First Round
Friday, May 7 at 12:00 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
Virginia Tennis Facility at the Boar’s Head Resort
Charlottesville, Virginia

James Madison vs Tennessee

#3 James Madison

  Record: 14-4
  ITA: 46 (8.76)
  Slam: 47 (84.23)
  TRN: 47 (75.57)
  Massey: 46 (6.46)
  UTR: 47 (56.89)

#2 Tennessee

  Record: 17-8
✔ ITA: 15 (46.88)
✔ Slam: 19 (90.43)
✔ TRN: 19 (82.73)
✔ Massey: 19 (7.80)
✔ UTR: 22 (61.61)
✔ USTA Poll: 21 (96.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 16


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Match Information

Tennessee def. James Madison 4-0

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: TENN - Tennessee (97%) def. James Madison (3%)
  • Slam: TENN - #19 Tennessee (97%) def. #47 James Madison (3%)
  • TRN: TENN - #19 Tennessee (98%) def. #47 James Madison (2%)
  • Massey: TENN - #19 Tennessee (94%) def. #46 James Madison (6%)
  • Lineup: TENN - Tennessee (98%) def. James Madison (2%)
  • UTR: TENN - #22 Tennessee (+4.72) def. #47 James Madison (-4.72)
  • ITA: TENN - #15 Tennessee def. #46 James Madison
  • USTA Poll: TENN - #21 Tennessee def. James Madison
  • Coaches Poll: TENN - #16 Tennessee def. James Madison
  • Seeding: TENN - #2 Tennessee def. #3 James Madison

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Daria Afanasyeva (JMU) - 10-5 at #1, 10-5 in duals, 10-5 overall
    Rebeka Mertena (TENN) - 2-2 at #1, 11-6 in duals, 15-14 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TENN - Mertena (73%) def. Afanasyeva (27%)
    • Slam: TENN - Mertena (61%) def. Afanasyeva (39%)
    • TRN: TENN - Mertena (66%) def. Afanasyeva (34%)
    • Massey: TENN - Mertena (72%) def. Afanasyeva (28%)
    • UTR: TENN - Mertena (91%) def. Afanasyeva (9%)
    • ITA: TENN - Mertena (7.45) def. Afanasyeva (2.51)
     
  2. Jona Roka (JMU) - 10-4 at #2, 10-4 in duals, 10-4 overall
    Eleonora Molinaro (TENN) - 1-2 at #2, 3-9 in duals, 3-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TENN - Molinaro (81%) def. Roka (19%)
    • Slam: TENN - Molinaro (86%) def. Roka (14%)
    • TRN: TENN - Molinaro (83%) def. Roka (17%)
    • Massey: TENN - Molinaro (63%) def. Roka (37%)
    • UTR: TENN - Molinaro (92%) def. Roka (8%)
    • ITA: TENN - Molinaro (5.46) def. Roka (2.41)
     
  3. Natalia Nikolopoulou (JMU) - 7-5 at #3, 8-5 in duals, 8-5 overall
    Carly Briggs (TENN) - 3-4 at #3, 6-12 in duals, 15-15 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TENN - Briggs (93%) def. Nikolopoulou (7%)
    • Slam: TENN - Briggs (95%) def. Nikolopoulou (5%)
    • TRN: TENN - Briggs (94%) def. Nikolopoulou (6%)
    • Massey: TENN - Briggs (88%) def. Nikolopoulou (12%)
    • UTR: TENN - Briggs (95%) def. Nikolopoulou (5%)
    • ITA: TENN - Briggs (8.89) def. Nikolopoulou (2.10)
     
  4. Kylie Moulin (JMU) - 12-1 at #4, 13-2 in duals, 13-2 overall
    Daria Kuczer (TENN) - 8-1 at #4, 19-2 in duals, 25-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TENN - Kuczer (88%) def. Moulin (12%)
    • Slam: TENN - Kuczer (89%) def. Moulin (11%)
    • TRN: TENN - Kuczer (90%) def. Moulin (10%)
    • Massey: TENN - Kuczer (82%) def. Moulin (18%)
    • UTR: TENN - Kuczer (91%) def. Moulin (9%)
    • ITA: TENN - Kuczer (3.41) def. Moulin (3.15)
     
  5. Alexis Franco (JMU) - 10-1 at #5, 14-2 in duals, 14-2 overall
    Tenika McGiffin (TENN) - 6-0 at #5, 15-4 in duals, 20-12 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TENN - McGiffin (80%) def. Franco (20%)
    • Slam: TENN - McGiffin (85%) def. Franco (15%)
    • TRN: TENN - McGiffin (78%) def. Franco (22%)
    • Massey: TENN - McGiffin (67%) def. Franco (33%)
    • UTR: TENN - McGiffin (88%) def. Franco (12%)
    • ITA: JMU - Franco (3.01) def. McGiffin (1.61)
     
  6. Daniela Voloh (JMU) - 9-1 at #6, 12-1 in duals, 12-1 overall
    Johanna Silva (TENN) - 9-1 at #6, 9-4 in duals, 12-10 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: TENN - Silva (85%) def. Voloh (15%)
    • Slam: TENN - Silva (89%) def. Voloh (11%)
    • TRN: TENN - Silva (85%) def. Voloh (15%)
    • Massey: TENN - Silva (81%) def. Voloh (19%)
    • UTR: TENN - Silva (86%) def. Voloh (14%)
    • ITA: JMU - Voloh (3.50) def. Silva (1.85)
     

Doubles:

  1. Afanasyeva/Franco (JMU) - 7-3 at #1, 7-3 in duals, 7-3 overall
    Molinaro/McGiffin (TENN) - 1-3 at #1, 3-3 in duals, 3-3 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Roka/Moulin (JMU) - 12-2 at #2, 12-2 in duals, 12-2 overall
    Adeshina/Kuczer (TENN) - 8-1 at #2, 11-6 in duals, 12-9 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Nikolopoulou/Nord (JMU) - 3-1 at #3, 3-1 in duals, 3-1 overall
    Briggs/Mertena (TENN) - 4-3 at #3, 4-3 in duals, 4-3 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Tennessee should win 4 or more singles matches 94% of the time.
  • James Madison should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 5% of the time.
  • If Tennessee wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If James Madison wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 6%.

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