Third Round
Monday, May 17 at 7:40 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
USTA National Campus
Orlando, Florida

#16 Illinois vs #1 Florida

#16 Illinois

  Record: 23-3
  ITA: 17 (40.14)
  Slam: 6 (99.04)
  TRN: 4 (98.96)
  Massey: 8 (8.64)
  UTR: 13 (79.04)
  USTA Poll: 10 (231.00)
  Coaches Poll: 13

#1 Florida

  Record: 23-2
✔ ITA: 2 (81.08)
✔ Slam: 2 (99.83)
✔ TRN: 3 (99.25)
✔ Massey: 1 (9.43)
✔ UTR: 1 (80.72)
✔ USTA Poll: 2 (302.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 2


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Match Information

Florida def. Illinois 4-0
Go to Live Stats | Box Score | Photos | Quotes

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: FLA - Florida (71%) def. Illinois (29%)
  • Slam: FLA - #2 Florida (61%) def. #6 Illinois (39%)
  • TRN: FLA - #3 Florida (54%) def. #4 Illinois (46%)
  • Massey: FLA - #1 Florida (88%) def. #8 Illinois (12%)
  • Lineup: FLA - Florida (82%) def. Illinois (18%)
  • UTR: FLA - #1 Florida (+1.68) def. #13 Illinois (-1.68)
  • ITA: FLA - #2 Florida def. #17 Illinois
  • USTA Poll: FLA - #2 Florida def. #10 Illinois
  • Coaches Poll: FLA - #2 Florida def. #13 Illinois
  • Seeding: FLA - #1 Florida def. #16 Illinois

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Aleks Kovacevic (ILL) - 10-1 at #1, 10-1 in duals, 10-1 overall
    Duarte Vale (FLA) - 15-6 at #1, 15-6 in duals, 23-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: ILL - Kovacevic (76%) def. Vale (24%)
    • Slam: ILL - Kovacevic (74%) def. Vale (26%)
    • TRN: ILL - Kovacevic (75%) def. Vale (25%)
    • Massey: ILL - Kovacevic (73%) def. Vale (27%)
    • UTR: ILL - Kovacevic (80%) def. Vale (20%)
    • ITA: FLA - Vale (54.01) def. Kovacevic (4.00)
     
  2. Siphosothando Montsi (ILL) - 7-2 at #2, 15-3 in duals, 15-3 overall
    Sam Riffice (FLA) - 16-4 at #2, 18-4 in duals, 23-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FLA - Riffice (57%) def. Montsi (43%)
    • Slam: FLA - Riffice (50%) def. Montsi (50%)
    • TRN: ILL - Montsi (53%) def. Riffice (47%)
    • Massey: FLA - Riffice (56%) def. Montsi (44%)
    • UTR: FLA - Riffice (77%) def. Montsi (23%)
    • ITA: FLA - Riffice (49.68) def. Montsi (4.79)
     
  3. Alex Brown (ILL) - 3-2 at #3, 8-9 in duals, 9-12 overall
    Andy Andrade (FLA) - 12-7 at #3, 14-7 in duals, 22-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FLA - Andrade (83%) def. Brown (17%)
    • Slam: FLA - Andrade (73%) def. Brown (27%)
    • TRN: FLA - Andrade (86%) def. Brown (14%)
    • Massey: FLA - Andrade (85%) def. Brown (15%)
    • UTR: FLA - Andrade (90%) def. Brown (10%)
    • ITA: FLA - Andrade (32.71) def. Brown (1.47)
     
  4. Zeke Clark (ILL) - 6-1 at #4, 16-1 in duals, 19-2 overall
    Blaise Bicknell (FLA) - 15-0 at #4, 20-0 in duals, 29-0 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FLA - Bicknell (64%) def. Clark (36%)
    • Slam: FLA - Bicknell (53%) def. Clark (47%)
    • TRN: FLA - Bicknell (73%) def. Clark (27%)
    • Massey: FLA - Bicknell (57%) def. Clark (43%)
    • UTR: FLA - Bicknell (72%) def. Clark (28%)
    • ITA: FLA - Bicknell (15.89) def. Clark (6.43)
     
  5. Hunter Heck (ILL) - 9-4 at #5, 13-5 in duals, 16-6 overall
    Ben Shelton (FLA) - 15-4 at #5, 17-4 in duals, 24-5 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FLA - Shelton (73%) def. Heck (27%)
    • Slam: FLA - Shelton (66%) def. Heck (34%)
    • TRN: FLA - Shelton (69%) def. Heck (31%)
    • Massey: FLA - Shelton (67%) def. Heck (33%)
    • UTR: FLA - Shelton (88%) def. Heck (12%)
    • ITA: FLA - Shelton (3.20) def. Heck (2.36)
     
  6. Noe Khlif (ILL) - 5-0 at #6, 15-1 in duals, 15-1 overall
    Josh Goodger (FLA) - 12-0 at #6, 13-0 in duals, 19-0 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FLA - Goodger (71%) def. Khlif (29%)
    • Slam: FLA - Goodger (66%) def. Khlif (34%)
    • TRN: FLA - Goodger (74%) def. Khlif (26%)
    • Massey: FLA - Goodger (68%) def. Khlif (32%)
    • UTR: FLA - Goodger (75%) def. Khlif (25%)
    • ITA: FLA - Goodger (8.31) def. Khlif (3.59)
     

Doubles:

  1. Brown/Clark (ILL) - 8-2 at #1, 11-2 in duals, 11-2 overall
    Ingildsen/Vale (FLA) - 0-0 at #1, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Montsi/Khlif (ILL) - 5-1 at #2, 10-2 in duals, 10-2 overall
    Riffice/Shelton (FLA) - 0-0 at #2, 4-0 in duals, 6-1 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Kovacevic/Heck (ILL) - 2-1 at #3, 3-1 in duals, 3-1 overall
    Berdusco/Grant (FLA) - 0-0 at #3, 0-0 in duals, 1-0 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Florida should win 4 or more singles matches 60% of the time.
  • Illinois should win 4 or more singles matches 13% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 27% of the time.
  • If Florida wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 87%.
  • If Illinois wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 40%.

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