First Round
Friday, May 7 at 3:00 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
Hurd Tennis Center
Waco, Texas

Alabama vs Duke

#3 Alabama

  Record: 12-13
  ITA: 43 (16.42)
  Slam: 44 (86.23)
  TRN: 44 (78.28)
  Massey: 44 (6.49)
  UTR: 40 (59.05)
  Coaches Poll: 40

#2 Duke

  Record: 16-6
✔ ITA: 18 (43.05)
✔ Slam: 14 (90.91)
✔ TRN: 15 (83.33)
✔ Massey: 11 (8.09)
✔ UTR: 12 (62.45)
✔ USTA Poll: 15 (162.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 20


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Match Information

Duke def. Alabama 4-0

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: DUKE - Duke (96%) def. Alabama (4%)
  • Slam: DUKE - #14 Duke (93%) def. #44 Alabama (7%)
  • TRN: DUKE - #15 Duke (94%) def. #44 Alabama (6%)
  • Massey: DUKE - #11 Duke (98%) def. #44 Alabama (2%)
  • Lineup: DUKE - Duke (99%) def. Alabama (1%)
  • UTR: DUKE - #12 Duke (+3.40) def. #40 Alabama (-3.40)
  • ITA: DUKE - #18 Duke def. #43 Alabama
  • USTA Poll: DUKE - #15 Duke def. Alabama
  • Coaches Poll: DUKE - #20 Duke def. #40 Alabama
  • Seeding: DUKE - #2 Duke def. #3 Alabama

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Loudmilla Bencheikh (BAMA) - 2-5 at #1, 2-5 in duals, 2-5 overall
    Kelly Chen (DUKE) - 5-9 at #1, 8-10 in duals, 10-11 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: DUKE - Chen (86%) def. Bencheikh (14%)
    • Slam: DUKE - Chen (87%) def. Bencheikh (13%)
    • TRN: DUKE - Chen (87%) def. Bencheikh (13%)
    • Massey: DUKE - Chen (86%) def. Bencheikh (14%)
    • UTR: DUKE - Chen (86%) def. Bencheikh (14%)
    • ITA: DUKE - Chen (12.42) def. Bencheikh (1.60)
     
  2. Alba Cortina-Pou (BAMA) - 3-2 at #2, 15-4 in duals, 15-7 overall
    Georgia Drummy (DUKE) - 7-3 at #2, 15-3 in duals, 17-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: DUKE - Drummy (90%) def. Cortina-Pou (10%)
    • Slam: DUKE - Drummy (93%) def. Cortina-Pou (7%)
    • TRN: DUKE - Drummy (91%) def. Cortina-Pou (9%)
    • Massey: DUKE - Drummy (88%) def. Cortina-Pou (12%)
    • UTR: DUKE - Drummy (90%) def. Cortina-Pou (10%)
    • ITA: DUKE - Drummy (24.14) def. Cortina-Pou (2.01)
     
  3. Anna Parkhomenko (BAMA) - 0-6 at #3, 11-7 in duals, 15-11 overall
    Chloe Beck (DUKE) - 11-1 at #3, 15-3 in duals, 17-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: DUKE - Beck (95%) def. Parkhomenko (5%)
    • Slam: DUKE - Beck (96%) def. Parkhomenko (4%)
    • TRN: DUKE - Beck (96%) def. Parkhomenko (4%)
    • Massey: DUKE - Beck (96%) def. Parkhomenko (4%)
    • UTR: DUKE - Beck (93%) def. Parkhomenko (7%)
    • ITA: BAMA - # Parkhomenko def. Beck (15.35)
     
  4. Anne Marie Hiser (BAMA) - 4-0 at #4, 13-8 in duals, 17-10 overall
    Meible Chi (DUKE) - 12-1 at #4, 18-2 in duals, 21-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: DUKE - Chi (94%) def. Hiser (6%)
    • Slam: DUKE - Chi (94%) def. Hiser (6%)
    • TRN: DUKE - Chi (97%) def. Hiser (3%)
    • Massey: DUKE - Chi (95%) def. Hiser (5%)
    • UTR: DUKE - Chi (91%) def. Hiser (9%)
    • ITA: BAMA - # Hiser def. Chi (15.20)
     
  5. Sydney Riley (BAMA) - 2-0 at #5, 12-7 in duals, 14-13 overall
    Margaryta Bilokin (DUKE) - 6-6 at #5, 11-8 in duals, 14-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: DUKE - Bilokin (90%) def. Riley (10%)
    • Slam: DUKE - Bilokin (92%) def. Riley (8%)
    • TRN: DUKE - Bilokin (89%) def. Riley (11%)
    • Massey: DUKE - Bilokin (85%) def. Riley (15%)
    • UTR: DUKE - Bilokin (93%) def. Riley (7%)
    • ITA: BAMA - # Riley def. Bilokin (2.72)
     
  6. Sydney Orefice (BAMA) - 2-0 at #6, 2-0 in duals, 2-5 overall
    Karolina Berankova (DUKE) - 7-7 at #6, 9-9 in duals, 10-11 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: DUKE - Berankova (83%) def. Orefice (17%)
    • Slam: DUKE - Berankova (92%) def. Orefice (8%)
    • TRN: DUKE - Berankova (80%) def. Orefice (20%)
    • Massey: DUKE - Berankova (64%) def. Orefice (36%)
    • UTR: DUKE - Berankova (97%) def. Orefice (3%)
     

Doubles:

  1. Hiser/Riley (BAMA) - 5-1 at #1, 14-3 in duals, 14-8 overall
    Chi/Bilokin (DUKE) - 8-4 at #1, 9-4 in duals, 11-4 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Cortina-Pou/Parkhomenko (BAMA) - 0-0 at #2, 8-4 in duals, 9-4 overall
    Beck/Berankova (DUKE) - 11-2 at #2, 12-2 in duals, 15-3 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Bencheikh/Orefice (BAMA) - 0-0 at #3, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Chen/Drummy (DUKE) - 12-2 at #3, 13-2 in duals, 14-4 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Duke should win 4 or more singles matches 99% of the time.
  • Alabama should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 1% of the time.
  • If Duke wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If Alabama wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 1%.

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