First Round
Friday, May 7 at 5:00 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
Ralphs-Straus Tennis Center
Malibu, California

Northern Ariz. vs #5 Pepperdine

#4 Northern Ariz.

  Record: 14-5
  ITA: 53 (3.85)
  Slam: 51 (79.81)
  TRN: 53 (69.11)
  Massey: 51 (5.50)
  UTR: 54 (52.95)

#1 Pepperdine

  Record: 21-3
✔ ITA: 5 (60.46)
✔ Slam: 6 (92.64)
✔ TRN: 6 (85.86)
✔ Massey: 5 (8.71)
✔ UTR: 4 (64.63)
✔ USTA Poll: 6 (276.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 4


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Match Information

Pepperdine def. Northern Arizona 4-0

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: PEPP - Pepperdine (99%) def. Northern Ariz. (1%)
  • Slam: PEPP - #6 Pepperdine (99%) def. #51 Northern Ariz. (1%)
  • TRN: PEPP - #6 Pepperdine (99%) def. #53 Northern Ariz. (1%)
  • Massey: PEPP - #5 Pepperdine (99%) def. #51 Northern Ariz. (1%)
  • Lineup: PEPP - Pepperdine (99%) def. Northern Ariz. (1%)
  • UTR: PEPP - #4 Pepperdine (+11.68) def. #54 Northern Ariz. (-11.68)
  • ITA: PEPP - #5 Pepperdine def. #53 Northern Ariz.
  • USTA Poll: PEPP - #6 Pepperdine def. Northern Ariz.
  • Coaches Poll: PEPP - #4 Pepperdine def. Northern Ariz.
  • Seeding: PEPP - #1 Pepperdine def. #4 Northern Ariz.

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Gina Dittmann (NAU) - 14-1 at #1, 15-1 in duals, 15-1 overall
    Ashley Lahey (PEPP) - 7-3 at #1, 10-4 in duals, 10-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Lahey (90%) def. Dittmann (10%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Lahey (89%) def. Dittmann (11%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Lahey (94%) def. Dittmann (6%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Lahey (84%) def. Dittmann (16%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Lahey (92%) def. Dittmann (8%)
    • ITA: PEPP - Lahey (7.80) def. Dittmann (4.32)
     
  2. Emily Bland (NAU) - 1-1 at #2, 14-3 in duals, 14-3 overall
    Jessica Failla (PEPP) - 6-1 at #2, 14-3 in duals, 14-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Failla (98%) def. Bland (2%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Failla (99%) def. Bland (1%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Failla (99%) def. Bland (1%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Failla (95%) def. Bland (5%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Failla (97%) def. Bland (3%)
    • ITA: PEPP - Failla (23.38) def. Bland (2.75)
     
  3. Eleanor Millard (NAU) - 3-0 at #3, 11-5 in duals, 11-5 overall
    Taisiya Pachkaleva (PEPP) - 8-1 at #3, 22-1 in duals, 22-1 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Pachkaleva (98%) def. Millard (2%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Pachkaleva (98%) def. Millard (2%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Pachkaleva (99%) def. Millard (1%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Pachkaleva (97%) def. Millard (3%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Pachkaleva (98%) def. Millard (2%)
    • ITA: PEPP - Pachkaleva (6.37) def. Millard (2.21)
     
  4. Ava Neyestani (NAU) - 9-5 at #4, 11-6 in duals, 11-6 overall
    Shiori Fukuda (PEPP) - 6-0 at #4, 14-4 in duals, 14-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Fukuda (98%) def. Neyestani (2%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Fukuda (99%) def. Neyestani (1%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Fukuda (99%) def. Neyestani (1%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Fukuda (96%) def. Neyestani (4%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Fukuda (98%) def. Neyestani (2%)
    • ITA: PEPP - Fukuda (4.88) def. Neyestani (1.91)
     
  5. Elinor Beazley (NAU) - 5-5 at #5, 8-5 in duals, 8-5 overall
    LIsa Zaar (PEPP) - 10-1 at #5, 19-1 in duals, 19-1 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Zaar (99%) def. Beazley (1%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Zaar (99%) def. Beazley (1%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Zaar (99%) def. Beazley (1%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Zaar (97%) def. Beazley (3%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Zaar (98%) def. Beazley (2%)
    • ITA: PEPP - Zaar (4.47) def. Beazley (2.10)
     
  6. Madison Moore (NAU) - 6-8 at #6, 6-8 in duals, 6-8 overall
    Nikki Redelijk (PEPP) - 7-4 at #6, 12-7 in duals, 12-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Redelijk (99%) def. Moore (1%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Redelijk (99%) def. Moore (1%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Redelijk (99%) def. Moore (1%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Redelijk (98%) def. Moore (2%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Redelijk (99%) def. Moore (1%)
    • ITA: PEPP - Redelijk (1.87) def. Moore (1.46)
     

Doubles:

  1. Millard/Bland (NAU) - 9-8 at #1, 9-8 in duals, 9-8 overall
    Lahey/Zaar (PEPP) - 0-0 at #1, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Dittmann/Beazley (NAU) - 8-7 at #2, 10-7 in duals, 10-7 overall
    Fukuda/Pachkaleva (PEPP) - 0-0 at #2, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Moore/Neyestani (NAU) - 6-9 at #3, 7-10 in duals, 7-10 overall
    Failla/Iamachkine (PEPP) - 0-0 at #3, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Pepperdine should win 4 or more singles matches 99% of the time.
  • Northern Ariz. should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 1% of the time.
  • If Pepperdine wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If Northern Ariz. wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 1%.

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