Second Round
Sunday, May 9 at 1:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
Texas Tennis Center
Austin, Texas

Northwestern vs #4 Texas

#3 Northwestern

  Record: 14-8
  ITA: 50 (7.82)
  Slam: 33 (92.89)
  TRN: 32 (90.90)
  Massey: 31 (7.50)
  UTR: 27 (77.56)
  Coaches Poll: 46

#1 Texas

  Record: 22-5
✔ ITA: 4 (74.24)
✔ Slam: 8 (97.59)
✔ TRN: 7 (97.63)
✔ Massey: 11 (8.54)
✔ UTR: 14 (79.01)
✔ USTA Poll: 8 (263.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 4


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Match Information

Texas def. Northwestern 4-0
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Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: TEX - Texas (90%) def. Northwestern (10%)
  • Slam: TEX - #8 Texas (93%) def. #33 Northwestern (7%)
  • TRN: TEX - #7 Texas (97%) def. #32 Northwestern (3%)
  • Massey: TEX - #11 Texas (90%) def. #31 Northwestern (10%)
  • Lineup: TEX - Texas (81%) def. Northwestern (19%)
  • UTR: TEX - #14 Texas (+1.45) def. #27 Northwestern (-1.45)
  • ITA: TEX - #4 Texas def. #50 Northwestern
  • USTA Poll: TEX - #8 Texas def. Northwestern
  • Coaches Poll: TEX - #4 Texas def. #46 Northwestern
  • Seeding: TEX - #1 Texas def. #3 Northwestern

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Steven Forman (NW) - 5-2 at #1, 5-2 in duals, 5-2 overall
    Eliot Spizzirri (TEX) - 9-6 at #1, 15-8 in duals, 22-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TEX - Spizzirri (54%) def. Forman (46%)
    • Slam: NW - Forman (51%) def. Spizzirri (49%)
    • TRN: NW - Forman (57%) def. Spizzirri (43%)
    • Massey: TEX - Spizzirri (59%) def. Forman (41%)
    • UTR: TEX - Spizzirri (67%) def. Forman (33%)
    • ITA: TEX - Spizzirri (28.17) def. Forman (2.23)
     
  2. Dominik Starý (NW) - 4-0 at #2, 8-4 in duals, 9-6 overall
    Micah Braswell (TEX) - 9-4 at #2, 17-5 in duals, 32-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TEX - Braswell (72%) def. Starý (28%)
    • Slam: TEX - Braswell (57%) def. Starý (43%)
    • TRN: TEX - Braswell (78%) def. Starý (22%)
    • Massey: TEX - Braswell (67%) def. Starý (33%)
    • UTR: TEX - Braswell (87%) def. Starý (13%)
    • ITA: TEX - Braswell (20.88) def. Starý (2.05)
     
  3. Nick Brookes (NW) - 1-5 at #3, 9-7 in duals, 11-9 overall
    Siem Woldeab (TEX) - 5-1 at #3, 9-7 in duals, 14-12 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TEX - Woldeab (75%) def. Brookes (25%)
    • Slam: TEX - Woldeab (74%) def. Brookes (26%)
    • TRN: TEX - Woldeab (81%) def. Brookes (19%)
    • Massey: TEX - Woldeab (72%) def. Brookes (28%)
    • UTR: TEX - Woldeab (74%) def. Brookes (26%)
    • ITA: TEX - Woldeab (9.31) def. Brookes (1.58)
     
  4. Chris Ephron (NW) - 5-1 at #4, 9-5 in duals, 12-6 overall
    Cleeve Harper (TEX) - 14-3 at #4, 17-5 in duals, 22-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TEX - Harper (75%) def. Ephron (25%)
    • Slam: TEX - Harper (62%) def. Ephron (38%)
    • TRN: TEX - Harper (81%) def. Ephron (19%)
    • Massey: TEX - Harper (76%) def. Ephron (24%)
    • UTR: TEX - Harper (82%) def. Ephron (18%)
    • ITA: TEX - Harper (5.83) def. Ephron (2.01)
     
  5. Trice Pickens (NW) - 3-3 at #5, 8-10 in duals, 13-10 overall
    Chih Chi Huang (TEX) - 9-7 at #5, 11-8 in duals, 15-17 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TEX - Huang (58%) def. Pickens (42%)
    • Slam: NW - Pickens (60%) def. Huang (40%)
    • TRN: TEX - Huang (50%) def. Pickens (50%)
    • Massey: TEX - Huang (66%) def. Pickens (34%)
    • UTR: TEX - Huang (77%) def. Pickens (23%)
    • ITA: TEX - # Huang def. Pickens (1.58)
     
  6. Simen Bratholm (NW) - 0-0 at #6, 5-4 in duals, 8-5 overall
    Evin McDonald (TEX) - 6-9 at #6, 11-10 in duals, 15-16 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NW - Bratholm (61%) def. McDonald (39%)
    • Slam: NW - Bratholm (67%) def. McDonald (33%)
    • TRN: NW - Bratholm (67%) def. McDonald (33%)
    • Massey: NW - Bratholm (64%) def. McDonald (36%)
    • UTR: TEX - McDonald (55%) def. Bratholm (45%)
    • ITA: TEX - # McDonald def. Bratholm (2.06)
     

Doubles:

  1. Brookes/Bratholm (NW) - 9-4 at #1, 9-4 in duals, 12-7 overall
    Spizzirri/Woldeab (TEX) - 12-9 at #1, 12-9 in duals, 19-9 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Ephron/Stary (NW) - 12-4 at #2, 12-4 in duals, 12-4 overall
    Harper/Huang (TEX) - 5-4 at #2, 6-4 in duals, 10-7 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Forman/Spear (NW) - 5-1 at #3, 5-1 in duals, 5-1 overall
    Braswell/Holden (TEX) - 4-1 at #3, 4-1 in duals, 7-2 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Texas should win 4 or more singles matches 60% of the time.
  • Northwestern should win 4 or more singles matches 14% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 26% of the time.
  • If Texas wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 86%.
  • If Northwestern wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 40%.

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