First Round
Friday, May 7 at 11:00 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
Varsity Tennis Center
Columbus, Ohio

Ball St. vs Vanderbilt

#3 Ball St.

  Record: 22-4
  ITA: 54 (3.74)
  Slam: 52 (79.30)
  TRN: 52 (70.33)
  Massey: 53 (5.40)
  UTR: 51 (54.58)

#2 Vanderbilt

  Record: 14-9
✔ ITA: 28 (34.89)
✔ Slam: 29 (88.87)
✔ TRN: 30 (81.13)
✔ Massey: 31 (7.33)
✔ UTR: 28 (61.39)
✔ Coaches Poll: 28


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Match Information

Vanderbilt def. Ball State 4-0

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: VANDY - Vanderbilt (99%) def. Ball St. (1%)
  • Slam: VANDY - #29 Vanderbilt (99%) def. #52 Ball St. (1%)
  • TRN: VANDY - #30 Vanderbilt (99%) def. #52 Ball St. (1%)
  • Massey: VANDY - #31 Vanderbilt (99%) def. #53 Ball St. (1%)
  • Lineup: VANDY - Vanderbilt (99%) def. Ball St. (1%)
  • UTR: VANDY - #28 Vanderbilt (+6.81) def. #51 Ball St. (-6.81)
  • ITA: VANDY - #28 Vanderbilt def. #54 Ball St.
  • Coaches Poll: VANDY - #28 Vanderbilt def. Ball St.
  • Seeding: VANDY - #2 Vanderbilt def. #3 Ball St.

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Emma Peeler (BALL) - 10-10 at #1, 10-10 in duals, 10-10 overall
    Christina Rosca (VANDY) - 3-5 at #1, 13-5 in duals, 13-5 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: VANDY - Rosca (96%) def. Peeler (4%)
    • Slam: VANDY - Rosca (93%) def. Peeler (7%)
    • TRN: VANDY - Rosca (98%) def. Peeler (2%)
    • Massey: VANDY - Rosca (96%) def. Peeler (4%)
    • UTR: VANDY - Rosca (96%) def. Peeler (4%)
    • ITA: BALL - # Peeler def. Rosca (14.48)
     
  2. Jessica Braun (BALL) - 6-5 at #2, 13-7 in duals, 13-7 overall
    Emma Kurtz (VANDY) - 6-5 at #2, 8-10 in duals, 11-16 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: VANDY - Kurtz (90%) def. Braun (10%)
    • Slam: VANDY - Kurtz (94%) def. Braun (6%)
    • TRN: VANDY - Kurtz (95%) def. Braun (5%)
    • Massey: VANDY - Kurtz (77%) def. Braun (23%)
    • UTR: VANDY - Kurtz (93%) def. Braun (7%)
    • ITA: VANDY - Kurtz (3.05) def. Braun (1.69)
     
  3. Mariya Polishchuk (BALL) - 8-1 at #3, 14-6 in duals, 14-6 overall
    Anessa Lee (VANDY) - 3-1 at #3, 11-5 in duals, 16-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: VANDY - Lee (91%) def. Polishchuk (9%)
    • Slam: VANDY - Lee (92%) def. Polishchuk (8%)
    • TRN: VANDY - Lee (95%) def. Polishchuk (5%)
    • Massey: VANDY - Lee (83%) def. Polishchuk (17%)
    • UTR: VANDY - Lee (93%) def. Polishchuk (7%)
    • ITA: VANDY - Lee (2.64) def. Polishchuk (1.84)
     
  4. Rebecca Herrington (BALL) - 7-2 at #4, 14-6 in duals, 14-6 overall
    Anna Ross (VANDY) - 0-1 at #4, 8-9 in duals, 8-10 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: VANDY - Ross (95%) def. Herrington (5%)
    • Slam: VANDY - Ross (98%) def. Herrington (2%)
    • TRN: VANDY - Ross (97%) def. Herrington (3%)
    • Massey: VANDY - Ross (87%) def. Herrington (13%)
    • UTR: VANDY - Ross (96%) def. Herrington (4%)
    • ITA: VANDY - Ross (2.20) def. Herrington (1.96)
     
  5. Amy Kaplan (BALL) - 4-2 at #5, 12-7 in duals, 12-7 overall
    Marcella Cruz (VANDY) - 4-2 at #5, 13-4 in duals, 16-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: VANDY - Cruz (96%) def. Kaplan (4%)
    • Slam: VANDY - Cruz (97%) def. Kaplan (3%)
    • TRN: VANDY - Cruz (98%) def. Kaplan (2%)
    • Massey: VANDY - Cruz (93%) def. Kaplan (7%)
    • UTR: VANDY - Cruz (96%) def. Kaplan (4%)
    • ITA: VANDY - Cruz (2.13) def. Kaplan (1.71)
     
  6. Livia Lukacs (BALL) - 6-2 at #6, 8-3 in duals, 8-3 overall
    Holly Staff (VANDY) - 0-0 at #6, 9-9 in duals, 14-12 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: VANDY - Staff (95%) def. Lukacs (5%)
    • Slam: VANDY - Staff (99%) def. Lukacs (1%)
    • TRN: VANDY - Staff (99%) def. Lukacs (1%)
    • Massey: VANDY - Staff (87%) def. Lukacs (13%)
    • UTR: VANDY - Staff (97%) def. Lukacs (3%)
    • ITA: BALL - Lukacs (2.68) def. Staff (1.75)
     

Doubles:

  1. Kaplan/Peeler (BALL) - 9-3 at #1, 9-4 in duals, 9-3 overall
    Ross/Staff (VANDY) - 9-8 at #1, 10-8 in duals, 10-8 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Braun/Polishchuk (BALL) - 0-0 at #2, 2-0 in duals, 2-0 overall
    Kurtz/Cruz (VANDY) - 11-6 at #2, 11-6 in duals, 11-6 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Sec/Lukacs (BALL) - 6-0 at #3, 11-0 in duals, 11-0 overall
    Rosca/Lee (VANDY) - 11-4 at #3, 12-4 in duals, 12-4 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Vanderbilt should win 4 or more singles matches 99% of the time.
  • Ball St. should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 1% of the time.
  • If Vanderbilt wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If Ball St. wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 1%.

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