First Round
Friday, May 7 at 5:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
Atkins Tennis Center
Urbana, Illinois

DePaul vs #16 Illinois

#4 DePaul

  Record: 15-7
  ITA: 54 (5.57)
  Slam: 54 (85.74)
  TRN: 54 (82.45)
  Massey: 53 (5.94)
  UTR: 59 (70.67)

#1 Illinois

  Record: 22-2
✔ ITA: 17 (40.14)
✔ Slam: 6 (98.81)
✔ TRN: 4 (98.96)
✔ Massey: 9 (8.60)
✔ UTR: 15 (78.92)
✔ USTA Poll: 10 (231.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 13


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Match Information

Illinois def. DePaul 4-1

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: ILL - Illinois (99%) def. DePaul (1%)
  • Slam: ILL - #6 Illinois (99%) def. #54 DePaul (1%)
  • TRN: ILL - #4 Illinois (99%) def. #54 DePaul (1%)
  • Massey: ILL - #9 Illinois (99%) def. #53 DePaul (1%)
  • Lineup: ILL - Illinois (99%) def. DePaul (1%)
  • UTR: ILL - #15 Illinois (+8.25) def. #59 DePaul (-8.25)
  • ITA: ILL - #17 Illinois def. #54 DePaul
  • USTA Poll: ILL - #10 Illinois def. DePaul
  • Coaches Poll: ILL - #13 Illinois def. DePaul
  • Seeding: ILL - #1 Illinois def. #4 DePaul

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Vito Tonejc (DEP) - 11-5 at #1, 13-5 in duals, 13-5 overall
    Aleks Kovacevic (ILL) - 10-1 at #1, 10-1 in duals, 10-1 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: ILL - Kovacevic (98%) def. Tonejc (2%)
    • Slam: ILL - Kovacevic (98%) def. Tonejc (2%)
    • TRN: ILL - Kovacevic (99%) def. Tonejc (1%)
    • Massey: ILL - Kovacevic (99%) def. Tonejc (1%)
    • UTR: ILL - Kovacevic (98%) def. Tonejc (2%)
    • ITA: DEP - Tonejc (4.23) def. Kovacevic (4.00)
     
  2. Christopher Casati (DEP) - 3-7 at #2, 8-12 in duals, 8-12 overall
    Siphosothando Montsi (ILL) - 7-2 at #2, 15-3 in duals, 15-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: ILL - Montsi (99%) def. Casati (1%)
    • Slam: ILL - Montsi (99%) def. Casati (1%)
    • TRN: ILL - Montsi (99%) def. Casati (1%)
    • Massey: ILL - Montsi (98%) def. Casati (2%)
    • UTR: ILL - Montsi (98%) def. Casati (2%)
    • ITA: DEP - # Casati def. Montsi (4.79)
     
  3. Boris Spanjaard (DEP) - 8-4 at #3, 12-6 in duals, 12-6 overall
    Alex Brown (ILL) - 3-2 at #3, 8-9 in duals, 9-12 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: ILL - Brown (95%) def. Spanjaard (5%)
    • Slam: ILL - Brown (97%) def. Spanjaard (3%)
    • TRN: ILL - Brown (98%) def. Spanjaard (2%)
    • Massey: ILL - Brown (91%) def. Spanjaard (9%)
    • UTR: ILL - Brown (92%) def. Spanjaard (8%)
    • ITA: DEP - Spanjaard (2.02) def. Brown (1.47)
     
  4. Tamas Zador (DEP) - 1-1 at #4, 3-3 in duals, 3-3 overall
    Zeke Clark (ILL) - 6-1 at #4, 16-1 in duals, 19-2 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: ILL - Clark (98%) def. Zador (2%)
    • Slam: ILL - Clark (98%) def. Zador (2%)
    • TRN: ILL - Clark (99%) def. Zador (1%)
    • Massey: ILL - Clark (99%) def. Zador (1%)
    • UTR: ILL - Clark (96%) def. Zador (4%)
    • ITA: ILL - Clark (6.43) def. Zador (1.31)
     
  5. Fran Tonejc (DEP) - 1-3 at #5, 8-8 in duals, 8-8 overall
    Hunter Heck (ILL) - 9-4 at #5, 13-5 in duals, 16-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: ILL - Heck (97%) def. Tonejc (3%)
    • Slam: ILL - Heck (98%) def. Tonejc (2%)
    • TRN: ILL - Heck (99%) def. Tonejc (1%)
    • Massey: ILL - Heck (95%) def. Tonejc (5%)
    • UTR: ILL - Heck (96%) def. Tonejc (4%)
    • ITA: ILL - Heck (2.36) def. Tonejc (1.51)
     
  6. Luuk Wassener (DEP) - 3-2 at #6, 11-6 in duals, 11-6 overall
    Noe Khlif (ILL) - 5-0 at #6, 15-1 in duals, 15-1 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: ILL - Khlif (98%) def. Wassener (2%)
    • Slam: ILL - Khlif (99%) def. Wassener (1%)
    • TRN: ILL - Khlif (99%) def. Wassener (1%)
    • Massey: ILL - Khlif (97%) def. Wassener (3%)
    • UTR: ILL - Khlif (97%) def. Wassener (3%)
    • ITA: ILL - Khlif (3.59) def. Wassener (2.18)
     

Doubles:

  1. Casati/Spanjaard (DEP) - 12-4 at #1, 14-4 in duals, 14-4 overall
    Brown/Clark (ILL) - 8-2 at #1, 11-2 in duals, 11-2 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Tonejc/Wassener (DEP) - 3-2 at #2, 6-4 in duals, 6-4 overall
    Montsi/Khlif (ILL) - 5-1 at #2, 10-2 in duals, 10-2 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Tonejc/Tuff (DEP) - 5-0 at #3, 9-6 in duals, 9-6 overall
    Kovacevic/Heck (ILL) - 2-1 at #3, 3-1 in duals, 3-1 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Illinois should win 4 or more singles matches 99% of the time.
  • DePaul should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 1% of the time.
  • If Illinois wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If DePaul wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 1%.

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