Donnet (74%) def. Segraves (26%)
    • UTR: OKST - Donnet (89%) def. Segraves (11%)
    • ITA: OKST - # Donnet def. Segraves (4.17)
     
  6. Jack McBride (NAVY) - 4-0 at #6, 5-0 in duals, 5-0 overall
    Matisse Bobichon (OKST) - 4-4 at #6, 4-4 in duals, 4-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: OKST - Bobichon (79%) def. McBride (21%)
    • Slam: OKST - Bobichon (81%) def. McBride (19%)
    • TRN: OKST - Bobichon (68%) def. McBride (32%)
    • Massey: OKST - Bobichon (71%) def. McBride (29%)
    • UTR: OKST - Bobichon (93%) def. McBride (7%)
    • ITA: NAVY - McBride (2.91) def. Bobichon (1.32)
     

Doubles:

  1. Thompson/Ton (NAVY) - 0-0 at #1, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Hudd/Vocel (OKST) - 6-4 at #1, 6-4 in duals, 6-4 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Garner/Dabek (NAVY) - 0-0 at #2, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Korsgaard/Hammond (OKST) - 0-0 at #2, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Segraves/Panyan (NAVY) - 0-0 at #3, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Donnet/Bobichon (OKST) - 0-0 at #3, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Oklahoma St. should win 4 or more singles matches 98% of the time.
  • Navy should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 2% of the time.
  • If Oklahoma St. wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If Navy wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 2%.

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