First Round
Friday, May 7 at 11:00 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
Ken Byers Tennis Complex
Atlanta, Georgia

North Florida vs Ole Miss

#3 North Florida

  Record: 18-7
  ITA: 48 (8.00)
  Slam: 46 (84.69)
  TRN: 46 (75.83)
  Massey: 47 (6.44)
  UTR: 44 (58.45)

#2 Ole Miss

  Record: 11-10
✔ ITA: 25 (38.32)
✔ Slam: 26 (89.34)
✔ TRN: 26 (81.50)
✔ Massey: 30 (7.37)
✔ UTR: 20 (61.75)
✔ Coaches Poll: 25


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Match Information

North Florida def. Ole Miss 4-3

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: MISS - Ole Miss (92%) def. North Florida (8%)
  • Slam: MISS - #26 Ole Miss (93%) def. #46 North Florida (7%)
  • TRN: MISS - #26 Ole Miss (96%) def. #46 North Florida (4%)
  • Massey: MISS - #30 Ole Miss (81%) def. #47 North Florida (19%)
  • Lineup: MISS - Ole Miss (98%) def. North Florida (2%)
  • UTR: MISS - #20 Ole Miss (+3.30) def. #44 North Florida (-3.30)
  • ITA: MISS - #25 Ole Miss def. #48 North Florida
  • Coaches Poll: MISS - #25 Ole Miss def. North Florida
  • Seeding: MISS - #2 Ole Miss def. #3 North Florida

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Lucia Montano (UNF) - 14-8 at #1, 14-8 in duals, 14-8 overall
    Sabina Machalova (MISS) - 5-8 at #1, 8-8 in duals, 15-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: MISS - Machalova (77%) def. Montano (23%)
    • Slam: MISS - Machalova (68%) def. Montano (32%)
    • TRN: MISS - Machalova (82%) def. Montano (18%)
    • Massey: MISS - Machalova (68%) def. Montano (32%)
    • UTR: MISS - Machalova (91%) def. Montano (9%)
    • ITA: MISS - Machalova (19.63) def. Montano (2.10)
     
  2. Catherine Gulihur (UNF) - 17-3 at #2, 18-3 in duals, 18-3 overall
    Tiphanie Fiquet (MISS) - 8-4 at #2, 9-5 in duals, 14-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: MISS - Fiquet (67%) def. Gulihur (33%)
    • Slam: MISS - Fiquet (67%) def. Gulihur (33%)
    • TRN: MISS - Fiquet (70%) def. Gulihur (30%)
    • Massey: MISS - Fiquet (57%) def. Gulihur (43%)
    • UTR: MISS - Fiquet (74%) def. Gulihur (26%)
    • ITA: MISS - Fiquet (6.49) def. Gulihur (3.92)
     
  3. Constanza Gorches (UNF) - 4-3 at #3, 13-9 in duals, 13-9 overall
    Tereza Janatova (MISS) - 9-3 at #3, 10-3 in duals, 11-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: MISS - Janatova (87%) def. Gorches (13%)
    • Slam: MISS - Janatova (89%) def. Gorches (11%)
    • TRN: MISS - Janatova (91%) def. Gorches (9%)
    • Massey: MISS - Janatova (76%) def. Gorches (24%)
    • UTR: MISS - Janatova (92%) def. Gorches (8%)
    • ITA: MISS - Janatova (4.99) def. Gorches (1.63)
     
  4. Summer Yardley (UNF) - 3-3 at #4, 11-9 in duals, 11-9 overall
    Anna Vrbenska (MISS) - 9-4 at #4, 9-4 in duals, 8-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: MISS - Vrbenska (94%) def. Yardley (6%)
    • Slam: MISS - Vrbenska (93%) def. Yardley (7%)
    • TRN: MISS - Vrbenska (95%) def. Yardley (5%)
    • Massey: MISS - Vrbenska (94%) def. Yardley (6%)
    • UTR: MISS - Vrbenska (94%) def. Yardley (6%)
    • ITA: MISS - Vrbenska (2.42) def. Yardley (1.55)
     
  5. Annabelle Davis (UNF) - 6-0 at #5, 10-1 in duals, 10-1 overall
    Reka Zadori (MISS) - 4-1 at #5, 9-3 in duals, 12-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: MISS - Zadori (65%) def. Davis (35%)
    • Slam: MISS - Zadori (72%) def. Davis (28%)
    • TRN: MISS - Zadori (51%) def. Davis (49%)
    • Massey: UNF - Davis (51%) def. Zadori (49%)
    • UTR: MISS - Zadori (88%) def. Davis (12%)
    • ITA: UNF - Davis (3.59) def. Zadori (1.55)
     
  6. Valentina Mariotto (UNF) - 3-1 at #6, 8-7 in duals, 8-7 overall
    Lillian Gabrielsen (MISS) - 2-1 at #6, 5-3 in duals, 8-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: MISS - Gabrielsen (87%) def. Mariotto (13%)
    • Slam: MISS - Gabrielsen (88%) def. Mariotto (12%)
    • TRN: MISS - Gabrielsen (92%) def. Mariotto (8%)
    • Massey: MISS - Gabrielsen (75%) def. Mariotto (25%)
    • UTR: MISS - Gabrielsen (94%) def. Mariotto (6%)
    • ITA: UNF - Mariotto (1.74) def. Gabrielsen (1.53)
     

Doubles:

  1. Montano/Gorches (UNF) - 5-1 at #1, 15-6 in duals, 15-6 overall
    Vrbenska/Bortles (MISS) - 2-3 at #1, 2-3 in duals, 2-3 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Gulihur/Mariotto (UNF) - 3-3 at #2, 3-3 in duals, 3-3 overall
    Machalova/Fiquet (MISS) - 2-1 at #2, 2-1 in duals, 1-1 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Yardley/Davis (UNF) - 1-1 at #3, 1-1 in duals, 1-1 overall
    Janatova/Mize (MISS) - 0-2 at #3, 0-2 in duals, 0-2 overall

    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Ole Miss should win 4 or more singles matches 91% of the time.
  • North Florida should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 8% of the time.
  • If Ole Miss wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If North Florida wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 9%.

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