Third Round
Sunday, May 16 at 7:15 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
USTA National Campus
Orlando, Florida

Duke vs #9 UCF

Duke

  Record: 18-6
  ITA: 18 (43.05)
  Slam: 13 (91.36)
✔ TRN: 12 (87.05)
✔ Massey: 9 (8.20)
  UTR: 14 (62.33)
  USTA Poll: 15 (162.00)
  Coaches Poll: 20

#9 UCF

  Record: 20-5
✔ ITA: 9 (52.03)
✔ Slam: 12 (91.59)
  TRN: 14 (86.94)
  Massey: 11 (8.13)
✔ UTR: 12 (62.63)
✔ USTA Poll: 10 (203.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 9


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Match Information

Duke def. Central Florida 4-3
Go to Live Stats | Box Score | Photos | Quotes

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: DUKE - Duke (61%) def. UCF (39%)
  • Slam: UCF - #12 UCF (53%) def. #13 Duke (47%)
  • TRN: DUKE - #12 Duke (51%) def. #14 UCF (49%)
  • Massey: DUKE - #9 Duke (51%) def. #11 UCF (49%)
  • Lineup: DUKE - Duke (95%) def. UCF (5%)
  • UTR: UCF - #12 UCF (+0.30) def. #14 Duke (-0.30)
  • ITA: UCF - #9 UCF def. #18 Duke
  • USTA Poll: UCF - #10 UCF def. #15 Duke
  • Coaches Poll: UCF - #9 UCF def. #20 Duke
  • Seeding: UCF - #9 UCF def. Duke

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Kelly Chen (DUKE) - 5-9 at #1, 8-10 in duals, 10-11 overall
    Valeriya Zeleva (UCF) - 9-2 at #1, 12-2 in duals, 13-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UCF - Zeleva (62%) def. Chen (38%)
    • Slam: UCF - Zeleva (57%) def. Chen (43%)
    • TRN: UCF - Zeleva (71%) def. Chen (29%)
    • Massey: UCF - Zeleva (68%) def. Chen (32%)
    • UTR: UCF - Zeleva (53%) def. Chen (47%)
    • ITA: UCF - Zeleva (22.66) def. Chen (12.42)
     
  2. Georgia Drummy (DUKE) - 7-3 at #2, 15-3 in duals, 17-4 overall
    Rebeka Stolmar (UCF) - 7-4 at #2, 12-6 in duals, 14-7 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: DUKE - Drummy (74%) def. Stolmar (26%)
    • Slam: DUKE - Drummy (74%) def. Stolmar (26%)
    • TRN: DUKE - Drummy (65%) def. Stolmar (35%)
    • Massey: DUKE - Drummy (72%) def. Stolmar (28%)
    • UTR: DUKE - Drummy (85%) def. Stolmar (15%)
    • ITA: DUKE - Drummy (24.14) def. Stolmar (15.81)
     
  3. Chloe Beck (DUKE) - 11-1 at #3, 15-3 in duals, 17-4 overall
    Evgeniya Levashova (UCF) - 6-2 at #3, 11-5 in duals, 11-5 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: DUKE - Beck (78%) def. Levashova (22%)
    • Slam: DUKE - Beck (81%) def. Levashova (19%)
    • TRN: DUKE - Beck (77%) def. Levashova (23%)
    • Massey: DUKE - Beck (81%) def. Levashova (19%)
    • UTR: DUKE - Beck (72%) def. Levashova (28%)
    • ITA: DUKE - Beck (15.35) def. Levashova (4.48)
     
  4. Meible Chi (DUKE) - 12-1 at #4, 18-2 in duals, 21-3 overall
    Ksenia Kuznetsova (UCF) - 6-0 at #4, 11-3 in duals, 11-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: DUKE - Chi (73%) def. Kuznetsova (27%)
    • Slam: DUKE - Chi (75%) def. Kuznetsova (25%)
    • TRN: DUKE - Chi (84%) def. Kuznetsova (16%)
    • Massey: DUKE - Chi (63%) def. Kuznetsova (37%)
    • UTR: DUKE - Chi (69%) def. Kuznetsova (31%)
    • ITA: DUKE - Chi (15.20) def. Kuznetsova (3.33)
     
  5. Margaryta Bilokin (DUKE) - 6-6 at #5, 11-8 in duals, 14-9 overall
    Marie Mattel (UCF) - 2-0 at #5, 6-4 in duals, 6-4 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: DUKE - Bilokin (67%) def. Mattel (33%)
    • Slam: DUKE - Bilokin (65%) def. Mattel (35%)
    • TRN: DUKE - Bilokin (62%) def. Mattel (38%)
    • Massey: DUKE - Bilokin (53%) def. Mattel (47%)
    • UTR: DUKE - Bilokin (87%) def. Mattel (13%)
    • ITA: DUKE - Bilokin (2.72) def. Mattel (2.00)
     
  6. Karolina Berankova (DUKE) - 7-7 at #6, 9-9 in duals, 10-11 overall
    Nadja Bay (UCF) - 0-0 at #6, 1-3 in duals, 1-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: DUKE - Berankova (99%) def. Bay (1%)
    • Slam: DUKE - Berankova (99%) def. Bay (1%)
    • TRN: DUKE - Berankova (99%) def. Bay (1%)
    • Massey: DUKE - Berankova (99%) def. Bay (1%)
    • UTR: DUKE - Berankova (99%) def. Bay (1%)
    • ITA: DUKE - # Berankova def. Bay (0.00)
     

Doubles:

  1. Chi/Bilokin (DUKE) - 8-4 at #1, 9-4 in duals, 11-4 overall
    Stolmar/Mattel (UCF) - 4-7 at #1, 5-7 in duals, 5-7 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Beck/Berankova (DUKE) - 11-2 at #2, 12-2 in duals, 15-3 overall
    Kuznetsova/Zeleva (UCF) - 8-0 at #2, 12-3 in duals, 12-3 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Chen/Drummy (DUKE) - 12-2 at #3, 13-2 in duals, 14-4 overall
    Levashova/Bay (UCF) - 4-1 at #3, 7-3 in duals, 7-3 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • UCF should win 4 or more singles matches 4% of the time.
  • Duke should win 4 or more singles matches 79% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 17% of the time.
  • If UCF wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 21%.
  • If Duke wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 96%.

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