Second Round
Saturday, May 8 at 1:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship

NC State vs #13 South Carolina

#2 NC State

  Record: 12-9
  ITA: 24 (32.38)
  Slam: 19 (94.44)
  TRN: 22 (92.30)
  Massey: 23 (7.70)
  UTR: 22 (78.11)
  USTA Poll: 27 (14.00)
  Coaches Poll: 28

#1 South Carolina

  Record: 17-9
✔ ITA: 13 (51.06)
✔ Slam: 15 (96.20)
✔ TRN: 15 (94.49)
✔ Massey: 16 (8.13)
✔ UTR: 17 (78.69)
✔ USTA Poll: 17 (133.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 13


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Match Information

South Carolina def. N.C. State 4-0
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Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: SCAR - South Carolina (81%) def. NC State (19%)
  • Slam: SCAR - #15 South Carolina (73%) def. #19 NC State (27%)
  • TRN: SCAR - #15 South Carolina (77%) def. #22 NC State (23%)
  • Massey: SCAR - #16 South Carolina (86%) def. #23 NC State (14%)
  • Lineup: SCAR - South Carolina (88%) def. NC State (12%)
  • UTR: SCAR - #17 South Carolina (+0.58) def. #22 NC State (-0.58)
  • ITA: SCAR - #13 South Carolina def. #24 NC State
  • USTA Poll: SCAR - #17 South Carolina def. #27 NC State
  • Coaches Poll: SCAR - #13 South Carolina def. #28 NC State
  • Seeding: SCAR - #1 South Carolina def. #2 NC State

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Alexis Galarneau (NCST) - 10-2 at #1, 10-2 in duals, 10-3 overall
    Daniel Rodrigues (SCAR) - 16-4 at #1, 16-4 in duals, 24-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: SCAR - Rodrigues (55%) def. Galarneau (45%)
    • Slam: SCAR - Rodrigues (58%) def. Galarneau (42%)
    • TRN: SCAR - Rodrigues (72%) def. Galarneau (28%)
    • Massey: SCAR - Rodrigues (73%) def. Galarneau (27%)
    • UTR: NCST - Galarneau (82%) def. Rodrigues (18%)
    • ITA: SCAR - Rodrigues (58.79) def. Galarneau (25.90)
     
  2. Rafael Izquierdo Luque (NCST) - 2-5 at #2, 7-8 in duals, 8-9 overall
    Connor Thomson (SCAR) - 6-5 at #2, 11-8 in duals, 18-12 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: SCAR - Thomson (78%) def. Luque (22%)
    • Slam: SCAR - Thomson (77%) def. Luque (23%)
    • TRN: SCAR - Thomson (86%) def. Luque (14%)
    • Massey: SCAR - Thomson (78%) def. Luque (22%)
    • UTR: SCAR - Thomson (70%) def. Luque (30%)
    • ITA: SCAR - Thomson (28.97) def. Luque (6.91)
     
  3. Tadas Babelis (NCST) - 3-4 at #3, 5-9 in duals, 6-10 overall
    Toby Samuel (SCAR) - 4-2 at #3, 16-4 in duals, 24-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: SCAR - Samuel (83%) def. Babelis (17%)
    • Slam: SCAR - Samuel (73%) def. Babelis (27%)
    • TRN: SCAR - Samuel (87%) def. Babelis (13%)
    • Massey: SCAR - Samuel (89%) def. Babelis (11%)
    • UTR: SCAR - Samuel (83%) def. Babelis (17%)
    • ITA: SCAR - Samuel (10.78) def. Babelis (2.63)
     
  4. Yannai Barkai (NCST) - 3-4 at #4, 5-8 in duals, 7-8 overall
    Raphael Lambling (SCAR) - 0-2 at #4, 6-12 in duals, 11-18 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: SCAR - Lambling (74%) def. Barkai (26%)
    • Slam: SCAR - Lambling (77%) def. Barkai (23%)
    • TRN: SCAR - Lambling (76%) def. Barkai (24%)
    • Massey: SCAR - Lambling (64%) def. Barkai (36%)
    • UTR: SCAR - Lambling (78%) def. Barkai (22%)
    • ITA: SCAR - Lambling (15.34) def. Barkai (2.33)
     
  5. Robin Catry (NCST) - 4-0 at #5, 10-5 in duals, 10-6 overall
    Jake Beasley (SCAR) - 7-7 at #5, 12-8 in duals, 18-10 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: SCAR - Beasley (58%) def. Catry (42%)
    • Slam: NCST - Catry (54%) def. Beasley (46%)
    • TRN: SCAR - Beasley (55%) def. Catry (45%)
    • Massey: SCAR - Beasley (60%) def. Catry (40%)
    • UTR: SCAR - Beasley (70%) def. Catry (30%)
    • ITA: NCST - Catry (3.10) def. Beasley (1.73)
     
  6. Robert Turzak (NCST) - 0-0 at #6, 6-4 in duals, 7-5 overall
    Thomas Brown (SCAR) - 2-2 at #6, 3-2 in duals, 11-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: SCAR - Brown (55%) def. Turzak (45%)
    • Slam: SCAR - Brown (66%) def. Turzak (34%)
    • TRN: SCAR - Brown (67%) def. Turzak (33%)
    • Massey: SCAR - Brown (55%) def. Turzak (45%)
    • UTR: NCST - Turzak (66%) def. Brown (34%)
    • ITA: SCAR - Brown (2.19) def. Turzak (1.56)
     

Doubles:

  1. Babelis/Barkai (NCST) - 4-3 at #1, 5-3 in duals, 6-3 overall
    Rodrigues/Thomson (SCAR) - 13-7 at #1, 13-7 in duals, 20-11 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Catry/Galarneau (NCST) - 2-1 at #2, 2-1 in duals, 2-1 overall
    Beasley/Samuel (SCAR) - 9-3 at #2, 15-7 in duals, 23-11 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Shick/Turzak (NCST) - 0-1 at #3, 0-1 in duals, 0-1 overall
    Lambling/Jordan (SCAR) - 4-3 at #3, 6-7 in duals, 14-10 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • South Carolina should win 4 or more singles matches 70% of the time.
  • NC State should win 4 or more singles matches 9% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 21% of the time.
  • If South Carolina wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 91%.
  • If NC State wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 30%.

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