Second Round
Sunday, May 9 at 12:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
Virginia Tennis Facility at the Boar’s Head Resort
Charlottesville, Virginia

Stanford vs #5 Virginia

#2 Stanford

  Record: 11-6
  ITA: 21 (34.55)
  Slam: 22 (94.00)
  TRN: 21 (92.30)
  Massey: 20 (7.97)
✔ UTR: 5 (80.08)
  USTA Poll: 22 (85.00)
  Coaches Poll: 20

#1 Virginia

  Record: 23-2
✔ ITA: 5 (74.11)
✔ Slam: 1 (100.00)
✔ TRN: 1 (100.00)
✔ Massey: 3 (9.13)
  UTR: 6 (80.03)
✔ USTA Poll: 1 (320.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 5


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Match Information

Virginia def. Stanford 4-2
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Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: UVA - Virginia (94%) def. Stanford (6%)
  • Slam: UVA - #1 Virginia (96%) def. #22 Stanford (4%)
  • TRN: UVA - #1 Virginia (98%) def. #21 Stanford (2%)
  • Massey: UVA - #3 Virginia (88%) def. #20 Stanford (12%)
  • Lineup: UVA - Virginia (93%) def. Stanford (7%)
  • UTR: STAN - #5 Stanford (+0.05) def. #6 Virginia (-0.05)
  • ITA: UVA - #5 Virginia def. #21 Stanford
  • USTA Poll: UVA - #1 Virginia def. #22 Stanford
  • Coaches Poll: UVA - #5 Virginia def. #20 Stanford
  • Seeding: UVA - #1 Virginia def. #2 Stanford

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Axel Geller (STAN) - 5-6 at #1, 6-6 in duals, 6-6 overall
    Carl Söderlund (UVA) - 12-2 at #1, 12-2 in duals, 12-2 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UVA - Söderlund (84%) def. Geller (16%)
    • Slam: UVA - Söderlund (84%) def. Geller (16%)
    • TRN: UVA - Söderlund (84%) def. Geller (16%)
    • Massey: UVA - Söderlund (87%) def. Geller (13%)
    • UTR: UVA - Söderlund (83%) def. Geller (17%)
    • ITA: UVA - Söderlund (48.38) def. Geller (6.21)
     
  2. Arthur Fery (STAN) - 6-2 at #2, 11-3 in duals, 11-3 overall
    Jeffrey von der Schulenburg (UVA) - 7-2 at #2, 16-4 in duals, 16-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UVA - Schulenburg (52%) def. Fery (48%)
    • Slam: UVA - Schulenburg (62%) def. Fery (38%)
    • TRN: UVA - Schulenburg (68%) def. Fery (32%)
    • Massey: UVA - Schulenburg (58%) def. Fery (42%)
    • UTR: STAN - Fery (79%) def. Schulenburg (21%)
    • ITA: UVA - Schulenburg (18.39) def. Fery (8.87)
     
  3. Tristan Boyer (STAN) - 1-1 at #3, 8-5 in duals, 8-5 overall
    Chris Rodesch (UVA) - 6-2 at #3, 14-6 in duals, 14-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UVA - Rodesch (51%) def. Boyer (49%)
    • Slam: UVA - Rodesch (64%) def. Boyer (36%)
    • TRN: UVA - Rodesch (64%) def. Boyer (36%)
    • Massey: UVA - Rodesch (59%) def. Boyer (41%)
    • UTR: STAN - Boyer (83%) def. Rodesch (17%)
    • ITA: UVA - Rodesch (3.82) def. Boyer (2.12)
     
  4. Alex Rotsaert (STAN) - 0-0 at #4, 4-6 in duals, 4-6 overall
    Inaki Montes de la Torre (UVA) - 6-0 at #4, 15-4 in duals, 15-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UVA - Torre (79%) def. Rotsaert (21%)
    • Slam: UVA - Torre (73%) def. Rotsaert (27%)
    • TRN: UVA - Torre (83%) def. Rotsaert (17%)
    • Massey: UVA - Torre (81%) def. Rotsaert (19%)
    • UTR: UVA - Torre (81%) def. Rotsaert (19%)
    • ITA: UVA - Torre (12.34) def. Rotsaert (1.37)
     
  5. Timothy Sah (STAN) - 6-3 at #5, 8-4 in duals, 8-4 overall
    Ryan Goetz (UVA) - 7-1 at #5, 16-5 in duals, 16-5 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UVA - Goetz (81%) def. Sah (19%)
    • Slam: UVA - Goetz (83%) def. Sah (17%)
    • TRN: UVA - Goetz (83%) def. Sah (17%)
    • Massey: UVA - Goetz (83%) def. Sah (17%)
    • UTR: UVA - Goetz (76%) def. Sah (24%)
    • ITA: UVA - Goetz (6.09) def. Sah (2.32)
     
  6. William Genesen (STAN) - 3-2 at #6, 5-3 in duals, 5-3 overall
    Gianni Ross (UVA) - 7-3 at #6, 11-3 in duals, 11-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UVA - Ross (74%) def. Genesen (26%)
    • Slam: UVA - Ross (77%) def. Genesen (23%)
    • TRN: UVA - Ross (71%) def. Genesen (29%)
    • Massey: UVA - Ross (73%) def. Genesen (27%)
    • UTR: UVA - Ross (76%) def. Genesen (24%)
    • ITA: UVA - Ross (2.67) def. Genesen (1.81)
     

Doubles:

  1. Geller/Kopczynski (STAN) - 2-0 at #1, 3-0 in duals, 3-0 overall
    Soderlund/Woodall (UVA) - 9-8 at #1, 9-8 in duals, 9-8 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Boyer/Sah (STAN) - 3-2 at #2, 3-3 in duals, 3-3 overall
    Goetz/Rodesch (UVA) - 10-5 at #2, 10-5 in duals, 10-5 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Fery/Rotsaert (STAN) - 7-0 at #3, 9-1 in duals, 9-1 overall
    von der Schulenburg/de la Torre (UVA) - 12-3 at #3, 15-4 in duals, 15-4 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Virginia should win 4 or more singles matches 77% of the time.
  • Stanford should win 4 or more singles matches 5% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 18% of the time.
  • If Virginia wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 95%.
  • If Stanford wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 23%.

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