Quarterfinals
Thursday, May 20 at 5:30 EDT
2021 Division I Men’s Tennis Championship
USTA National Campus
Orlando, Florida

#12 Southern California vs #4 Texas

#12 Southern California

  Record: 23-7
  ITA: 12 (52.23)
  Slam: 10 (97.08)
  TRN: 11 (96.10)
✔ Massey: 7 (8.72)
✔ UTR: 2 (80.36)
  USTA Poll: 15 (169.00)
  Coaches Poll: 12

#4 Texas

  Record: 24-5
✔ ITA: 4 (74.24)
✔ Slam: 8 (97.83)
✔ TRN: 4 (98.42)
  Massey: 8 (8.65)
  UTR: 12 (79.13)
✔ USTA Poll: 8 (263.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 4


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Match Information

Texas def. USC 4-3
Go to Live Stats | Box Score | Photos | Quotes

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: USC - Southern California (53%) def. Texas (47%)
  • Slam: TEX - #8 Texas (60%) def. #10 Southern California (40%)
  • TRN: TEX - #4 Texas (79%) def. #11 Southern California (21%)
  • Massey: USC - #7 Southern California (67%) def. #8 Texas (33%)
  • Lineup: USC - Southern California (85%) def. Texas (15%)
  • UTR: USC - #2 Southern California (+1.23) def. #12 Texas (-1.23)
  • ITA: TEX - #4 Texas def. #12 Southern California
  • USTA Poll: TEX - #8 Texas def. #15 Southern California
  • Coaches Poll: TEX - #4 Texas def. #12 Southern California
  • Seeding: TEX - #4 Texas def. #12 Southern California

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Daniel Cukierman (USC) - 12-5 at #1, 12-5 in duals, 14-5 overall
    Eliot Spizzirri (TEX) - 9-6 at #1, 15-8 in duals, 22-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: USC - Cukierman (77%) def. Spizzirri (23%)
    • Slam: USC - Cukierman (75%) def. Spizzirri (25%)
    • TRN: USC - Cukierman (72%) def. Spizzirri (28%)
    • Massey: USC - Cukierman (71%) def. Spizzirri (29%)
    • UTR: USC - Cukierman (90%) def. Spizzirri (10%)
    • ITA: TEX - Spizzirri (28.17) def. Cukierman (16.39)
     
  2. Riley Smith (USC) - 9-5 at #2, 13-5 in duals, 15-5 overall
    Micah Braswell (TEX) - 9-4 at #2, 17-5 in duals, 32-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TEX - Braswell (52%) def. Smith (48%)
    • Slam: USC - Smith (52%) def. Braswell (48%)
    • TRN: TEX - Braswell (57%) def. Smith (43%)
    • Massey: TEX - Braswell (51%) def. Smith (49%)
    • UTR: TEX - Braswell (55%) def. Smith (45%)
    • ITA: TEX - Braswell (20.88) def. Smith (15.48)
     
  3. Stefan Dostanic (USC) - 12-3 at #3, 16-3 in duals, 18-3 overall
    Siem Woldeab (TEX) - 5-1 at #3, 9-7 in duals, 14-12 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: USC - Dostanic (69%) def. Woldeab (31%)
    • Slam: USC - Dostanic (58%) def. Woldeab (42%)
    • TRN: USC - Dostanic (75%) def. Woldeab (25%)
    • Massey: USC - Dostanic (66%) def. Woldeab (34%)
    • UTR: USC - Dostanic (75%) def. Woldeab (25%)
    • ITA: TEX - Woldeab (9.31) def. Dostanic (5.43)
     
  4. Bradley Frye (USC) - 9-2 at #4, 15-4 in duals, 17-4 overall
    Cleeve Harper (TEX) - 14-3 at #4, 17-5 in duals, 22-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: USC - Frye (52%) def. Harper (48%)
    • Slam: TEX - Harper (50%) def. Frye (50%)
    • TRN: TEX - Harper (53%) def. Frye (47%)
    • Massey: USC - Frye (54%) def. Harper (46%)
    • UTR: USC - Frye (60%) def. Harper (40%)
    • ITA: TEX - Harper (5.83) def. Frye (2.44)
     
  5. Lodewijk Weststrate (USC) - 9-3 at #5, 21-4 in duals, 23-4 overall
    Chih Chi Huang (TEX) - 9-7 at #5, 11-8 in duals, 15-17 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: USC - Weststrate (76%) def. Huang (24%)
    • Slam: USC - Weststrate (74%) def. Huang (26%)
    • TRN: USC - Weststrate (78%) def. Huang (22%)
    • Massey: USC - Weststrate (72%) def. Huang (28%)
    • UTR: USC - Weststrate (82%) def. Huang (18%)
    • ITA: TEX - # Huang def. Weststrate (2.93)
     
  6. Jake Sands (USC) - 8-3 at #6, 14-4 in duals, 14-4 overall
    Evin McDonald (TEX) - 6-9 at #6, 11-10 in duals, 15-16 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: USC - Sands (65%) def. McDonald (35%)
    • Slam: USC - Sands (56%) def. McDonald (44%)
    • TRN: USC - Sands (57%) def. McDonald (43%)
    • Massey: USC - Sands (78%) def. McDonald (22%)
    • UTR: USC - Sands (70%) def. McDonald (30%)
    • ITA: TEX - # McDonald def. Sands (2.42)
     

Doubles:

  1. Cukierman/Smith (USC) - 17-3 at #1, 17-3 in duals, 18-3 overall
    Spizzirri/Woldeab (TEX) - 12-9 at #1, 12-9 in duals, 19-9 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Dostanic/Frye (USC) - 13-1 at #2, 13-1 in duals, 13-1 overall
    Harper/Huang (TEX) - 5-4 at #2, 6-4 in duals, 10-7 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Holt/Sands (USC) - 0-0 at #3, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Braswell/Holden (TEX) - 4-1 at #3, 4-1 in duals, 7-2 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Texas should win 4 or more singles matches 11% of the time.
  • Southern California should win 4 or more singles matches 65% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 24% of the time.
  • If Texas wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 35%.
  • If Southern California wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 89%.

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