First Round
Saturday, May 8 at 3:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
Bayard H. Friedman Tennis Center
Fort Worth, Texas

Arkansas vs #7 TCU

#4 Arkansas

  Record: 10-15
  ITA: 43 (18.30)
  Slam: 43 (91.55)
  TRN: 44 (89.43)
  Massey: 49 (6.64)
  UTR: 44 (75.30)
  Coaches Poll: 40

#1 TCU

  Record: 17-7
✔ ITA: 7 (69.22)
✔ Slam: 9 (97.57)
✔ TRN: 9 (96.56)
✔ Massey: 6 (8.76)
✔ UTR: 10 (79.71)
✔ USTA Poll: 11 (217.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 7


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Match Information

TCU def. Arkansas 4-0
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Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: TCU - TCU (98%) def. Arkansas (2%)
  • Slam: TCU - #9 TCU (96%) def. #43 Arkansas (4%)
  • TRN: TCU - #9 TCU (98%) def. #44 Arkansas (2%)
  • Massey: TCU - #6 TCU (99%) def. #49 Arkansas (1%)
  • Lineup: TCU - TCU (99%) def. Arkansas (1%)
  • UTR: TCU - #10 TCU (+4.41) def. #44 Arkansas (-4.41)
  • ITA: TCU - #7 TCU def. #43 Arkansas
  • USTA Poll: TCU - #11 TCU def. Arkansas
  • Coaches Poll: TCU - #7 TCU def. #40 Arkansas
  • Seeding: TCU - #1 TCU def. #4 Arkansas

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Alex Reco (ARK) - 2-11 at #1, 7-11 in duals, 8-12 overall
    Alastair Gray (TCU) - 6-4 at #1, 13-7 in duals, 13-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TCU - Gray (88%) def. Reco (12%)
    • Slam: TCU - Gray (83%) def. Reco (17%)
    • TRN: TCU - Gray (88%) def. Reco (12%)
    • Massey: TCU - Gray (91%) def. Reco (9%)
    • UTR: TCU - Gray (89%) def. Reco (11%)
    • ITA: TCU - Gray (40.15) def. Reco (4.00)
     
  2. Max Verboven (ARK) - 1-7 at #2, 3-12 in duals, 3-12 overall
    Luc Fomba (TCU) - 7-3 at #2, 12-6 in duals, 12-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TCU - Fomba (95%) def. Verboven (5%)
    • Slam: TCU - Fomba (94%) def. Verboven (6%)
    • TRN: TCU - Fomba (98%) def. Verboven (2%)
    • Massey: TCU - Fomba (98%) def. Verboven (2%)
    • UTR: TCU - Fomba (92%) def. Verboven (8%)
    • ITA: TCU - Fomba (35.12) def. Verboven (1.79)
     
  3. Nico Rousset (ARK) - 8-5 at #3, 12-9 in duals, 15-12 overall
    Sander Jong (TCU) - 10-5 at #3, 10-7 in duals, 11-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TCU - Jong (83%) def. Rousset (17%)
    • Slam: TCU - Jong (80%) def. Rousset (20%)
    • TRN: TCU - Jong (82%) def. Rousset (18%)
    • Massey: TCU - Jong (81%) def. Rousset (19%)
    • UTR: TCU - Jong (91%) def. Rousset (9%)
    • ITA: TCU - Jong (11.43) def. Rousset (9.93)
     
  4. Aleksa Bucan (ARK) - 3-4 at #4, 6-8 in duals, 10-10 overall
    Jake Fearnley (TCU) - 4-2 at #4, 8-3 in duals, 8-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TCU - Fearnley (89%) def. Bucan (11%)
    • Slam: TCU - Fearnley (84%) def. Bucan (16%)
    • TRN: TCU - Fearnley (92%) def. Bucan (8%)
    • Massey: TCU - Fearnley (90%) def. Bucan (10%)
    • UTR: TCU - Fearnley (91%) def. Bucan (9%)
    • ITA: TCU - Fearnley (5.67) def. Bucan (2.10)
     
  5. Adrien Burdet (ARK) - 11-10 at #5, 11-13 in duals, 11-13 overall
    Tomas Jirousek (TCU) - 1-1 at #5, 6-5 in duals, 7-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TCU - Jirousek (88%) def. Burdet (12%)
    • Slam: TCU - Jirousek (87%) def. Burdet (13%)
    • TRN: TCU - Jirousek (88%) def. Burdet (12%)
    • Massey: TCU - Jirousek (90%) def. Burdet (10%)
    • UTR: TCU - Jirousek (86%) def. Burdet (14%)
    • ITA: TCU - Jirousek (6.98) def. Burdet (1.73)
     
  6. Enrique Paya (ARK) - 6-10 at #6, 6-11 in duals, 6-11 overall
    Tadeas Paroulek (TCU) - 1-3 at #6, 7-11 in duals, 7-12 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TCU - Paroulek (91%) def. Paya (9%)
    • Slam: TCU - Paroulek (92%) def. Paya (8%)
    • TRN: TCU - Paroulek (95%) def. Paya (5%)
    • Massey: TCU - Paroulek (89%) def. Paya (11%)
    • UTR: TCU - Paroulek (88%) def. Paya (12%)
    • ITA: ARK - # Paya def. Paroulek (1.35)
     

Doubles:

  1. Harrison/Paya (ARK) - 3-7 at #1, 3-7 in duals, 3-7 overall
    Gray/Fomba (TCU) - 10-6 at #1, 11-6 in duals, 13-6 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Burdet/Manuel (ARK) - 6-4 at #2, 7-4 in duals, 7-4 overall
    Jong/Paroulek (TCU) - 8-1 at #2, 10-3 in duals, 11-4 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Reco/Rouset (ARK) - 11-6 at #3, 11-8 in duals, 11-8 overall
    Kruger/Fearnley (TCU) - 2-1 at #3, 4-3 in duals, 4-3 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • TCU should win 4 or more singles matches 98% of the time.
  • Arkansas should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 2% of the time.
  • If TCU wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If Arkansas wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 2%.

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