Third Round
Sunday, May 16 at 10:00 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
USTA National Campus
Orlando, Florida

#14 Virginia vs #3 Georgia

#14 Virginia

  Record: 16-7
  ITA: 13 (48.31)
  Slam: 7 (92.16)
  TRN: 11 (87.36)
  Massey: 7 (8.28)
  UTR: 13 (62.35)
  USTA Poll: 11 (202.00)
  Coaches Poll: 11

#3 Georgia

  Record: 23-1
✔ ITA: 3 (73.77)
✔ Slam: 3 (97.71)
✔ TRN: 3 (96.36)
✔ Massey: 3 (9.18)
✔ UTR: 4 (64.73)
✔ USTA Poll: 4 (299.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 3


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Match Information

Georgia def. Virginia 4-1
Go to Live Stats | Box Score | Photos | Quotes

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: UGA - Georgia (93%) def. Virginia (7%)
  • Slam: UGA - #3 Georgia (96%) def. #7 Virginia (4%)
  • TRN: UGA - #3 Georgia (99%) def. #11 Virginia (1%)
  • Massey: UGA - #3 Georgia (82%) def. #7 Virginia (18%)
  • Lineup: UGA - Georgia (95%) def. Virginia (5%)
  • UTR: UGA - #4 Georgia (+2.38) def. #13 Virginia (-2.38)
  • ITA: UGA - #3 Georgia def. #13 Virginia
  • USTA Poll: UGA - #4 Georgia def. #11 Virginia
  • Coaches Poll: UGA - #3 Georgia def. #11 Virginia
  • Seeding: UGA - #3 Georgia def. #14 Virginia

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Emma Navarro (UVA) - 17-1 at #1, 17-1 in duals, 17-1 overall
    Katarina Jokic (UGA) - 15-0 at #1, 15-0 in duals, 24-1 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UVA - Navarro (53%) def. Jokic (47%)
    • Slam: UGA - Jokic (52%) def. Navarro (48%)
    • TRN: UVA - Navarro (55%) def. Jokic (45%)
    • Massey: UVA - Navarro (51%) def. Jokic (49%)
    • UTR: UVA - Navarro (60%) def. Jokic (40%)
    • ITA: UVA - Navarro (62.96) def. Jokic (60.56)
     
  2. Natasha Subhash (UVA) - 14-4 at #2, 15-4 in duals, 15-5 overall
    Lea Ma (UGA) - 13-3 at #2, 13-3 in duals, 14-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UGA - Ma (50%) def. Subhash (50%)
    • Slam: UGA - Ma (61%) def. Subhash (39%)
    • TRN: UVA - Subhash (52%) def. Ma (48%)
    • Massey: UVA - Subhash (53%) def. Ma (47%)
    • UTR: UVA - Subhash (53%) def. Ma (47%)
    • ITA: UVA - Subhash (40.00) def. Ma (11.14)
     
  3. Rosie Johanson (UVA) - 15-2 at #3, 16-2 in duals, 16-4 overall
    Meg Kowalski (UGA) - 12-1 at #3, 12-1 in duals, 22-1 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UGA - Kowalski (69%) def. Johanson (31%)
    • Slam: UGA - Kowalski (74%) def. Johanson (26%)
    • TRN: UGA - Kowalski (77%) def. Johanson (23%)
    • Massey: UGA - Kowalski (62%) def. Johanson (38%)
    • UTR: UGA - Kowalski (61%) def. Johanson (39%)
    • ITA: UGA - Kowalski (23.73) def. Johanson (6.37)
     
  4. Hibah Shaikh (UVA) - 4-9 at #4, 6-9 in duals, 7-10 overall
    Morgan Coppoc (UGA) - 15-2 at #4, 15-2 in duals, 23-5 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UGA - Coppoc (89%) def. Shaikh (11%)
    • Slam: UGA - Coppoc (88%) def. Shaikh (12%)
    • TRN: UGA - Coppoc (90%) def. Shaikh (10%)
    • Massey: UGA - Coppoc (87%) def. Shaikh (13%)
    • UTR: UGA - Coppoc (89%) def. Shaikh (11%)
    • ITA: UGA - Coppoc (8.66) def. Shaikh (1.63)
     
  5. Amber ODell (UVA) - 1-3 at #5, 10-7 in duals, 10-9 overall
    Marta Gonzalez (UGA) - 1-1 at #5, 2-1 in duals, 11-1 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UGA - Gonzalez (95%) def. ODell (5%)
    • Slam: UGA - Gonzalez (96%) def. ODell (4%)
    • TRN: UGA - Gonzalez (98%) def. ODell (2%)
    • Massey: UGA - Gonzalez (90%) def. ODell (10%)
    • UTR: UGA - Gonzalez (96%) def. ODell (4%)
    • ITA: UGA - Gonzalez (11.71) def. ODell (1.59)
     
  6. Vivian Glozman (UVA) - 2-1 at #6, 7-3 in duals, 8-4 overall
    Elena Christofi (UGA) - 9-0 at #6, 10-2 in duals, 17-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UGA - Christofi (74%) def. Glozman (26%)
    • Slam: UGA - Christofi (77%) def. Glozman (23%)
    • TRN: UGA - Christofi (75%) def. Glozman (25%)
    • Massey: UGA - Christofi (59%) def. Glozman (41%)
    • UTR: UGA - Christofi (86%) def. Glozman (14%)
    • ITA: UVA - Glozman (2.77) def. Christofi (2.36)
     

Doubles:

  1. Navarro/Johanson (UVA) - 7-6 at #1, 9-8 in duals, 9-8 overall
    Jokic/Arseneault (UGA) - 11-4 at #1, 11-4 in duals, 14-6 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Munera/Subhash (UVA) - 6-5 at #2, 8-5 in duals, 10-7 overall
    Christofi/Coppoc (UGA) - 12-2 at #2, 12-2 in duals, 18-3 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Glozman/Shaikh (UVA) - 1-1 at #3, 1-1 in duals, 1-2 overall
    Lea Ma/Kowalski (UGA) - 15-2 at #3, 15-2 in duals, 18-2 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • Georgia should win 4 or more singles matches 78% of the time.
  • Virginia should win 4 or more singles matches 4% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 18% of the time.
  • If Georgia wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 96%.
  • If Virginia wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 22%.

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