Quarterfinals
Wednesday, May 19 at 7:30 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship
USTA National Campus
Orlando, Florida

Duke vs #1 North Carolina

Duke

  Record: 18-7
  ITA: 18 (43.05)
  Slam: 12 (91.26)
  TRN: 13 (86.94)
  Massey: 8 (8.21)
  UTR: 14 (62.23)
  USTA Poll: 15 (162.00)
  Coaches Poll: 20

#1 North Carolina

  Record: 30-0
✔ ITA: 1 (87.72)
✔ Slam: 1 (100.00)
✔ TRN: 1 (100.00)
✔ Massey: 1 (9.79)
✔ UTR: 2 (65.02)
✔ USTA Poll: 2 (325.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 1


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Match Information

North Carolina def. Duke 4-1
Go to Live Stats | Box Score | Photos | Quotes

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: UNC - North Carolina (97%) def. Duke (3%)
  • Slam: UNC - #1 North Carolina (99%) def. #12 Duke (1%)
  • TRN: UNC - #1 North Carolina (99%) def. #13 Duke (1%)
  • Massey: UNC - #1 North Carolina (91%) def. #8 Duke (9%)
  • Lineup: UNC - North Carolina (98%) def. Duke (2%)
  • UTR: UNC - #2 North Carolina (+2.79) def. #14 Duke (-2.79)
  • ITA: UNC - #1 North Carolina def. #18 Duke
  • USTA Poll: UNC - #2 North Carolina def. #15 Duke
  • Coaches Poll: UNC - #1 North Carolina def. #20 Duke
  • Seeding: UNC - #1 North Carolina def. Duke

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Kelly Chen (DUKE) - 5-9 at #1, 8-10 in duals, 10-11 overall
    Sara Daavettila (UNC) - 10-1 at #1, 15-1 in duals, 15-1 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UNC - Daavettila (89%) def. Chen (11%)
    • Slam: UNC - Daavettila (90%) def. Chen (10%)
    • TRN: UNC - Daavettila (97%) def. Chen (3%)
    • Massey: UNC - Daavettila (86%) def. Chen (14%)
    • UTR: UNC - Daavettila (83%) def. Chen (17%)
    • ITA: UNC - Daavettila (64.17) def. Chen (12.42)
     
  2. Georgia Drummy (DUKE) - 7-3 at #2, 15-3 in duals, 17-4 overall
    Alexa Graham (UNC) - 5-0 at #2, 11-2 in duals, 16-2 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UNC - Graham (69%) def. Drummy (31%)
    • Slam: UNC - Graham (77%) def. Drummy (23%)
    • TRN: UNC - Graham (77%) def. Drummy (23%)
    • Massey: DUKE - Drummy (51%) def. Graham (49%)
    • UTR: UNC - Graham (75%) def. Drummy (25%)
    • ITA: DUKE - Drummy (24.14) def. Graham (15.03)
     
  3. Chloe Beck (DUKE) - 11-1 at #3, 15-3 in duals, 17-4 overall
    Cameron Morra (UNC) - 6-2 at #3, 15-6 in duals, 15-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UNC - Morra (59%) def. Beck (41%)
    • Slam: UNC - Morra (66%) def. Beck (34%)
    • TRN: UNC - Morra (59%) def. Beck (41%)
    • Massey: DUKE - Beck (57%) def. Morra (43%)
    • UTR: UNC - Morra (68%) def. Beck (32%)
    • ITA: UNC - Morra (20.00) def. Beck (15.35)
     
  4. Meible Chi (DUKE) - 12-1 at #4, 18-2 in duals, 21-3 overall
    Elizabeth Scotty (UNC) - 6-1 at #4, 11-2 in duals, 11-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UNC - Scotty (59%) def. Chi (41%)
    • Slam: UNC - Scotty (60%) def. Chi (40%)
    • TRN: UNC - Scotty (53%) def. Chi (47%)
    • Massey: DUKE - Chi (51%) def. Scotty (49%)
    • UTR: UNC - Scotty (74%) def. Chi (26%)
    • ITA: DUKE - Chi (15.20) def. Scotty (5.93)
     
  5. Margaryta Bilokin (DUKE) - 6-6 at #5, 11-8 in duals, 14-9 overall
    Makenna Jones (UNC) - 1-2 at #5, 13-2 in duals, 15-2 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UNC - Jones (89%) def. Bilokin (11%)
    • Slam: UNC - Jones (91%) def. Bilokin (9%)
    • TRN: UNC - Jones (96%) def. Bilokin (4%)
    • Massey: UNC - Jones (88%) def. Bilokin (12%)
    • UTR: UNC - Jones (80%) def. Bilokin (20%)
    • ITA: UNC - Jones (18.39) def. Bilokin (2.72)
     
  6. Karolina Berankova (DUKE) - 7-7 at #6, 9-9 in duals, 10-11 overall
    Fiona Crawley (UNC) - 3-0 at #6, 23-0 in duals, 25-0 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UNC - Crawley (98%) def. Berankova (2%)
    • Slam: UNC - Crawley (99%) def. Berankova (1%)
    • TRN: UNC - Crawley (99%) def. Berankova (1%)
    • Massey: UNC - Crawley (97%) def. Berankova (3%)
    • UTR: UNC - Crawley (96%) def. Berankova (4%)
    • ITA: DUKE - # Berankova def. Crawley (16.89)
     

Doubles:

  1. Chi/Bilokin (DUKE) - 8-4 at #1, 9-4 in duals, 11-4 overall
    Daavettila/Morra (UNC) - 10-1 at #1, 10-1 in duals, 10-1 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Beck/Berankova (DUKE) - 11-2 at #2, 12-2 in duals, 15-3 overall
    Jones/Scotty (UNC) - 8-1 at #2, 10-1 in duals, 10-1 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Chen/Drummy (DUKE) - 12-2 at #3, 13-2 in duals, 14-4 overall
    Sanford/Tran (UNC) - 12-3 at #3, 16-3 in duals, 16-3 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • North Carolina should win 4 or more singles matches 89% of the time.
  • Duke should win 4 or more singles matches 1% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 10% of the time.
  • If North Carolina wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 99%.
  • If Duke wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 11%.

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