Third Round
Sunday, May 16 at 4:45 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
USTA National Campus
Orlando, Florida

Michigan vs #5 Pepperdine

Michigan

  Record: 19-4
  ITA: 20 (39.90)
  Slam: 9 (91.97)
  TRN: 7 (88.38)
  Massey: 13 (8.07)
  UTR: 18 (61.92)
  USTA Poll: 8 (239.00)
  Coaches Poll: 18

#5 Pepperdine

  Record: 23-3
✔ ITA: 5 (60.46)
✔ Slam: 5 (93.53)
✔ TRN: 4 (89.84)
✔ Massey: 5 (8.76)
✔ UTR: 3 (64.87)
✔ USTA Poll: 6 (276.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 4


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Match Information

Pepperdine def. Michigan 4-0
Go to Live Stats | Box Score | Photos | Quotes

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: PEPP - Pepperdine (77%) def. Michigan (23%)
  • Slam: PEPP - #5 Pepperdine (71%) def. #9 Michigan (29%)
  • TRN: PEPP - #4 Pepperdine (69%) def. #7 Michigan (31%)
  • Massey: PEPP - #5 Pepperdine (79%) def. #13 Michigan (21%)
  • Lineup: PEPP - Pepperdine (91%) def. Michigan (9%)
  • UTR: PEPP - #3 Pepperdine (+2.95) def. #18 Michigan (-2.95)
  • ITA: PEPP - #5 Pepperdine def. #20 Michigan
  • USTA Poll: PEPP - #6 Pepperdine def. #8 Michigan
  • Coaches Poll: PEPP - #4 Pepperdine def. #18 Michigan
  • Seeding: PEPP - #5 Pepperdine def. Michigan

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Kari Miller (MICH) - 11-3 at #1, 12-4 in duals, 15-4 overall
    Ashley Lahey (PEPP) - 7-3 at #1, 10-4 in duals, 10-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Lahey (58%) def. Miller (42%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Lahey (57%) def. Miller (43%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Lahey (69%) def. Miller (31%)
    • Massey: MICH - Miller (56%) def. Lahey (44%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Lahey (64%) def. Miller (36%)
    • ITA: MICH - Miller (10.66) def. Lahey (7.80)
     
  2. Chiara Lommer (MICH) - 10-3 at #2, 12-4 in duals, 14-5 overall
    Jessica Failla (PEPP) - 6-1 at #2, 14-3 in duals, 14-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Failla (78%) def. Lommer (22%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Failla (87%) def. Lommer (13%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Failla (90%) def. Lommer (10%)
    • Massey: MICH - Lommer (52%) def. Failla (48%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Failla (88%) def. Lommer (12%)
    • ITA: PEPP - Failla (23.38) def. Lommer (2.49)
     
  3. Andrea Cerdan (MICH) - 7-4 at #3, 11-6 in duals, 13-7 overall
    Taisiya Pachkaleva (PEPP) - 8-1 at #3, 22-1 in duals, 22-1 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Pachkaleva (88%) def. Cerdan (12%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Pachkaleva (89%) def. Cerdan (11%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Pachkaleva (97%) def. Cerdan (3%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Pachkaleva (75%) def. Cerdan (25%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Pachkaleva (92%) def. Cerdan (8%)
    • ITA: PEPP - Pachkaleva (6.37) def. Cerdan (1.79)
     
  4. Jaedan Brown (MICH) - 7-0 at #4, 15-2 in duals, 17-3 overall
    Shiori Fukuda (PEPP) - 6-0 at #4, 14-4 in duals, 14-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Fukuda (76%) def. Brown (24%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Fukuda (83%) def. Brown (17%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Fukuda (87%) def. Brown (13%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Fukuda (60%) def. Brown (40%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Fukuda (77%) def. Brown (23%)
    • ITA: PEPP - Fukuda (4.88) def. Brown (2.65)
     
  5. Alyvia Jones (MICH) - 3-0 at #5, 7-2 in duals, 7-5 overall
    LIsa Zaar (PEPP) - 10-1 at #5, 19-1 in duals, 19-1 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Zaar (74%) def. Jones (26%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Zaar (62%) def. Jones (38%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Zaar (87%) def. Jones (13%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Zaar (64%) def. Jones (36%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Zaar (84%) def. Jones (16%)
    • ITA: PEPP - Zaar (4.47) def. Jones (2.08)
     
  6. Bella Lorenzini (MICH) - 2-0 at #6, 2-0 in duals, 4-0 overall
    Nikki Redelijk (PEPP) - 7-4 at #6, 12-7 in duals, 12-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: MICH - Lorenzini (68%) def. Redelijk (32%)
    • Slam: MICH - Lorenzini (61%) def. Redelijk (39%)
    • TRN: MICH - Lorenzini (61%) def. Redelijk (39%)
    • Massey: MICH - Lorenzini (87%) def. Redelijk (13%)
    • UTR: MICH - Lorenzini (62%) def. Redelijk (38%)
    • ITA: MICH - Lorenzini (2.86) def. Redelijk (1.87)
     

Doubles:

  1. Jones/Brown (MICH) - 2-0 at #1, 2-0 in duals, 2-0 overall
    Lahey/Zaar (PEPP) - 0-0 at #1, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Miller/Lommer (MICH) - 2-0 at #2, 2-0 in duals, 2-0 overall
    Fukuda/Pachkaleva (PEPP) - 0-0 at #2, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Lorenzini/Cerdan (MICH) - 0-0 at #3, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Failla/Iamachkine (PEPP) - 0-0 at #3, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Pepperdine should win 4 or more singles matches 72% of the time.
  • Michigan should win 4 or more singles matches 7% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 21% of the time.
  • If Pepperdine wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 93%.
  • If Michigan wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 28%.

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