Third Round
Monday, May 17 at 4:00 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
USTA National Campus
Orlando, Florida

#12 Southern California vs #5 Virginia

#12 Southern California

  Record: 23-6
  ITA: 12 (52.23)
  Slam: 12 (96.70)
  TRN: 12 (95.14)
  Massey: 9 (8.63)
✔ UTR: 2 (80.28)
  USTA Poll: 15 (169.00)
  Coaches Poll: 12

#5 Virginia

  Record: 23-3
✔ ITA: 5 (74.11)
✔ Slam: 1 (100.00)
✔ TRN: 1 (100.00)
✔ Massey: 3 (9.03)
  UTR: 4 (80.09)
✔ USTA Poll: 1 (320.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 5


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Match Information

USC def. Virginia 4-2
Go to Live Stats | Box Score | Photos | Quotes

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: UVA - Virginia (74%) def. Southern California (26%)
  • Slam: UVA - #1 Virginia (86%) def. #12 Southern California (14%)
  • TRN: UVA - #1 Virginia (94%) def. #12 Southern California (6%)
  • Massey: UVA - #3 Virginia (51%) def. #9 Southern California (49%)
  • Lineup: UVA - Virginia (64%) def. Southern California (36%)
  • UTR: USC - #2 Southern California (+0.19) def. #4 Virginia (-0.19)
  • ITA: UVA - #5 Virginia def. #12 Southern California
  • USTA Poll: UVA - #1 Virginia def. #15 Southern California
  • Coaches Poll: UVA - #5 Virginia def. #12 Southern California
  • Seeding: UVA - #5 Virginia def. #12 Southern California

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Daniel Cukierman (USC) - 12-5 at #1, 12-5 in duals, 14-5 overall
    Carl Söderlund (UVA) - 12-2 at #1, 12-2 in duals, 12-2 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UVA - Söderlund (58%) def. Cukierman (42%)
    • Slam: UVA - Söderlund (66%) def. Cukierman (34%)
    • TRN: UVA - Söderlund (62%) def. Cukierman (38%)
    • Massey: UVA - Söderlund (59%) def. Cukierman (41%)
    • UTR: USC - Cukierman (53%) def. Söderlund (47%)
    • ITA: UVA - Söderlund (48.38) def. Cukierman (16.39)
     
  2. Riley Smith (USC) - 9-5 at #2, 13-5 in duals, 15-5 overall
    Jeffrey von der Schulenburg (UVA) - 7-2 at #2, 16-4 in duals, 16-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UVA - Schulenburg (52%) def. Smith (48%)
    • Slam: UVA - Schulenburg (53%) def. Smith (47%)
    • TRN: UVA - Schulenburg (61%) def. Smith (39%)
    • Massey: UVA - Schulenburg (53%) def. Smith (47%)
    • UTR: USC - Smith (60%) def. Schulenburg (40%)
    • ITA: UVA - Schulenburg (18.39) def. Smith (15.48)
     
  3. Stefan Dostanic (USC) - 12-3 at #3, 16-3 in duals, 18-3 overall
    Chris Rodesch (UVA) - 6-2 at #3, 14-6 in duals, 14-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: USC - Dostanic (76%) def. Rodesch (24%)
    • Slam: USC - Dostanic (69%) def. Rodesch (31%)
    • TRN: USC - Dostanic (79%) def. Rodesch (21%)
    • Massey: USC - Dostanic (73%) def. Rodesch (27%)
    • UTR: USC - Dostanic (84%) def. Rodesch (16%)
    • ITA: USC - Dostanic (5.43) def. Rodesch (3.82)
     
  4. Bradley Frye (USC) - 9-2 at #4, 15-4 in duals, 17-4 overall
    Inaki Montes de la Torre (UVA) - 6-0 at #4, 15-4 in duals, 15-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UVA - Torre (70%) def. Frye (30%)
    • Slam: UVA - Torre (74%) def. Frye (26%)
    • TRN: UVA - Torre (76%) def. Frye (24%)
    • Massey: UVA - Torre (61%) def. Frye (39%)
    • UTR: UVA - Torre (68%) def. Frye (32%)
    • ITA: UVA - Torre (12.34) def. Frye (2.44)
     
  5. Lodewijk Weststrate (USC) - 9-3 at #5, 21-4 in duals, 23-4 overall
    Ryan Goetz (UVA) - 7-1 at #5, 16-5 in duals, 16-5 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UVA - Goetz (63%) def. Weststrate (37%)
    • Slam: UVA - Goetz (70%) def. Weststrate (30%)
    • TRN: UVA - Goetz (67%) def. Weststrate (33%)
    • Massey: UVA - Goetz (61%) def. Weststrate (39%)
    • UTR: UVA - Goetz (56%) def. Weststrate (44%)
    • ITA: UVA - Goetz (6.09) def. Weststrate (2.93)
     
  6. Jake Sands (USC) - 8-3 at #6, 14-4 in duals, 14-4 overall
    Gianni Ross (UVA) - 7-3 at #6, 11-3 in duals, 11-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UVA - Ross (61%) def. Sands (39%)
    • Slam: UVA - Ross (65%) def. Sands (35%)
    • TRN: UVA - Ross (65%) def. Sands (35%)
    • Massey: UVA - Ross (50%) def. Sands (50%)
    • UTR: UVA - Ross (64%) def. Sands (36%)
    • ITA: UVA - Ross (2.67) def. Sands (2.42)
     

Doubles:

  1. Cukierman/Smith (USC) - 17-3 at #1, 17-3 in duals, 18-3 overall
    Soderlund/Woodall (UVA) - 9-8 at #1, 9-8 in duals, 9-8 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Dostanic/Frye (USC) - 13-1 at #2, 13-1 in duals, 13-1 overall
    Goetz/Rodesch (UVA) - 10-5 at #2, 10-5 in duals, 10-5 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Holt/Sands (USC) - 0-0 at #3, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    von der Schulenburg/de la Torre (UVA) - 12-3 at #3, 15-4 in duals, 15-4 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Virginia should win 4 or more singles matches 44% of the time.
  • Southern California should win 4 or more singles matches 24% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 32% of the time.
  • If Virginia wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 76%.
  • If Southern California wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 56%.

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