First Round
Friday, May 7 at 11:00 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
LSU Tennis Complex
Baton Rouge, Louisiana

Rice vs Michigan

#3 Rice

  Record: 15-7
  ITA: 40 (18.25)
  Slam: 40 (87.14)
  TRN: 36 (79.49)
  Massey: 38 (6.92)
  UTR: 35 (60.11)
  Coaches Poll: 39

#2 Michigan

  Record: 18-3
✔ ITA: 20 (39.90)
✔ Slam: 8 (91.95)
✔ TRN: 8 (85.13)
✔ Massey: 16 (7.96)
✔ UTR: 17 (61.98)
✔ USTA Poll: 8 (239.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 18


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Match Information

Michigan def. Rice 4-1

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: MICH - Michigan (93%) def. Rice (7%)
  • Slam: MICH - #8 Michigan (94%) def. #40 Rice (6%)
  • TRN: MICH - #8 Michigan (96%) def. #36 Rice (4%)
  • Massey: MICH - #16 Michigan (88%) def. #38 Rice (12%)
  • Lineup: MICH - Michigan (94%) def. Rice (6%)
  • UTR: MICH - #17 Michigan (+1.87) def. #35 Rice (-1.87)
  • ITA: MICH - #20 Michigan def. #40 Rice
  • USTA Poll: MICH - #8 Michigan def. Rice
  • Coaches Poll: MICH - #18 Michigan def. #39 Rice
  • Seeding: MICH - #2 Michigan def. #3 Rice

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Michaela Haet (RICE) - 4-3 at #1, 8-5 in duals, 9-11 overall
    Kari Miller (MICH) - 11-3 at #1, 12-4 in duals, 15-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: MICH - Miller (93%) def. Haet (7%)
    • Slam: MICH - Miller (94%) def. Haet (6%)
    • TRN: MICH - Miller (94%) def. Haet (6%)
    • Massey: MICH - Miller (94%) def. Haet (6%)
    • UTR: MICH - Miller (91%) def. Haet (9%)
    • ITA: RICE - # Haet def. Miller (10.66)
     
  2. Victoria Smirnova (RICE) - 1-0 at #2, 4-4 in duals, 5-4 overall
    Chiara Lommer (MICH) - 10-3 at #2, 12-4 in duals, 14-5 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: MICH - Lommer (77%) def. Smirnova (23%)
    • Slam: MICH - Lommer (72%) def. Smirnova (28%)
    • TRN: MICH - Lommer (75%) def. Smirnova (25%)
    • Massey: MICH - Lommer (81%) def. Smirnova (19%)
    • UTR: MICH - Lommer (79%) def. Smirnova (21%)
    • ITA: RICE - Smirnova (2.76) def. Lommer (2.49)
     
  3. Federica Trevisan (RICE) - 12-1 at #3, 14-2 in duals, 17-6 overall
    Andrea Cerdan (MICH) - 7-4 at #3, 11-6 in duals, 13-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: MICH - Cerdan (65%) def. Trevisan (35%)
    • Slam: MICH - Cerdan (65%) def. Trevisan (35%)
    • TRN: MICH - Cerdan (50%) def. Trevisan (50%)
    • Massey: MICH - Cerdan (69%) def. Trevisan (31%)
    • UTR: MICH - Cerdan (76%) def. Trevisan (24%)
    • ITA: RICE - Trevisan (6.30) def. Cerdan (1.79)
     
  4. Linda Huang (RICE) - 0-0 at #4, 4-2 in duals, 7-5 overall
    Jaedan Brown (MICH) - 7-0 at #4, 15-2 in duals, 17-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: MICH - Brown (60%) def. Huang (40%)
    • Slam: MICH - Brown (55%) def. Huang (45%)
    • TRN: MICH - Brown (56%) def. Huang (44%)
    • Massey: MICH - Brown (65%) def. Huang (35%)
    • UTR: MICH - Brown (66%) def. Huang (34%)
    • ITA: RICE - Huang (5.83) def. Brown (2.65)
     
  5. Anastasia Smirnova (RICE) - 3-2 at #5, 4-3 in duals, 4-3 overall
    Alyvia Jones (MICH) - 3-0 at #5, 7-2 in duals, 7-5 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: MICH - Jones (75%) def. Smirnova (25%)
    • Slam: MICH - Jones (80%) def. Smirnova (20%)
    • TRN: MICH - Jones (75%) def. Smirnova (25%)
    • Massey: MICH - Jones (72%) def. Smirnova (28%)
    • UTR: MICH - Jones (72%) def. Smirnova (28%)
    • ITA: MICH - Jones (2.08) def. Smirnova (1.55)
     
  6. Anna Bowtell (RICE) - 0-0 at #6, 11-5 in duals, 14-8 overall
    Bella Lorenzini (MICH) - 2-0 at #6, 2-0 in duals, 4-0 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: MICH - Lorenzini (59%) def. Bowtell (41%)
    • Slam: MICH - Lorenzini (58%) def. Bowtell (42%)
    • TRN: MICH - Lorenzini (53%) def. Bowtell (47%)
    • Massey: MICH - Lorenzini (86%) def. Bowtell (14%)
    • UTR: RICE - Bowtell (60%) def. Lorenzini (40%)
    • ITA: MICH - Lorenzini (2.86) def. Bowtell (1.88)
     

Doubles:

  1. Budin/Jardi (RICE) - 13-5 at #1, 13-5 in duals, 17-9 overall
    Jones/Brown (MICH) - 2-0 at #1, 2-0 in duals, 2-0 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Trevisan/Haet (RICE) - 6-5 at #2, 8-5 in duals, 9-6 overall
    Miller/Lommer (MICH) - 2-0 at #2, 2-0 in duals, 2-0 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Bowtell/Smirnova (RICE) - 8-5 at #3, 9-6 in duals, 11-9 overall
    Lorenzini/Cerdan (MICH) - 0-0 at #3, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Michigan should win 4 or more singles matches 79% of the time.
  • Rice should win 4 or more singles matches 5% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 16% of the time.
  • If Michigan wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 95%.
  • If Rice wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 21%.

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