Second Round
Saturday, May 8 at 4:00 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
Hellman Tennis Complex
Berkeley, California

Kentucky vs #16 California

#2 Kentucky

  Record: 16-9
  ITA: 26 (37.22)
  Slam: 25 (89.36)
  TRN: 27 (81.49)
  Massey: 33 (7.29)
  UTR: 34 (60.15)
  USTA Poll: 26 (16.00)
  Coaches Poll: 27

#1 California

  Record: 19-6
✔ ITA: 17 (45.98)
✔ Slam: 17 (90.47)
✔ TRN: 17 (82.99)
✔ Massey: 14 (8.01)
✔ UTR: 15 (62.15)
✔ USTA Poll: 14 (170.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 17


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Match Information

California def. Kentucky 4-2
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Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: CAL - California (79%) def. Kentucky (21%)
  • Slam: CAL - #17 California (65%) def. #25 Kentucky (35%)
  • TRN: CAL - #17 California (70%) def. #27 Kentucky (30%)
  • Massey: CAL - #14 California (87%) def. #33 Kentucky (13%)
  • Lineup: CAL - California (95%) def. Kentucky (5%)
  • UTR: CAL - #15 California (+2.00) def. #34 Kentucky (-2.00)
  • ITA: CAL - #17 California def. #26 Kentucky
  • USTA Poll: CAL - #14 California def. #26 Kentucky
  • Coaches Poll: CAL - #17 California def. #27 Kentucky
  • Seeding: CAL - #1 California def. #2 Kentucky

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Akvilė Paražinskaitė (UK) - 16-6 at #1, 16-6 in duals, 19-10 overall
    Haley Giavara (CAL) - 12-10 at #1, 12-10 in duals, 12-10 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: CAL - Giavara (60%) def. Paražinskaitė (40%)
    • Slam: CAL - Giavara (65%) def. Paražinskaitė (35%)
    • TRN: CAL - Giavara (64%) def. Paražinskaitė (36%)
    • Massey: CAL - Giavara (54%) def. Paražinskaitė (46%)
    • UTR: CAL - Giavara (58%) def. Paražinskaitė (42%)
    • ITA: UK - Paražinskaitė (19.85) def. Giavara (18.44)
     
  2. Lesedi Jacobs (UK) - 0-1 at #2, 9-5 in duals, 11-8 overall
    Julia Rosenqvist (CAL) - 11-7 at #2, 14-7 in duals, 14-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: CAL - Rosenqvist (65%) def. Jacobs (35%)
    • Slam: CAL - Rosenqvist (66%) def. Jacobs (34%)
    • TRN: CAL - Rosenqvist (63%) def. Jacobs (37%)
    • Massey: CAL - Rosenqvist (53%) def. Jacobs (47%)
    • UTR: CAL - Rosenqvist (79%) def. Jacobs (21%)
    • ITA: UK - Jacobs (5.00) def. Rosenqvist (2.23)
     
  3. Carlota Molina Megias (UK) - 1-1 at #3, 12-7 in duals, 12-13 overall
    Valentina Ivanov (CAL) - 9-5 at #3, 10-8 in duals, 10-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: CAL - Ivanov (69%) def. Megias (31%)
    • Slam: CAL - Ivanov (66%) def. Megias (34%)
    • TRN: CAL - Ivanov (70%) def. Megias (30%)
    • Massey: CAL - Ivanov (63%) def. Megias (37%)
    • UTR: CAL - Ivanov (79%) def. Megias (21%)
    • ITA: UK - Megias (2.40) def. Ivanov (1.97)
     
  4. Elizabeth Stevens (UK) - 1-5 at #4, 3-8 in duals, 6-13 overall
    Jada Bui (CAL) - 8-5 at #4, 10-6 in duals, 10-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: CAL - Bui (84%) def. Stevens (16%)
    • Slam: CAL - Bui (85%) def. Stevens (15%)
    • TRN: CAL - Bui (88%) def. Stevens (12%)
    • Massey: CAL - Bui (81%) def. Stevens (19%)
    • UTR: CAL - Bui (83%) def. Stevens (17%)
    • ITA: UK - # Stevens def. Bui (1.95)
     
  5. Carla Girbau (UK) - 2-1 at #5, 9-9 in duals, 11-14 overall
    Hannah Viller Moeller (CAL) - 8-5 at #5, 14-7 in duals, 14-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: CAL - Moeller (79%) def. Girbau (21%)
    • Slam: CAL - Moeller (74%) def. Girbau (26%)
    • TRN: CAL - Moeller (84%) def. Girbau (16%)
    • Massey: CAL - Moeller (79%) def. Girbau (21%)
    • UTR: CAL - Moeller (81%) def. Girbau (19%)
    • ITA: UK - # Girbau def. Moeller (1.79)
     
  6. Fiona Arrese (UK) - 2-1 at #6, 10-4 in duals, 10-9 overall
    Anna Bright (CAL) - 10-3 at #6, 18-3 in duals, 18-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: CAL - Bright (87%) def. Arrese (13%)
    • Slam: CAL - Bright (80%) def. Arrese (20%)
    • TRN: CAL - Bright (91%) def. Arrese (9%)
    • Massey: CAL - Bright (90%) def. Arrese (10%)
    • UTR: CAL - Bright (89%) def. Arrese (11%)
    • ITA: CAL - Bright (2.79) def. Arrese (1.49)
     

Doubles:

  1. Parazinskaite/Arrese (UK) - 17-2 at #1, 17-2 in duals, 20-2 overall
    Giavara/Ivanov (CAL) - 12-5 at #1, 12-5 in duals, 12-5 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Tkachenko/Girbau (UK) - 1-3 at #2, 1-3 in duals, 1-3 overall
    Bright/Moeller (CAL) - 11-6 at #2, 11-6 in duals, 11-6 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Jacobs/Stevens (UK) - 2-0 at #3, 2-0 in duals, 2-1 overall
    Bui/Richardson (CAL) - 2-2 at #3, 2-2 in duals, 2-2 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • California should win 4 or more singles matches 83% of the time.
  • Kentucky should win 4 or more singles matches 4% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 13% of the time.
  • If California wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 96%.
  • If Kentucky wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 17%.

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