Third Round
Monday, May 17 at 1:20 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
USTA National Campus
Orlando, Florida

Ohio St. vs #7 TCU

Ohio St.

  Record: 22-4
  ITA: 35 (25.05)
✔ Slam: 7 (98.39)
✔ TRN: 8 (97.40)
  Massey: 7 (8.72)
✔ UTR: 5 (80.04)
✔ USTA Poll: 9 (239.00)
  Coaches Poll: 17

#7 TCU

  Record: 19-7
✔ ITA: 7 (69.22)
  Slam: 9 (97.80)
  TRN: 9 (96.92)
✔ Massey: 6 (8.80)
  UTR: 9 (79.72)
  USTA Poll: 11 (217.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 7


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Match Information

TCU def. Ohio State 4-1
Go to Live Stats | Box Score | Photos | Quotes

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: OSU - Ohio St. (58%) def. TCU (42%)
  • Slam: OSU - #7 Ohio St. (58%) def. #9 TCU (42%)
  • TRN: OSU - #8 Ohio St. (56%) def. #9 TCU (44%)
  • Massey: TCU - #6 TCU (53%) def. #7 Ohio St. (47%)
  • Lineup: OSU - Ohio St. (70%) def. TCU (30%)
  • UTR: OSU - #5 Ohio St. (+0.32) def. #9 TCU (-0.32)
  • ITA: TCU - #7 TCU def. #35 Ohio St.
  • USTA Poll: OSU - #9 Ohio St. def. #11 TCU
  • Coaches Poll: TCU - #7 TCU def. #17 Ohio St.
  • Seeding: TCU - #7 TCU def. Ohio St.

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. John McNally (OSU) - 10-2 at #1, 16-4 in duals, 21-4 overall
    Alastair Gray (TCU) - 6-4 at #1, 13-7 in duals, 13-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: OSU - McNally (54%) def. Gray (46%)
    • Slam: OSU - McNally (69%) def. Gray (31%)
    • TRN: OSU - McNally (62%) def. Gray (38%)
    • Massey: OSU - McNally (52%) def. Gray (48%)
    • UTR: TCU - Gray (67%) def. McNally (33%)
    • ITA: TCU - Gray (40.15) def. McNally (3.89)
     
  2. Cannon Kingsley (OSU) - 12-0 at #2, 21-0 in duals, 27-0 overall
    Luc Fomba (TCU) - 7-3 at #2, 12-6 in duals, 12-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: OSU - Kingsley (67%) def. Fomba (33%)
    • Slam: OSU - Kingsley (74%) def. Fomba (26%)
    • TRN: OSU - Kingsley (67%) def. Fomba (33%)
    • Massey: OSU - Kingsley (53%) def. Fomba (47%)
    • UTR: OSU - Kingsley (74%) def. Fomba (26%)
    • ITA: TCU - Fomba (35.12) def. Kingsley (5.20)
     
  3. James Trotter (OSU) - 13-1 at #3, 13-1 in duals, 13-1 overall
    Sander Jong (TCU) - 10-5 at #3, 10-7 in duals, 11-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: OSU - Trotter (57%) def. Jong (43%)
    • Slam: OSU - Trotter (59%) def. Jong (41%)
    • TRN: OSU - Trotter (60%) def. Jong (40%)
    • Massey: OSU - Trotter (50%) def. Jong (50%)
    • UTR: OSU - Trotter (60%) def. Jong (40%)
    • ITA: TCU - Jong (11.43) def. Trotter (3.90)
     
  4. Justin Boulais (OSU) - 5-1 at #4, 7-1 in duals, 7-1 overall
    Jake Fearnley (TCU) - 4-2 at #4, 8-3 in duals, 8-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TCU - Fearnley (78%) def. Boulais (22%)
    • Slam: TCU - Fearnley (74%) def. Boulais (26%)
    • TRN: TCU - Fearnley (81%) def. Boulais (19%)
    • Massey: TCU - Fearnley (74%) def. Boulais (26%)
    • UTR: TCU - Fearnley (84%) def. Boulais (16%)
    • ITA: TCU - Fearnley (5.67) def. Boulais (2.92)
     
  5. Kyle Seelig (OSU) - 3-0 at #5, 15-4 in duals, 18-8 overall
    Tomas Jirousek (TCU) - 1-1 at #5, 6-5 in duals, 7-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: OSU - Seelig (56%) def. Jirousek (44%)
    • Slam: OSU - Seelig (59%) def. Jirousek (41%)
    • TRN: TCU - Jirousek (51%) def. Seelig (49%)
    • Massey: TCU - Jirousek (52%) def. Seelig (48%)
    • UTR: OSU - Seelig (71%) def. Jirousek (29%)
    • ITA: TCU - Jirousek (6.98) def. Seelig (2.02)
     
  6. JJ Tracy (OSU) - 6-0 at #6, 21-1 in duals, 24-3 overall
    Tadeas Paroulek (TCU) - 1-3 at #6, 7-11 in duals, 7-12 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: OSU - Tracy (84%) def. Paroulek (16%)
    • Slam: OSU - Tracy (81%) def. Paroulek (19%)
    • TRN: OSU - Tracy (90%) def. Paroulek (10%)
    • Massey: OSU - Tracy (80%) def. Paroulek (20%)
    • UTR: OSU - Tracy (87%) def. Paroulek (13%)
    • ITA: OSU - Tracy (3.11) def. Paroulek (1.35)
     

Doubles:

  1. Trotter/Boulais (OSU) - 3-2 at #1, 7-3 in duals, 7-3 overall
    Gray/Fomba (TCU) - 10-6 at #1, 11-6 in duals, 13-6 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. McNally/Cash (OSU) - 6-1 at #2, 13-4 in duals, 14-5 overall
    Jong/Paroulek (TCU) - 8-1 at #2, 10-3 in duals, 11-4 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Kingsley/Seelig (OSU) - 1-2 at #3, 2-5 in duals, 5-6 overall
    Kruger/Fearnley (TCU) - 2-1 at #3, 4-3 in duals, 4-3 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • TCU should win 4 or more singles matches 20% of the time.
  • Ohio St. should win 4 or more singles matches 48% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 32% of the time.
  • If TCU wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 52%.
  • If Ohio St. wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 80%.

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