First Round
Friday, May 7 at 10:00 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
Alfred A. Ring Tennis Complex
Gainesville, Florida

Southern California vs Oklahoma

#3 Southern California

  Record: 12-10
  ITA: 35 (23.25)
  Slam: 35 (87.72)
  TRN: 41 (78.74)
  Massey: 26 (7.43)
✔ UTR: 6 (64.29)
  Coaches Poll: 34

#2 Oklahoma

  Record: 15-7
✔ ITA: 22 (38.94)
✔ Slam: 13 (91.06)
✔ TRN: 22 (82.23)
✔ Massey: 13 (8.06)
  UTR: 14 (62.33)
✔ USTA Poll: 24 (58.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 24


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Match Information

USC def. Oklahoma 4-3

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: OKLA - Oklahoma (64%) def. Southern California (36%)
  • Slam: OKLA - #13 Oklahoma (87%) def. #35 Southern California (13%)
  • TRN: OKLA - #22 Oklahoma (88%) def. #41 Southern California (12%)
  • Massey: OKLA - #13 Oklahoma (69%) def. #26 Southern California (31%)
  • Lineup: USC - Southern California (87%) def. Oklahoma (13%)
  • UTR: USC - #6 Southern California (+1.96) def. #14 Oklahoma (-1.96)
  • ITA: OKLA - #22 Oklahoma def. #35 Southern California
  • USTA Poll: OKLA - #24 Oklahoma def. Southern California
  • Coaches Poll: OKLA - #24 Oklahoma def. #34 Southern California
  • Seeding: OKLA - #2 Oklahoma def. #3 Southern California

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Salma Ewing (USC) - 4-2 at #1, 13-5 in duals, 13-5 overall
    Carmen Corley (OKLA) - 12-6 at #1, 12-6 in duals, 19-13 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: USC - Ewing (68%) def. Corley (32%)
    • Slam: USC - Ewing (62%) def. Corley (38%)
    • TRN: USC - Ewing (84%) def. Corley (16%)
    • Massey: OKLA - Corley (51%) def. Ewing (49%)
    • UTR: USC - Ewing (79%) def. Corley (21%)
    • ITA: USC - Ewing (14.56) def. Corley (9.20)
     
  2. Eryn Cayetano (USC) - 6-2 at #2, 10-5 in duals, 10-5 overall
    Dana Guzman (OKLA) - 13-1 at #2, 18-2 in duals, 18-2 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: USC - Cayetano (51%) def. Guzman (49%)
    • Slam: USC - Cayetano (55%) def. Guzman (45%)
    • TRN: USC - Cayetano (51%) def. Guzman (49%)
    • Massey: OKLA - Guzman (66%) def. Cayetano (34%)
    • UTR: USC - Cayetano (65%) def. Guzman (35%)
    • ITA: OKLA - Guzman (9.21) def. Cayetano (5.85)
     
  3. Angela Kulikov (USC) - 0-0 at #3, 0-1 in duals, 0-1 overall
    Ivana Corley (OKLA) - 11-5 at #3, 13-6 in duals, 20-12 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: USC - Kulikov (51%) def. Corley (49%)
    • Slam: OKLA - Corley (63%) def. Kulikov (37%)
    • TRN: OKLA - Corley (84%) def. Kulikov (16%)
    • Massey: USC - Kulikov (81%) def. Corley (19%)
    • UTR: USC - Kulikov (70%) def. Corley (30%)
    • ITA: USC - # Kulikov def. Corley (6.90)
     
  4. Naomi Cheong (USC) - 0-0 at #4, 9-8 in duals, 9-8 overall
    Martina Cappuro (OKLA) - 9-3 at #4, 11-8 in duals, 11-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: USC - Cheong (75%) def. Cappuro (25%)
    • Slam: USC - Cheong (81%) def. Cappuro (19%)
    • TRN: USC - Cheong (78%) def. Cappuro (22%)
    • Massey: USC - Cheong (58%) def. Cappuro (42%)
    • UTR: USC - Cheong (80%) def. Cappuro (20%)
    • ITA: USC - Cheong (4.19) def. Cappuro (1.84)
     
  5. Dani Willson (USC) - 0-0 at #5, 12-8 in duals, 12-8 overall
    Kianah Motosono (OKLA) - 3-3 at #5, 10-7 in duals, 16-14 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: USC - Willson (75%) def. Motosono (25%)
    • Slam: USC - Willson (78%) def. Motosono (22%)
    • TRN: USC - Willson (77%) def. Motosono (23%)
    • Massey: USC - Willson (67%) def. Motosono (33%)
    • UTR: USC - Willson (77%) def. Motosono (23%)
    • ITA: USC - Willson (1.74) def. Motosono (1.65)
     
  6. Summer Dvorak (USC) - 0-0 at #6, 12-7 in duals, 12-7 overall
    Camila Romero (OKLA) - 1-1 at #6, 1-1 in duals, 1-1 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: USC - Dvorak (75%) def. Romero (25%)
    • Slam: USC - Dvorak (67%) def. Romero (33%)
    • TRN: USC - Dvorak (86%) def. Romero (14%)
    • Massey: USC - Dvorak (62%) def. Romero (38%)
    • UTR: USC - Dvorak (83%) def. Romero (17%)
    • ITA: OKLA - # Romero def. Dvorak (1.85)
     

Doubles:

  1. Kulikov/Cayetano (USC) - 6-5 at #1, 6-5 in duals, 6-5 overall
    Corley/Corley (OKLA) - 16-2 at #1, 16-2 in duals, 26-3 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Ewing/McKee (USC) - 8-4 at #2, 8-4 in duals, 8-4 overall
    Cappuro/Romero (OKLA) - 7-3 at #2, 7-3 in duals, 7-3 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Dvorak/Willson (USC) - 8-5 at #3, 8-5 in duals, 8-5 overall
    Guzman/Motosono (OKLA) - 10-2 at #3, 10-2 in duals, 10-2 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Oklahoma should win 4 or more singles matches 10% of the time.
  • Southern California should win 4 or more singles matches 67% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 23% of the time.
  • If Oklahoma wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 33%.
  • If Southern California wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 90%.

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