First Round
Friday, May 7 at 4:00 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
Combe Tennis Center
Evanston, Illinois

Xavier vs Northwestern

#3 Xavier

  Record: 17-4
  ITA: 56 (3.60)
  Slam: 49 (80.67)
  TRN: 50 (71.88)
  Massey: 50 (5.60)
  UTR: 64 (24.06)

#2 Northwestern

  Record: 19-5
✔ ITA: 21 (38.97)
✔ Slam: 18 (90.46)
✔ TRN: 13 (83.80)
✔ Massey: 20 (7.78)
✔ UTR: 33 (60.43)
✔ USTA Poll: 17 (133.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 19


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Match Information

Northwestern def. Xavier 4-0

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: NW - Northwestern (99%) def. Xavier (1%)
  • Slam: NW - #18 Northwestern (99%) def. #49 Xavier (1%)
  • TRN: NW - #13 Northwestern (99%) def. #50 Xavier (1%)
  • Massey: NW - #20 Northwestern (99%) def. #50 Xavier (1%)
  • Lineup: NW - Northwestern (99%) def. Xavier (1%)
  • UTR: NW - #33 Northwestern (+36.37) def. #64 Xavier (-36.37)
  • ITA: NW - #21 Northwestern def. #56 Xavier
  • USTA Poll: NW - #17 Northwestern def. Xavier
  • Coaches Poll: NW - #19 Northwestern def. Xavier
  • Seeding: NW - #2 Northwestern def. #3 Xavier

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Ahmeir Kyle (XAV) - 10-3 at #1, 10-3 in duals, 10-3 overall
    Maria Shusharina (NW) - 5-12 at #1, 7-12 in duals, 9-13 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NW - Shusharina (86%) def. Kyle (14%)
    • Slam: NW - Shusharina (83%) def. Kyle (17%)
    • TRN: NW - Shusharina (85%) def. Kyle (15%)
    • Massey: NW - Shusharina (85%) def. Kyle (15%)
    • UTR: NW - Shusharina (93%) def. Kyle (7%)
    • ITA: XAV - Kyle (4.79) def. Shusharina (3.92)
     
  2. Kat Lyman (XAV) - 10-1 at #2, 13-3 in duals, 13-3 overall
    Clarissa Hand (NW) - 0-2 at #2, 14-6 in duals, 14-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NW - Hand (85%) def. Lyman (15%)
    • Slam: NW - Hand (84%) def. Lyman (16%)
    • TRN: NW - Hand (85%) def. Lyman (15%)
    • Massey: NW - Hand (83%) def. Lyman (17%)
    • UTR: NW - Hand (86%) def. Lyman (14%)
    • ITA: NW - Hand (4.82) def. Lyman (2.79)
     
  3. Anna Roggenburk (XAV) - 7-2 at #3, 15-3 in duals, 15-3 overall
    Julie Byrne (NW) - 4-0 at #3, 9-8 in duals, 11-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NW - Byrne (87%) def. Roggenburk (13%)
    • Slam: NW - Byrne (88%) def. Roggenburk (12%)
    • TRN: NW - Byrne (84%) def. Roggenburk (16%)
    • Massey: NW - Byrne (87%) def. Roggenburk (13%)
    • UTR: NW - Byrne (89%) def. Roggenburk (11%)
    • ITA: XAV - Roggenburk (2.75) def. Byrne (1.56)
     
  4. Imani Graham (XAV) - 8-4 at #4, 16-4 in duals, 16-4 overall
    Briana Crowley (NW) - 16-3 at #4, 16-5 in duals, 17-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NW - Crowley (90%) def. Graham (10%)
    • Slam: NW - Crowley (94%) def. Graham (6%)
    • TRN: NW - Crowley (92%) def. Graham (8%)
    • Massey: NW - Crowley (85%) def. Graham (15%)
    • UTR: NW - Crowley (90%) def. Graham (10%)
    • ITA: XAV - Graham (2.45) def. Crowley (1.93)
     
  5. Kaitlin Ruether (XAV) - 2-6 at #5, 6-12 in duals, 6-12 overall
    Caroline Pozo (NW) - 11-6 at #5, 12-7 in duals, 12-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NW - Pozo (97%) def. Ruether (3%)
    • Slam: NW - Pozo (98%) def. Ruether (2%)
    • TRN: NW - Pozo (99%) def. Ruether (1%)
    • Massey: NW - Pozo (98%) def. Ruether (2%)
    • UTR: NW - Pozo (95%) def. Ruether (5%)
    • ITA: XAV - # Ruether def. Pozo (1.76)
     
  6. Emily Thomas (XAV) - 2-0 at #6, 8-4 in duals, 8-4 overall
    Christina Hand (NW) - 13-1 at #6, 13-1 in duals, 13-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NW - Hand (92%) def. Thomas (8%)
    • Slam: NW - Hand (94%) def. Thomas (6%)
    • TRN: NW - Hand (95%) def. Thomas (5%)
    • Massey: NW - Hand (89%) def. Thomas (11%)
    • UTR: NW - Hand (91%) def. Thomas (9%)
    • ITA: NW - Hand (2.48) def. Thomas (2.39)
     

Doubles:

  1. Kyle/Thomas (XAV) - 9-8 at #1, 9-8 in duals, 9-8 overall
    Byrne/Crowley (NW) - 7-2 at #1, 7-2 in duals, 7-2 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Roggenburk/Graham (XAV) - 3-1 at #2, 10-2 in duals, 10-2 overall
    Hand/Hand (NW) - 4-3 at #2, 4-3 in duals, 4-3 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Ruether/Lyman (XAV) - 2-0 at #3, 7-3 in duals, 7-3 overall
    McColgan/Pozo (NW) - 5-2 at #3, 5-2 in duals, 5-2 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Northwestern should win 4 or more singles matches 99% of the time.
  • Xavier should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 1% of the time.
  • If Northwestern wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If Xavier wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 1%.

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