Third Round
Sunday, May 16 at 10:00 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
USTA National Campus
Orlando, Florida

Southern California vs #6 NC State

Southern California

  Record: 13-11
  ITA: 35 (23.25)
  Slam: 26 (89.07)
  TRN: 30 (83.52)
  Massey: 23 (7.67)
✔ UTR: 6 (64.31)
  Coaches Poll: 34

#6 NC State

  Record: 19-5
✔ ITA: 6 (56.15)
✔ Slam: 11 (91.78)
✔ TRN: 10 (87.38)
✔ Massey: 6 (8.35)
  UTR: 9 (62.90)
✔ USTA Poll: 12 (197.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 6


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Match Information

N.C. State def. USC 4-1
Go to Live Stats | Box Score | Photos | Quotes

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: NCST - NC State (77%) def. Southern California (23%)
  • Slam: NCST - #11 NC State (82%) def. #26 Southern California (18%)
  • TRN: NCST - #10 NC State (90%) def. #30 Southern California (10%)
  • Massey: NCST - #6 NC State (79%) def. #23 Southern California (21%)
  • Lineup: NCST - NC State (58%) def. Southern California (42%)
  • UTR: USC - #6 Southern California (+1.41) def. #9 NC State (-1.41)
  • ITA: NCST - #6 NC State def. #35 Southern California
  • USTA Poll: NCST - #12 NC State def. Southern California
  • Coaches Poll: NCST - #6 NC State def. #34 Southern California
  • Seeding: NCST - #6 NC State def. Southern California

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Salma Ewing (USC) - 4-2 at #1, 13-5 in duals, 13-5 overall
    Anna Rogers (NCST) - 14-6 at #1, 14-6 in duals, 19-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NCST - Rogers (74%) def. Ewing (26%)
    • Slam: NCST - Rogers (82%) def. Ewing (18%)
    • TRN: NCST - Rogers (67%) def. Ewing (33%)
    • Massey: NCST - Rogers (76%) def. Ewing (24%)
    • UTR: NCST - Rogers (69%) def. Ewing (31%)
    • ITA: NCST - Rogers (48.19) def. Ewing (14.56)
     
  2. Eryn Cayetano (USC) - 6-2 at #2, 10-5 in duals, 10-5 overall
    Alana Smith (NCST) - 14-5 at #2, 14-5 in duals, 16-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: USC - Cayetano (61%) def. Smith (39%)
    • Slam: USC - Cayetano (59%) def. Smith (41%)
    • TRN: USC - Cayetano (66%) def. Smith (34%)
    • Massey: NCST - Smith (59%) def. Cayetano (41%)
    • UTR: USC - Cayetano (78%) def. Smith (22%)
    • ITA: NCST - Smith (22.32) def. Cayetano (5.85)
     
  3. Angela Kulikov (USC) - 0-0 at #3, 0-1 in duals, 0-1 overall
    Adriana Reami (NCST) - 12-4 at #3, 15-5 in duals, 16-9 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NCST - Reami (53%) def. Kulikov (47%)
    • Slam: NCST - Reami (71%) def. Kulikov (29%)
    • TRN: NCST - Reami (87%) def. Kulikov (13%)
    • Massey: USC - Kulikov (73%) def. Reami (27%)
    • UTR: USC - Kulikov (70%) def. Reami (30%)
    • ITA: USC - # Kulikov def. Reami (4.00)
     
  4. Naomi Cheong (USC) - 0-0 at #4, 9-8 in duals, 9-8 overall
    Jaeda Daniel (NCST) - 10-6 at #4, 11-8 in duals, 13-10 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: USC - Cheong (74%) def. Daniel (26%)
    • Slam: USC - Cheong (82%) def. Daniel (18%)
    • TRN: USC - Cheong (78%) def. Daniel (22%)
    • Massey: USC - Cheong (62%) def. Daniel (38%)
    • UTR: USC - Cheong (72%) def. Daniel (28%)
    • ITA: USC - Cheong (4.19) def. Daniel (1.87)
     
  5. Dani Willson (USC) - 0-0 at #5, 12-8 in duals, 12-8 overall
    Abigail Rencheli (NCST) - 5-2 at #5, 10-4 in duals, 13-5 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NCST - Rencheli (57%) def. Willson (43%)
    • Slam: USC - Willson (56%) def. Rencheli (44%)
    • TRN: NCST - Rencheli (50%) def. Willson (50%)
    • Massey: NCST - Rencheli (63%) def. Willson (37%)
    • UTR: NCST - Rencheli (72%) def. Willson (28%)
    • ITA: NCST - Rencheli (7.12) def. Willson (1.74)
     
  6. Summer Dvorak (USC) - 0-0 at #6, 12-7 in duals, 12-7 overall
    Lexi Keberle (NCST) - 2-4 at #6, 13-6 in duals, 16-8 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: NCST - Keberle (65%) def. Dvorak (35%)
    • Slam: NCST - Keberle (63%) def. Dvorak (37%)
    • TRN: NCST - Keberle (62%) def. Dvorak (38%)
    • Massey: NCST - Keberle (62%) def. Dvorak (38%)
    • UTR: NCST - Keberle (75%) def. Dvorak (25%)
    • ITA: USC - Dvorak (1.85) def. Keberle (1.71)
     

Doubles:

  1. Kulikov/Cayetano (USC) - 6-5 at #1, 6-5 in duals, 6-5 overall
    Rogers/Smith (NCST) - 14-5 at #1, 14-5 in duals, 20-8 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Ewing/McKee (USC) - 8-4 at #2, 8-4 in duals, 8-4 overall
    Daniel/Reami (NCST) - 12-4 at #2, 12-4 in duals, 20-5 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Dvorak/Willson (USC) - 8-5 at #3, 8-5 in duals, 8-5 overall
    Rajecki/Rencheli (NCST) - 11-1 at #3, 11-1 in duals, 12-2 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • NC State should win 4 or more singles matches 39% of the time.
  • Southern California should win 4 or more singles matches 28% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 33% of the time.
  • If NC State wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 72%.
  • If Southern California wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 61%.

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