Second Round
Saturday, May 8 at 4:00 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
Alfred A. Ring Tennis Complex
Gainesville, Florida

Southern California vs #11 Florida

#3 Southern California

  Record: 13-10
  ITA: 35 (23.25)
  Slam: 35 (87.72)
  TRN: 41 (78.74)
  Massey: 26 (7.43)
✔ UTR: 6 (64.29)
  Coaches Poll: 34

#1 Florida

  Record: 13-8
✔ ITA: 12 (48.69)
✔ Slam: 16 (90.47)
✔ TRN: 20 (82.70)
✔ Massey: 21 (7.77)
  UTR: 11 (62.70)
✔ USTA Poll: 22 (86.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 15


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Match Information

USC def. Florida 4-1
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Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: FLA - Florida (70%) def. Southern California (30%)
  • Slam: FLA - #16 Florida (82%) def. #35 Southern California (18%)
  • TRN: FLA - #20 Florida (90%) def. #41 Southern California (10%)
  • Massey: FLA - #21 Florida (52%) def. #26 Southern California (48%)
  • Lineup: FLA - Florida (54%) def. Southern California (46%)
  • UTR: USC - #6 Southern California (+1.59) def. #11 Florida (-1.59)
  • ITA: FLA - #12 Florida def. #35 Southern California
  • USTA Poll: FLA - #22 Florida def. Southern California
  • Coaches Poll: FLA - #15 Florida def. #34 Southern California
  • Seeding: FLA - #1 Florida def. #3 Southern California

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Salma Ewing (USC) - 4-2 at #1, 13-5 in duals, 13-5 overall
    McCartney Kessler (FLA) - 13-2 at #1, 13-2 in duals, 16-2 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FLA - Kessler (77%) def. Ewing (23%)
    • Slam: FLA - Kessler (86%) def. Ewing (14%)
    • TRN: FLA - Kessler (73%) def. Ewing (27%)
    • Massey: FLA - Kessler (80%) def. Ewing (20%)
    • UTR: FLA - Kessler (70%) def. Ewing (30%)
    • ITA: FLA - Kessler (45.58) def. Ewing (14.56)
     
  2. Eryn Cayetano (USC) - 6-2 at #2, 10-5 in duals, 10-5 overall
    Marlee Zein (FLA) - 6-5 at #2, 8-5 in duals, 10-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: USC - Cayetano (77%) def. Zein (23%)
    • Slam: USC - Cayetano (75%) def. Zein (25%)
    • TRN: USC - Cayetano (80%) def. Zein (20%)
    • Massey: USC - Cayetano (66%) def. Zein (34%)
    • UTR: USC - Cayetano (88%) def. Zein (12%)
    • ITA: FLA - Zein (8.25) def. Cayetano (5.85)
     
  3. Angela Kulikov (USC) - 0-0 at #3, 0-1 in duals, 0-1 overall
    Ida Jarlskog (FLA) - 6-2 at #3, 8-4 in duals, 8-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FLA - Jarlskog (51%) def. Kulikov (49%)
    • Slam: FLA - Jarlskog (69%) def. Kulikov (31%)
    • TRN: FLA - Jarlskog (90%) def. Kulikov (10%)
    • Massey: USC - Kulikov (76%) def. Jarlskog (24%)
    • UTR: USC - Kulikov (77%) def. Jarlskog (23%)
    • ITA: USC - # Kulikov def. Jarlskog (5.66)
     
  4. Naomi Cheong (USC) - 0-0 at #4, 9-8 in duals, 9-8 overall
    Layne Sleeth (FLA) - 7-0 at #4, 9-1 in duals, 9-1 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FLA - Sleeth (61%) def. Cheong (39%)
    • Slam: USC - Cheong (60%) def. Sleeth (40%)
    • TRN: FLA - Sleeth (51%) def. Cheong (49%)
    • Massey: FLA - Sleeth (74%) def. Cheong (26%)
    • UTR: FLA - Sleeth (78%) def. Cheong (22%)
    • ITA: FLA - Sleeth (7.72) def. Cheong (4.19)
     
  5. Dani Willson (USC) - 0-0 at #5, 12-8 in duals, 12-8 overall
    Sara Dahlstrom (FLA) - 3-4 at #5, 6-8 in duals, 9-11 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: USC - Willson (70%) def. Dahlstrom (30%)
    • Slam: USC - Willson (68%) def. Dahlstrom (32%)
    • TRN: USC - Willson (77%) def. Dahlstrom (23%)
    • Massey: USC - Willson (67%) def. Dahlstrom (33%)
    • UTR: USC - Willson (68%) def. Dahlstrom (32%)
    • ITA: FLA - Dahlstrom (3.40) def. Willson (1.74)
     
  6. Summer Dvorak (USC) - 0-0 at #6, 12-7 in duals, 12-7 overall
    Sydney Berlin (FLA) - 6-3 at #6, 11-4 in duals, 16-5 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: FLA - Berlin (67%) def. Dvorak (33%)
    • Slam: FLA - Berlin (63%) def. Dvorak (37%)
    • TRN: FLA - Berlin (66%) def. Dvorak (34%)
    • Massey: FLA - Berlin (66%) def. Dvorak (34%)
    • UTR: FLA - Berlin (75%) def. Dvorak (25%)
    • ITA: FLA - Berlin (2.47) def. Dvorak (1.85)
     

Doubles:

  1. Kulikov/Cayetano (USC) - 6-5 at #1, 6-5 in duals, 6-5 overall
    Kessler/Zein (FLA) - 9-6 at #1, 9-6 in duals, 13-7 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Ewing/McKee (USC) - 8-4 at #2, 8-4 in duals, 8-4 overall
    Jarlskog/Sleeth (FLA) - 6-0 at #2, 6-0 in duals, 6-0 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Dvorak/Willson (USC) - 8-5 at #3, 8-5 in duals, 8-5 overall
    Dahlstrom/Berlin (FLA) - 3-5 at #3, 3-5 in duals, 6-7 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Florida should win 4 or more singles matches 36% of the time.
  • Southern California should win 4 or more singles matches 30% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 34% of the time.
  • If Florida wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 70%.
  • If Southern California wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 64%.

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