First Round
Friday, May 7 at 1:00 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
Hellman Tennis Complex
Berkeley, California

Syracuse vs Kentucky

#3 Syracuse

  Record: 8-12
  ITA: 42 (17.74)
  Slam: 43 (86.54)
  TRN: 43 (78.55)
  Massey: 42 (6.69)
  UTR: 43 (58.68)
  Coaches Poll: 41

#2 Kentucky

  Record: 16-8
✔ ITA: 26 (37.22)
✔ Slam: 25 (89.36)
✔ TRN: 27 (81.49)
✔ Massey: 33 (7.29)
✔ UTR: 34 (60.15)
✔ USTA Poll: 26 (16.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 27


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Match Information

Kentucky def. Syracuse 4-3

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: UK - Kentucky (79%) def. Syracuse (21%)
  • Slam: UK - #25 Kentucky (83%) def. #43 Syracuse (17%)
  • TRN: UK - #27 Kentucky (84%) def. #43 Syracuse (16%)
  • Massey: UK - #33 Kentucky (75%) def. #42 Syracuse (25%)
  • Lineup: UK - Kentucky (73%) def. Syracuse (27%)
  • UTR: UK - #34 Kentucky (+1.47) def. #43 Syracuse (-1.47)
  • ITA: UK - #26 Kentucky def. #42 Syracuse
  • USTA Poll: UK - #26 Kentucky def. Syracuse
  • Coaches Poll: UK - #27 Kentucky def. #41 Syracuse
  • Seeding: UK - #2 Kentucky def. #3 Syracuse

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Viktoriya Kanapatskaya (SYR) - 9-5 at #1, 11-5 in duals, 11-5 overall
    Akvilė Paražinskaitė (UK) - 16-6 at #1, 16-6 in duals, 19-10 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: SYR - Kanapatskaya (62%) def. Paražinskaitė (38%)
    • Slam: SYR - Kanapatskaya (64%) def. Paražinskaitė (36%)
    • TRN: SYR - Kanapatskaya (62%) def. Paražinskaitė (38%)
    • Massey: SYR - Kanapatskaya (58%) def. Paražinskaitė (42%)
    • UTR: SYR - Kanapatskaya (63%) def. Paražinskaitė (37%)
    • ITA: SYR - Kanapatskaya (30.96) def. Paražinskaitė (19.85)
     
  2. Guzal Yusupova (SYR) - 4-6 at #2, 4-9 in duals, 4-9 overall
    Lesedi Jacobs (UK) - 0-1 at #2, 9-5 in duals, 11-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UK - Jacobs (80%) def. Yusupova (20%)
    • Slam: UK - Jacobs (72%) def. Yusupova (28%)
    • TRN: UK - Jacobs (83%) def. Yusupova (17%)
    • Massey: UK - Jacobs (75%) def. Yusupova (25%)
    • UTR: UK - Jacobs (89%) def. Yusupova (11%)
    • ITA: UK - Jacobs (5.00) def. Yusupova (4.12)
     
  3. Natalie Novotna (SYR) - 4-6 at #3, 7-9 in duals, 7-9 overall
    Carlota Molina Megias (UK) - 1-1 at #3, 12-7 in duals, 12-13 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UK - Megias (62%) def. Novotna (38%)
    • Slam: UK - Megias (62%) def. Novotna (38%)
    • TRN: UK - Megias (62%) def. Novotna (38%)
    • Massey: SYR - Novotna (51%) def. Megias (49%)
    • UTR: UK - Megias (77%) def. Novotna (23%)
    • ITA: UK - Megias (2.40) def. Novotna (2.02)
     
  4. Miranda Ramirez (SYR) - 3-6 at #4, 4-13 in duals, 4-13 overall
    Elizabeth Stevens (UK) - 1-5 at #4, 3-8 in duals, 6-13 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UK - Stevens (50%) def. Ramirez (50%)
    • Slam: UK - Stevens (53%) def. Ramirez (47%)
    • TRN: UK - Stevens (53%) def. Ramirez (47%)
    • Massey: UK - Stevens (50%) def. Ramirez (50%)
    • UTR: SYR - Ramirez (56%) def. Stevens (44%)
     
  5. Zeynep Erman (SYR) - 3-4 at #5, 4-4 in duals, 4-4 overall
    Carla Girbau (UK) - 2-1 at #5, 9-9 in duals, 11-14 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UK - Girbau (64%) def. Erman (36%)
    • Slam: UK - Girbau (67%) def. Erman (33%)
    • TRN: UK - Girbau (64%) def. Erman (36%)
    • Massey: UK - Girbau (51%) def. Erman (49%)
    • UTR: UK - Girbau (74%) def. Erman (26%)
    • ITA: UK - # Girbau def. Erman (1.82)
     
  6. Polina Kozyreva (SYR) - 7-5 at #6, 10-9 in duals, 10-9 overall
    Fiona Arrese (UK) - 2-1 at #6, 10-4 in duals, 10-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UK - Arrese (58%) def. Kozyreva (42%)
    • Slam: UK - Arrese (61%) def. Kozyreva (39%)
    • TRN: UK - Arrese (60%) def. Kozyreva (40%)
    • Massey: SYR - Kozyreva (59%) def. Arrese (41%)
    • UTR: UK - Arrese (71%) def. Kozyreva (29%)
    • ITA: SYR - Kozyreva (1.79) def. Arrese (1.49)
     

Doubles:

  1. Kanapatskaya/Novotna (SYR) - 4-7 at #1, 8-8 in duals, 8-8 overall
    Parazinskaite/Arrese (UK) - 17-2 at #1, 17-2 in duals, 20-2 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Kozyreva/Trescheva (SYR) - 3-7 at #2, 5-12 in duals, 5-12 overall
    Tkachenko/Girbau (UK) - 1-3 at #2, 1-3 in duals, 1-3 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Ramirez/Yusupova (SYR) - 5-5 at #3, 5-5 in duals, 5-5 overall
    Jacobs/Stevens (UK) - 2-0 at #3, 2-0 in duals, 2-1 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Kentucky should win 4 or more singles matches 52% of the time.
  • Syracuse should win 4 or more singles matches 19% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 29% of the time.
  • If Kentucky wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 81%.
  • If Syracuse wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 48%.

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