First Round
Friday, May 7 at 1:00 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
Ralphs-Straus Tennis Center
Malibu, California

UC Santa Barbara vs Stanford

#3 UC Santa Barbara

  Record: 13-4
  ITA: 44 (14.79)
  Slam: 39 (87.38)
  TRN: 40 (78.81)
  Massey: 40 (6.75)
  UTR: 46 (57.03)

#2 Stanford

  Record: 15-4
✔ ITA: 27 (35.12)
✔ Slam: 23 (90.02)
✔ TRN: 24 (81.66)
✔ Massey: 15 (7.96)
✔ UTR: 7 (63.45)
✔ USTA Poll: 20 (100.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 26


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Match Information

Stanford def. UC Santa Barbara 4-0

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: STAN - Stanford (90%) def. UC Santa Barbara (10%)
  • Slam: STAN - #23 Stanford (81%) def. #39 UC Santa Barbara (19%)
  • TRN: STAN - #24 Stanford (83%) def. #40 UC Santa Barbara (17%)
  • Massey: STAN - #15 Stanford (96%) def. #40 UC Santa Barbara (4%)
  • Lineup: STAN - Stanford (99%) def. UC Santa Barbara (1%)
  • UTR: STAN - #7 Stanford (+6.42) def. #46 UC Santa Barbara (-6.42)
  • ITA: STAN - #27 Stanford def. #44 UC Santa Barbara
  • USTA Poll: STAN - #20 Stanford def. UC Santa Barbara
  • Coaches Poll: STAN - #26 Stanford def. UC Santa Barbara
  • Seeding: STAN - #2 Stanford def. #3 UC Santa Barbara

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Elizaveta Volodko (UCSB) - 9-4 at #1, 9-4 in duals, 9-4 overall
    Michaela Gordon (STAN) - 9-6 at #1, 9-6 in duals, 9-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: STAN - Gordon (77%) def. Volodko (23%)
    • Slam: STAN - Gordon (77%) def. Volodko (23%)
    • TRN: STAN - Gordon (73%) def. Volodko (27%)
    • Massey: STAN - Gordon (72%) def. Volodko (28%)
    • UTR: STAN - Gordon (87%) def. Volodko (13%)
    • ITA: STAN - Gordon (17.68) def. Volodko (4.21)
     
  2. Camille Kiss (UCSB) - 10-4 at #2, 10-4 in duals, 10-4 overall
    Angelica Blake (STAN) - 2-1 at #2, 7-2 in duals, 7-2 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: STAN - Blake (81%) def. Kiss (19%)
    • Slam: STAN - Blake (75%) def. Kiss (25%)
    • TRN: STAN - Blake (86%) def. Kiss (14%)
    • Massey: STAN - Blake (75%) def. Kiss (25%)
    • UTR: STAN - Blake (88%) def. Kiss (12%)
    • ITA: STAN - Blake (5.37) def. Kiss (2.42)
     
  3. Shakhnoza Khatmova (UCSB) - 15-2 at #3, 15-2 in duals, 15-2 overall
    Emily Arbuthnott (STAN) - 1-3 at #3, 8-7 in duals, 8-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: STAN - Arbuthnott (53%) def. Khatmova (47%)
    • Slam: STAN - Arbuthnott (56%) def. Khatmova (44%)
    • TRN: UCSB - Khatmova (72%) def. Arbuthnott (28%)
    • Massey: UCSB - Khatmova (50%) def. Arbuthnott (50%)
    • UTR: STAN - Arbuthnott (80%) def. Khatmova (20%)
    • ITA: UCSB - Khatmova (6.05) def. Arbuthnott (1.89)
     
  4. Lise Sentenac (UCSB) - 6-4 at #4, 6-7 in duals, 6-7 overall
    Ana Geller (STAN) - 1-3 at #4, 7-3 in duals, 7-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: STAN - Geller (96%) def. Sentenac (4%)
    • Slam: STAN - Geller (98%) def. Sentenac (2%)
    • TRN: STAN - Geller (98%) def. Sentenac (2%)
    • Massey: STAN - Geller (91%) def. Sentenac (9%)
    • UTR: STAN - Geller (98%) def. Sentenac (2%)
    • ITA: STAN - Geller (2.62) def. Sentenac (1.51)
     
  5. Kira Reuter (UCSB) - 5-5 at #5, 5-7 in duals, 5-7 overall
    Sara Choy (STAN) - 3-2 at #5, 13-4 in duals, 13-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: STAN - Choy (97%) def. Reuter (3%)
    • Slam: STAN - Choy (98%) def. Reuter (2%)
    • TRN: STAN - Choy (99%) def. Reuter (1%)
    • Massey: STAN - Choy (94%) def. Reuter (6%)
    • UTR: STAN - Choy (98%) def. Reuter (2%)
    • ITA: UCSB - # Reuter def. Choy (2.38)
     
  6. Marta Gonzalez Balbe (UCSB) - 6-3 at #6, 7-4 in duals, 7-4 overall
    Emma Higuchi (STAN) - 10-3 at #6, 14-3 in duals, 14-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: STAN - Higuchi (94%) def. Balbe (6%)
    • Slam: STAN - Higuchi (98%) def. Balbe (2%)
    • TRN: STAN - Higuchi (99%) def. Balbe (1%)
    • Massey: STAN - Higuchi (93%) def. Balbe (7%)
    • UTR: STAN - Higuchi (88%) def. Balbe (12%)
    • ITA: STAN - Higuchi (2.68) def. Balbe (2.38)
     

Doubles:

  1. Volodko/Sentenac (UCSB) - 6-6 at #1, 6-6 in duals, 6-6 overall
    Gordon/Madurawe (STAN) - 9-5 at #1, 9-5 in duals, 9-5 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Reuter/Khatmova (UCSB) - 8-3 at #2, 8-3 in duals, 8-3 overall
    Arbuthnott/Blake (STAN) - 6-2 at #2, 6-2 in duals, 6-2 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Kiss/Balbe (UCSB) - 10-2 at #3, 10-2 in duals, 10-2 overall
    Choy/Higuchi (STAN) - 7-2 at #3, 7-2 in duals, 7-2 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Stanford should win 4 or more singles matches 96% of the time.
  • UC Santa Barbara should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 4% of the time.
  • If Stanford wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If UC Santa Barbara wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 4%.

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