Second Round
Saturday, May 8 at 4:00 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
Ralphs-Straus Tennis Center
Malibu, California

Stanford vs #5 Pepperdine

#2 Stanford

  Record: 15-5
  ITA: 27 (35.12)
  Slam: 23 (90.02)
  TRN: 24 (81.66)
  Massey: 15 (7.96)
  UTR: 7 (63.45)
  USTA Poll: 20 (100.00)
  Coaches Poll: 26

#1 Pepperdine

  Record: 22-3
✔ ITA: 5 (60.46)
✔ Slam: 6 (92.64)
✔ TRN: 6 (85.86)
✔ Massey: 5 (8.71)
✔ UTR: 4 (64.63)
✔ USTA Poll: 6 (276.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 4


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Match Information

Pepperdine def. Stanford 4-2
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Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: PEPP - Pepperdine (86%) def. Stanford (14%)
  • Slam: PEPP - #6 Pepperdine (81%) def. #23 Stanford (19%)
  • TRN: PEPP - #6 Pepperdine (91%) def. #24 Stanford (9%)
  • Massey: PEPP - #5 Pepperdine (79%) def. #15 Stanford (21%)
  • Lineup: PEPP - Pepperdine (91%) def. Stanford (9%)
  • UTR: PEPP - #4 Pepperdine (+1.18) def. #7 Stanford (-1.18)
  • ITA: PEPP - #5 Pepperdine def. #27 Stanford
  • USTA Poll: PEPP - #6 Pepperdine def. #20 Stanford
  • Coaches Poll: PEPP - #4 Pepperdine def. #26 Stanford
  • Seeding: PEPP - #1 Pepperdine def. #2 Stanford

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Michaela Gordon (STAN) - 9-6 at #1, 9-6 in duals, 9-6 overall
    Ashley Lahey (PEPP) - 7-3 at #1, 10-4 in duals, 10-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Lahey (66%) def. Gordon (34%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Lahey (57%) def. Gordon (43%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Lahey (75%) def. Gordon (25%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Lahey (74%) def. Gordon (26%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Lahey (56%) def. Gordon (44%)
    • ITA: STAN - Gordon (17.68) def. Lahey (7.80)
     
  2. Angelica Blake (STAN) - 2-1 at #2, 7-2 in duals, 7-2 overall
    Jessica Failla (PEPP) - 6-1 at #2, 14-3 in duals, 14-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Failla (75%) def. Blake (25%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Failla (84%) def. Blake (16%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Failla (80%) def. Blake (20%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Failla (57%) def. Blake (43%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Failla (76%) def. Blake (24%)
    • ITA: PEPP - Failla (23.38) def. Blake (5.37)
     
  3. Emily Arbuthnott (STAN) - 1-3 at #3, 8-7 in duals, 8-7 overall
    Taisiya Pachkaleva (PEPP) - 8-1 at #3, 22-1 in duals, 22-1 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Pachkaleva (86%) def. Arbuthnott (14%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Pachkaleva (83%) def. Arbuthnott (17%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Pachkaleva (95%) def. Arbuthnott (5%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Pachkaleva (82%) def. Arbuthnott (18%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Pachkaleva (84%) def. Arbuthnott (16%)
    • ITA: PEPP - Pachkaleva (6.37) def. Arbuthnott (1.89)
     
  4. Ana Geller (STAN) - 1-3 at #4, 7-3 in duals, 7-3 overall
    Shiori Fukuda (PEPP) - 6-0 at #4, 14-4 in duals, 14-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Fukuda (80%) def. Geller (20%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Fukuda (85%) def. Geller (15%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Fukuda (90%) def. Geller (10%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Fukuda (78%) def. Geller (22%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Fukuda (68%) def. Geller (32%)
    • ITA: PEPP - Fukuda (4.88) def. Geller (2.62)
     
  5. Sara Choy (STAN) - 3-2 at #5, 13-4 in duals, 13-4 overall
    LIsa Zaar (PEPP) - 10-1 at #5, 19-1 in duals, 19-1 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Zaar (66%) def. Choy (34%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Zaar (61%) def. Choy (39%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Zaar (79%) def. Choy (21%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Zaar (55%) def. Choy (45%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Zaar (69%) def. Choy (31%)
    • ITA: PEPP - Zaar (4.47) def. Choy (2.38)
     
  6. Emma Higuchi (STAN) - 10-3 at #6, 14-3 in duals, 14-3 overall
    Nikki Redelijk (PEPP) - 7-4 at #6, 12-7 in duals, 12-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: STAN - Higuchi (63%) def. Redelijk (37%)
    • Slam: STAN - Higuchi (51%) def. Redelijk (49%)
    • TRN: STAN - Higuchi (59%) def. Redelijk (41%)
    • Massey: STAN - Higuchi (68%) def. Redelijk (32%)
    • UTR: STAN - Higuchi (74%) def. Redelijk (26%)
    • ITA: STAN - Higuchi (2.68) def. Redelijk (1.87)
     

Doubles:

  1. Gordon/Madurawe (STAN) - 9-5 at #1, 9-5 in duals, 9-5 overall
    Lahey/Zaar (PEPP) - 0-0 at #1, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Arbuthnott/Blake (STAN) - 6-2 at #2, 6-2 in duals, 6-2 overall
    Fukuda/Pachkaleva (PEPP) - 0-0 at #2, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Choy/Higuchi (STAN) - 7-2 at #3, 7-2 in duals, 7-2 overall
    Failla/Iamachkine (PEPP) - 0-0 at #3, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Pepperdine should win 4 or more singles matches 73% of the time.
  • Stanford should win 4 or more singles matches 7% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 20% of the time.
  • If Pepperdine wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 93%.
  • If Stanford wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 27%.

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