Semifinals
Friday, May 21 at 5:30 EDT
2021 Division I Women’s Tennis Championship

#5 Pepperdine vs #1 North Carolina

#5 Pepperdine

  Record: 25-3
  ITA: 5 (60.46)
  Slam: 5 (93.64)
  TRN: 4 (90.08)
  Massey: 5 (8.78)
  UTR: 6 (64.15)
  USTA Poll: 6 (276.00)
  Coaches Poll: 4

#1 North Carolina

  Record: 30-1
✔ ITA: 1 (87.72)
✔ Slam: 1 (100.00)
✔ TRN: 1 (100.00)
✔ Massey: 1 (9.79)
✔ UTR: 2 (65.02)
✔ USTA Poll: 2 (325.00)
✔ Coaches Poll: 1


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Match Information

Pepperdine def. North Carolina 4-3
Go to Live Stats | Box Score | Photos | Quotes

Predictions

Ranks listed here are the metric’s ranking within the field of 64:

  • Composite: UNC - North Carolina (92%) def. Pepperdine (8%)
  • Slam: UNC - #1 North Carolina (97%) def. #5 Pepperdine (3%)
  • TRN: UNC - #1 North Carolina (99%) def. #4 Pepperdine (1%)
  • Massey: UNC - #1 North Carolina (83%) def. #5 Pepperdine (17%)
  • Lineup: UNC - North Carolina (88%) def. Pepperdine (12%)
  • UTR: UNC - #2 North Carolina (+0.87) def. #6 Pepperdine (-0.87)
  • ITA: UNC - #1 North Carolina def. #5 Pepperdine
  • USTA Poll: UNC - #2 North Carolina def. #6 Pepperdine
  • Coaches Poll: UNC - #1 North Carolina def. #4 Pepperdine
  • Seeding: UNC - #1 North Carolina def. #5 Pepperdine

Individual Matchups

This assumes the top players and doubles teams listed are starting.
Click on a Singles match to show individual predections for each line.

Singles:

  1. Ashley Lahey (PEPP) - 7-3 at #1, 10-4 in duals, 10-4 overall
    Sara Daavettila (UNC) - 10-1 at #1, 15-1 in duals, 15-1 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UNC - Daavettila (77%) def. Lahey (23%)
    • Slam: UNC - Daavettila (77%) def. Lahey (23%)
    • TRN: UNC - Daavettila (86%) def. Lahey (14%)
    • Massey: UNC - Daavettila (76%) def. Lahey (24%)
    • UTR: UNC - Daavettila (68%) def. Lahey (32%)
    • ITA: UNC - Daavettila (64.17) def. Lahey (7.80)
     
  2. Jessica Failla (PEPP) - 6-1 at #2, 14-3 in duals, 14-3 overall
    Alexa Graham (UNC) - 5-0 at #2, 11-2 in duals, 16-2 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UNC - Graham (53%) def. Failla (47%)
    • Slam: PEPP - Failla (51%) def. Graham (49%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Failla (58%) def. Graham (42%)
    • Massey: UNC - Graham (64%) def. Failla (36%)
    • UTR: UNC - Graham (58%) def. Failla (42%)
    • ITA: PEPP - Failla (23.38) def. Graham (15.03)
     
  3. Taisiya Pachkaleva (PEPP) - 8-1 at #3, 22-1 in duals, 22-1 overall
    Cameron Morra (UNC) - 6-2 at #3, 15-6 in duals, 15-6 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: PEPP - Pachkaleva (59%) def. Morra (41%)
    • Slam: UNC - Morra (54%) def. Pachkaleva (46%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Pachkaleva (76%) def. Morra (24%)
    • Massey: PEPP - Pachkaleva (50%) def. Morra (50%)
    • UTR: PEPP - Pachkaleva (67%) def. Morra (33%)
    • ITA: UNC - Morra (20.00) def. Pachkaleva (6.37)
     
  4. Shiori Fukuda (PEPP) - 6-0 at #4, 14-4 in duals, 14-4 overall
    Elizabeth Scotty (UNC) - 6-1 at #4, 11-2 in duals, 11-3 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UNC - Scotty (57%) def. Fukuda (43%)
    • Slam: UNC - Scotty (51%) def. Fukuda (49%)
    • TRN: PEPP - Fukuda (54%) def. Scotty (46%)
    • Massey: UNC - Scotty (65%) def. Fukuda (35%)
    • UTR: UNC - Scotty (69%) def. Fukuda (31%)
    • ITA: UNC - Scotty (5.93) def. Fukuda (4.88)
     
  5. LIsa Zaar (PEPP) - 10-1 at #5, 19-1 in duals, 19-1 overall
    Makenna Jones (UNC) - 1-2 at #5, 13-2 in duals, 15-2 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UNC - Jones (74%) def. Zaar (26%)
    • Slam: UNC - Jones (81%) def. Zaar (19%)
    • TRN: UNC - Jones (77%) def. Zaar (23%)
    • Massey: UNC - Jones (76%) def. Zaar (24%)
    • UTR: UNC - Jones (62%) def. Zaar (38%)
    • ITA: UNC - Jones (18.39) def. Zaar (4.47)
     
  6. Nikki Redelijk (PEPP) - 7-4 at #6, 12-7 in duals, 12-7 overall
    Fiona Crawley (UNC) - 3-0 at #6, 23-0 in duals, 25-0 overall

    Predictions

    • Composite: UNC - Crawley (95%) def. Redelijk (5%)
    • Slam: UNC - Crawley (96%) def. Redelijk (4%)
    • TRN: UNC - Crawley (98%) def. Redelijk (2%)
    • Massey: UNC - Crawley (94%) def. Redelijk (6%)
    • UTR: UNC - Crawley (91%) def. Redelijk (9%)
    • ITA: UNC - Crawley (16.89) def. Redelijk (1.87)
     

Doubles:

  1. Lahey/Zaar (PEPP) - 0-0 at #1, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Daavettila/Morra (UNC) - 10-1 at #1, 10-1 in duals, 10-1 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  2. Fukuda/Pachkaleva (PEPP) - 0-0 at #2, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Jones/Scotty (UNC) - 8-1 at #2, 10-1 in duals, 10-1 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     
  3. Failla/Iamachkine (PEPP) - 0-0 at #3, 0-0 in duals, 0-0 overall
    Sanford/Tran (UNC) - 12-3 at #3, 16-3 in duals, 16-3 overall
    Sorry, we don't have any metrics for this match
     

Dual Outcome Based on Individual Metrics

Based on the composite metrics for each individual match:

  • North Carolina should win 4 or more singles matches 68% of the time.
  • Pepperdine should win 4 or more singles matches 9% of the time.
  • The winner of the doubles point should decide the match the other 23% of the time.
  • If North Carolina wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 91%.
  • If Pepperdine wins the doubles point, their chances of winning the dual improve to 32%.

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