Second Round
Saturday, May 8 at 2:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
Atkins Tennis Center
Urbana, Illinois

Notre Dame vs #16 Illinois

#2 Notre Dame

  Record: 15-11
  ITA: 34 (25.30)
  Slam: 40 (91.96)
  TRN: 42 (89.57)
  Massey: 36 (7.36)
  UTR: 38 (76.38)
  Coaches Poll: 37

#1 Illinois

  Record: 23-2
✔ ITA: 17 (40.14)
✔ Slam: 6 (98.81)
✔ TRN: 4 (98.96)
✔ Massey: 9 (8.60)
✔ UTR: 15 (78.92)
✔ USTA Poll: 10 (231.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 13


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Match Information

Illinois def. Notre Dame 4-0
Go to Live Stats

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: ILL - Illinois (97%) def. Notre Dame (3%)
  • Slam: ILL - #6 Illinois (98%) def. #40 Notre Dame (2%)
  • TRN: ILL - #4 Illinois (99%) def. #42 Notre Dame (1%)
  • Massey: ILL - #9 Illinois (92%) def. #36 Notre Dame (8%)
  • Lineup: ILL - Illinois (98%) def. Notre Dame (2%)
  • UTR: ILL - #15 Illinois (+2.54) def. #38 Notre Dame (-2.54)
  • ITA: ILL - #17 Illinois def. #34 Notre Dame
  • USTA Poll: ILL - #10 Illinois def. Notre Dame
  • Coaches Poll: ILL - #13 Illinois def. #37 Notre Dame
  • Seeding: ILL - #1 Illinois def. #2 Notre Dame

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Axel Nefve (ND) - 13-2 at #1, 18-3 in duals, 18-3 overall
    Aleks Kovacevic (ILL) - 10-1 at #1, 10-1 in duals, 10-1 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: ILL - Kovacevic (79%) def. Nefve (21%)
    • Slam: ILL - Kovacevic (79%) def. Nefve (21%)
    • TRN: ILL - Kovacevic (75%) def. Nefve (25%)
    • Massey: ILL - Kovacevic (80%) def. Nefve (20%)
    • UTR: ILL - Kovacevic (82%) def. Nefve (18%)
    • ITA: ND - Nefve (21.49) def. Kovacevic (4.00)
     
  2. Richard Ciamarra (ND) - 9-4 at #2, 14-7 in duals, 14-7 overall
    Siphosothando Montsi (ILL) - 7-2 at #2, 15-3 in duals, 15-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: ILL - Montsi (70%) def. Ciamarra (30%)
    • Slam: ILL - Montsi (68%) def. Ciamarra (32%)
    • TRN: ILL - Montsi (80%) def. Ciamarra (20%)
    • Massey: ILL - Montsi (69%) def. Ciamarra (31%)
    • UTR: ILL - Montsi (64%) def. Ciamarra (36%)
    • ITA: ND - Ciamarra (8.18) def. Montsi (4.79)
     
  3. Tristan McCormick (ND) - 8-5 at #3, 10-6 in duals, 10-6 overall
    Alex Brown (ILL) - 3-2 at #3, 8-9 in duals, 9-12 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: ILL - Brown (55%) def. McCormick (45%)
    • Slam: ILL - Brown (69%) def. McCormick (31%)
    • TRN: ILL - Brown (63%) def. McCormick (37%)
    • Massey: ILL - Brown (62%) def. McCormick (38%)
    • UTR: ND - McCormick (72%) def. Brown (28%)
    • ITA: ND - McCormick (3.76) def. Brown (1.47)
     
  4. William Howells (ND) - 0-0 at #4, 2-1 in duals, 2-1 overall
    Zeke Clark (ILL) - 6-1 at #4, 16-1 in duals, 19-2 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: ILL - Clark (95%) def. Howells (5%)
    • Slam: ILL - Clark (97%) def. Howells (3%)
    • TRN: ILL - Clark (98%) def. Howells (2%)
    • Massey: ILL - Clark (90%) def. Howells (10%)
    • UTR: ILL - Clark (95%) def. Howells (5%)
    • ITA: ND - # Howells def. Clark (6.43)
     
  5. Matthew Che (ND) - 0-1 at #5, 6-12 in duals, 6-12 overall
    Hunter Heck (ILL) - 9-4 at #5, 13-5 in duals, 16-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: ILL - Heck (90%) def. Che (10%)
    • Slam: ILL - Heck (88%) def. Che (12%)
    • TRN: ILL - Heck (95%) def. Che (5%)
    • Massey: ILL - Heck (87%) def. Che (13%)
    • UTR: ILL - Heck (89%) def. Che (11%)
    • ITA: ND - # Che def. Heck (2.36)
     
  6. Connor Fu (ND) - 0-1 at #6, 12-9 in duals, 12-9 overall
    Noe Khlif (ILL) - 5-0 at #6, 15-1 in duals, 15-1 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: ILL - Khlif (88%) def. Fu (12%)
    • Slam: ILL - Khlif (90%) def. Fu (10%)
    • TRN: ILL - Khlif (93%) def. Fu (7%)
    • Massey: ILL - Khlif (85%) def. Fu (15%)
    • UTR: ILL - Khlif (85%) def. Fu (15%)
    • ITA: ILL - Khlif (3.59) def. Fu (1.57)
     

Doubles:

  1. McCormick/Nefve (ND) - 10-4 at #1, 10-4 in duals, 10-4 overall
    Brown/Clark (ILL) - 8-2 at #1, 11-2 in duals, 11-2 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Ancona/Howells (ND) - 4-2 at #2, 7-5 in duals, 7-5 overall
    Montsi/Khlif (ILL) - 5-1 at #2, 10-2 in duals, 10-2 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Che/Ciamarra (ND) - 5-0 at #3, 6-1 in duals, 6-1 overall
    Kovacevic/Heck (ILL) - 2-1 at #3, 3-1 in duals, 3-1 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Illinois should win 4 or more singles matches 92% of the time.
  • Notre Dame should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 7% of the time.
  • If Illinois wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If Notre Dame wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 8%.

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