First Round
Friday, May 7 at 4:00 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
Scott Speicher Tennis Center
Tallahassee, Florida

Alabama St. vs #7 Florida St.

#4 Alabama St.

  Record: 9-7
  ITA: 61 (2.29)
  Slam: 63 (69.75)
  TRN: 62 (58.32)
  Massey: 63 (3.41)
  UTR: 61 (46.66)

#1 Florida St.

  Record: 17-5
✔ ITA: 7 (55.39)
✔ Slam: 10 (91.81)
✔ TRN: 9 (84.49)
✔ Massey: 9 (8.17)
✔ UTR: 10 (62.71)
✔ USTA Poll: 13 (181.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 7


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Match Information

Florida State def. Alabama State 4-0

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: FSU - Florida St. (99%) def. Alabama St. (1%)
  • Slam: FSU - #10 Florida St. (99%) def. #63 Alabama St. (1%)
  • TRN: FSU - #9 Florida St. (99%) def. #62 Alabama St. (1%)
  • Massey: FSU - #9 Florida St. (99%) def. #63 Alabama St. (1%)
  • Lineup: FSU - Florida St. (99%) def. Alabama St. (1%)
  • UTR: FSU - #10 Florida St. (+16.05) def. #61 Alabama St. (-16.05)
  • ITA: FSU - #7 Florida St. def. #61 Alabama St.
  • USTA Poll: FSU - #13 Florida St. def. Alabama St.
  • Coaches Poll: FSU - #7 Florida St. def. Alabama St.
  • Seeding: FSU - #1 Florida St. def. #4 Alabama St.

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Madalena Andrade (ALST) - 10-3 at #1, 10-3 in duals, 10-3 overall
    Giulia Pairone (FSU) - 11-8 at #1, 11-8 in duals, 13-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FSU - Pairone (99%) def. Andrade (1%)
    • Slam: FSU - Pairone (99%) def. Andrade (1%)
    • TRN: FSU - Pairone (99%) def. Andrade (1%)
    • Massey: FSU - Pairone (99%) def. Andrade (1%)
    • UTR: FSU - Pairone (99%) def. Andrade (1%)
    • ITA: FSU - Pairone (30.67) def. Andrade (2.89)
     
  2. Lizaveta Dzemchanka (ALST) - 0-0 at #2, 3-0 in duals, 3-0 overall
    Emmanuelle Salas (FSU) - 5-6 at #2, 7-9 in duals, 7-10 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FSU - Salas (74%) def. Dzemchanka (26%)
    • Slam: FSU - Salas (99%) def. Dzemchanka (1%)
    • TRN: FSU - Salas (99%) def. Dzemchanka (1%)
    • Massey: ALST - # Dzemchanka (99%) def. Salas (1%)
    • UTR: FSU - Salas (99%) def. Dzemchanka (1%)
    • ITA: ALST - # Dzemchanka def. Salas (14.35)
     
  3. Urska Velec (ALST) - 3-1 at #3, 8-2 in duals, 8-2 overall
    Nandini Das (FSU) - 6-4 at #3, 11-8 in duals, 12-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FSU - Das (99%) def. Velec (1%)
    • Slam: FSU - Das (99%) def. Velec (1%)
    • TRN: FSU - Das (99%) def. Velec (1%)
    • Massey: FSU - Das (99%) def. Velec (1%)
    • UTR: FSU - Das (99%) def. Velec (1%)
    • ITA: ALST - Velec (2.89) def. Das (2.52)
     
  4. Francesca Duca (ALST) - 8-0 at #4, 8-4 in duals, 8-4 overall
    Petra Hule (FSU) - 4-0 at #4, 12-3 in duals, 13-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FSU - Hule (99%) def. Duca (1%)
    • Slam: FSU - Hule (99%) def. Duca (1%)
    • TRN: FSU - Hule (99%) def. Duca (1%)
    • Massey: FSU - Hule (99%) def. Duca (1%)
    • UTR: FSU - Hule (99%) def. Duca (1%)
    • ITA: FSU - Hule (3.24) def. Duca (2.26)
     
  5. Timothee Legaud (ALST) - 0-2 at #5, 3-4 in duals, 3-4 overall
    Victoria Allen (FSU) - 7-0 at #5, 11-4 in duals, 12-5 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FSU - Allen (99%) def. Legaud (1%)
    • Slam: FSU - Allen (99%) def. Legaud (1%)
    • TRN: FSU - Allen (99%) def. Legaud (1%)
    • Massey: FSU - Allen (99%) def. Legaud (1%)
    • UTR: FSU - Allen (99%) def. Legaud (1%)
    • ITA: ALST - # Legaud def. Allen (2.90)
     
  6. Bea Acena (ALST) - 0-0 at #6, 7-6 in duals, 7-6 overall
    Anna Arkadianou (FSU) - 0-0 at #6, 3-4 in duals, 4-5 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FSU - Arkadianou (99%) def. Acena (1%)
    • Slam: FSU - Arkadianou (99%) def. Acena (1%)
    • TRN: FSU - Arkadianou (99%) def. Acena (1%)
    • Massey: FSU - Arkadianou (99%) def. Acena (1%)
    • UTR: FSU - Arkadianou (99%) def. Acena (1%)
    • ITA: FSU - # Arkadianou def. Acena (1.75)
     

Doubles:

  1. Dzemchanka/Tarbujaru (ALST) - 1-1 at #1, 1-1 in duals, 1-1 overall
    Salas/Allen (FSU) - 5-3 at #1, 5-3 in duals, 5-3 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Andrade/Duca (ALST) - 4-0 at #2, 5-0 in duals, 5-0 overall
    Das/Garcia (FSU) - 8-4 at #2, 14-4 in duals, 17-4 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Velec/Hribljan (ALST) - 0-0 at #3, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Hule/Pairone (FSU) - 5-1 at #3, 5-1 in duals, 6-1 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Florida St. should win 4 or more singles matches 99% of the time.
  • Alabama St. should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 1% of the time.
  • If Florida St. wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If Alabama St. wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 1%.

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