Second Round
Sunday, May 9 at 3:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
Hurd Tennis Center
Waco, Texas

Oregon vs #2 Baylor

#3 Oregon

  Record: 17-7
  ITA: 37 (23.36)
  Slam: 44 (91.52)
  TRN: 41 (89.70)
  Massey: 30 (7.51)
  UTR: 33 (76.78)
  Coaches Poll: 41

#1 Baylor

  Record: 31-4
✔ ITA: 1 (83.33)
✔ Slam: 5 (99.05)
✔ TRN: 6 (98.67)
✔ Massey: 5 (8.82)
✔ UTR: 9 (79.74)
✔ USTA Poll: 3 (292.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 1


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Match Information

Baylor def. Oregon 4-0
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Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: BAY - Baylor (97%) def. Oregon (3%)
  • Slam: BAY - #5 Baylor (98%) def. #44 Oregon (2%)
  • TRN: BAY - #6 Baylor (99%) def. #41 Oregon (1%)
  • Massey: BAY - #5 Baylor (94%) def. #30 Oregon (6%)
  • Lineup: BAY - Baylor (98%) def. Oregon (2%)
  • UTR: BAY - #9 Baylor (+2.96) def. #33 Oregon (-2.96)
  • ITA: BAY - #1 Baylor def. #37 Oregon
  • USTA Poll: BAY - #3 Baylor def. Oregon
  • Coaches Poll: BAY - #1 Baylor def. #41 Oregon
  • Seeding: BAY - #1 Baylor def. #3 Oregon

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Emmanuel Coste (ORE) - 5-4 at #1, 11-6 in duals, 11-6 overall
    Adrian Boitan (BAY) - 14-4 at #1, 15-5 in duals, 15-5 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: BAY - Boitan (76%) def. Coste (24%)
    • Slam: BAY - Boitan (73%) def. Coste (27%)
    • TRN: BAY - Boitan (76%) def. Coste (24%)
    • Massey: BAY - Boitan (80%) def. Coste (20%)
    • UTR: BAY - Boitan (76%) def. Coste (24%)
    • ITA: BAY - Boitan (31.04) def. Coste (3.31)
     
  2. Joshua Charlton (ORE) - 6-2 at #2, 12-6 in duals, 12-6 overall
    Matias Soto (BAY) - 12-3 at #2, 14-4 in duals, 18-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: BAY - Soto (83%) def. Charlton (17%)
    • Slam: BAY - Soto (77%) def. Charlton (23%)
    • TRN: BAY - Soto (89%) def. Charlton (11%)
    • Massey: BAY - Soto (83%) def. Charlton (17%)
    • UTR: BAY - Soto (85%) def. Charlton (15%)
    • ITA: BAY - Soto (41.70) def. Charlton (2.88)
     
  3. Quinn Vandecasteele (ORE) - 10-8 at #3, 12-8 in duals, 12-8 overall
    Sven Lah (BAY) - 6-7 at #3, 9-9 in duals, 11-12 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: BAY - Lah (58%) def. Vandecasteele (42%)
    • Slam: BAY - Lah (62%) def. Vandecasteele (38%)
    • TRN: BAY - Lah (71%) def. Vandecasteele (29%)
    • Massey: BAY - Lah (63%) def. Vandecasteele (37%)
    • UTR: ORE - Vandecasteele (63%) def. Lah (37%)
    • ITA: BAY - Lah (4.25) def. Vandecasteele (1.67)
     
  4. Jesper Klov-Nilsson (ORE) - 10-2 at #4, 17-3 in duals, 17-3 overall
    Nick Stachowiak (BAY) - 8-2 at #4, 12-5 in duals, 19-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: BAY - Stachowiak (69%) def. Klov-Nilsson (31%)
    • Slam: BAY - Stachowiak (69%) def. Klov-Nilsson (31%)
    • TRN: BAY - Stachowiak (73%) def. Klov-Nilsson (27%)
    • Massey: BAY - Stachowiak (62%) def. Klov-Nilsson (38%)
    • UTR: BAY - Stachowiak (72%) def. Klov-Nilsson (28%)
    • ITA: BAY - Stachowiak (3.38) def. Klov-Nilsson (2.61)
     
  5. Brandon Lam (ORE) - 7-3 at #5, 11-6 in duals, 11-6 overall
    Charlie Broom (BAY) - 17-2 at #5, 21-3 in duals, 24-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: BAY - Broom (91%) def. Lam (9%)
    • Slam: BAY - Broom (89%) def. Lam (11%)
    • TRN: BAY - Broom (94%) def. Lam (6%)
    • Massey: BAY - Broom (89%) def. Lam (11%)
    • UTR: BAY - Broom (92%) def. Lam (8%)
    • ITA: BAY - Broom (3.72) def. Lam (1.91)
     
  6. Luke Vandecasteele (ORE) - 3-6 at #6, 9-8 in duals, 9-8 overall
    Spencer Furman (BAY) - 11-2 at #6, 18-2 in duals, 21-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: BAY - Furman (96%) def. Vandecasteele (4%)
    • Slam: BAY - Furman (96%) def. Vandecasteele (4%)
    • TRN: BAY - Furman (98%) def. Vandecasteele (2%)
    • Massey: BAY - Furman (97%) def. Vandecasteele (3%)
    • UTR: BAY - Furman (95%) def. Vandecasteele (5%)
    • ITA: BAY - Furman (4.24) def. Vandecasteele (1.57)
     

Doubles:

  1. Charlton/Vandecasteele (ORE) - 9-3 at #1, 9-3 in duals, 9-3 overall
    Lah/Frantzen (BAY) - 11-7 at #1, 11-7 in duals, 11-7 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Coste/Klov-Nilsson (ORE) - 4-5 at #2, 12-8 in duals, 12-8 overall
    Stachowiak/Soto (BAY) - 7-1 at #2, 7-1 in duals, 10-1 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Lam/Matsushita (ORE) - 4-3 at #3, 4-3 in duals, 4-3 overall
    Broom/Bass (BAY) - 5-3 at #3, 5-3 in duals, 5-3 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Baylor should win 4 or more singles matches 91% of the time.
  • Oregon should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 8% of the time.
  • If Baylor wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If Oregon wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 9%.

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