First Round
Friday, May 7 at 4:00 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
Hellman Tennis Complex
Berkeley, California

San Jose St. vs #16 California

#4 San Jose St.

  Record: 15-2
  ITA: 47 (8.04)
  Slam: 50 (80.34)
  TRN: 49 (73.09)
  Massey: 49 (5.94)
  UTR: 50 (55.37)

#1 California

  Record: 18-6
✔ ITA: 17 (45.98)
✔ Slam: 17 (90.47)
✔ TRN: 17 (82.99)
✔ Massey: 14 (8.01)
✔ UTR: 15 (62.15)
✔ USTA Poll: 14 (170.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 17


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Match Information

California def. San Jose State 4-0

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: CAL - California (99%) def. San Jose St. (1%)
  • Slam: CAL - #17 California (99%) def. #50 San Jose St. (1%)
  • TRN: CAL - #17 California (99%) def. #49 San Jose St. (1%)
  • Massey: CAL - #14 California (99%) def. #49 San Jose St. (1%)
  • Lineup: CAL - California (99%) def. San Jose St. (1%)
  • UTR: CAL - #15 California (+6.78) def. #50 San Jose St. (-6.78)
  • ITA: CAL - #17 California def. #47 San Jose St.
  • USTA Poll: CAL - #14 California def. San Jose St.
  • Coaches Poll: CAL - #17 California def. San Jose St.
  • Seeding: CAL - #1 California def. #4 San Jose St.

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Alba Pedrero Galindo (SJSU) - 11-4 at #1, 11-4 in duals, 11-4 overall
    Haley Giavara (CAL) - 12-10 at #1, 12-10 in duals, 12-10 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: CAL - Giavara (89%) def. Galindo (11%)
    • Slam: CAL - Giavara (92%) def. Galindo (8%)
    • TRN: CAL - Giavara (95%) def. Galindo (5%)
    • Massey: CAL - Giavara (77%) def. Galindo (23%)
    • UTR: CAL - Giavara (91%) def. Galindo (9%)
    • ITA: CAL - Giavara (18.44) def. Galindo (2.47)
     
  2. Rozalina Youseva (SJSU) - 6-6 at #2, 6-6 in duals, 6-6 overall
    Julia Rosenqvist (CAL) - 11-7 at #2, 14-7 in duals, 14-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: CAL - Rosenqvist (97%) def. Youseva (3%)
    • Slam: CAL - Rosenqvist (96%) def. Youseva (4%)
    • TRN: CAL - Rosenqvist (97%) def. Youseva (3%)
    • Massey: CAL - Rosenqvist (95%) def. Youseva (5%)
    • UTR: CAL - Rosenqvist (98%) def. Youseva (2%)
    • ITA: CAL - Rosenqvist (2.23) def. Youseva (1.67)
     
  3. Irena Muradyan (SJSU) - 13-1 at #3, 14-1 in duals, 14-1 overall
    Valentina Ivanov (CAL) - 9-5 at #3, 10-8 in duals, 10-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: CAL - Ivanov (86%) def. Muradyan (14%)
    • Slam: CAL - Ivanov (94%) def. Muradyan (6%)
    • TRN: CAL - Ivanov (92%) def. Muradyan (8%)
    • Massey: CAL - Ivanov (66%) def. Muradyan (34%)
    • UTR: CAL - Ivanov (91%) def. Muradyan (9%)
    • ITA: SJSU - Muradyan (3.64) def. Ivanov (1.97)
     
  4. Lara Marco Mas (SJSU) - 4-5 at #4, 6-5 in duals, 6-5 overall
    Jada Bui (CAL) - 8-5 at #4, 10-6 in duals, 10-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: CAL - Bui (96%) def. Mas (4%)
    • Slam: CAL - Bui (98%) def. Mas (2%)
    • TRN: CAL - Bui (99%) def. Mas (1%)
    • Massey: CAL - Bui (95%) def. Mas (5%)
    • UTR: CAL - Bui (94%) def. Mas (6%)
    • ITA: CAL - Bui (1.95) def. Mas (1.77)
     
  5. Raquel Villan Pereira (SJSU) - 9-2 at #5, 9-2 in duals, 9-2 overall
    Hannah Viller Moeller (CAL) - 8-5 at #5, 14-7 in duals, 14-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: CAL - Moeller (96%) def. Pereira (4%)
    • Slam: CAL - Moeller (98%) def. Pereira (2%)
    • TRN: CAL - Moeller (98%) def. Pereira (2%)
    • Massey: CAL - Moeller (90%) def. Pereira (10%)
    • UTR: CAL - Moeller (96%) def. Pereira (4%)
    • ITA: SJSU - Pereira (3.01) def. Moeller (1.79)
     
  6. Jovana Babic (SJSU) - 7-3 at #6, 7-3 in duals, 7-3 overall
    Anna Bright (CAL) - 10-3 at #6, 18-3 in duals, 18-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: CAL - Bright (98%) def. Babic (2%)
    • Slam: CAL - Bright (99%) def. Babic (1%)
    • TRN: CAL - Bright (99%) def. Babic (1%)
    • Massey: CAL - Bright (98%) def. Babic (2%)
    • UTR: CAL - Bright (97%) def. Babic (3%)
    • ITA: CAL - Bright (2.79) def. Babic (2.68)
     

Doubles:

  1. Galindo/Mas (SJSU) - 0-3 at #1, 3-6 in duals, 3-6 overall
    Giavara/Ivanov (CAL) - 12-5 at #1, 12-5 in duals, 12-5 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Culibrk/Muradyan (SJSU) - 1-1 at #2, 3-2 in duals, 3-3 overall
    Bright/Moeller (CAL) - 11-6 at #2, 11-6 in duals, 11-6 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Youseva/Pereira (SJSU) - 2-3 at #3, 2-3 in duals, 2-3 overall
    Bui/Richardson (CAL) - 2-2 at #3, 2-2 in duals, 2-2 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • California should win 4 or more singles matches 99% of the time.
  • San Jose St. should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 1% of the time.
  • If California wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If San Jose St. wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 1%.

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